Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 35, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 23, 2015Travis County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at May 23, 2015, 10:53 PM CDT for Travis County, Texas. It took effect at May 24, 2015, 6:04 AM CDT. It was in force for 33 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 23, 2015, 10:53 PM CDT (03:53 UTC)
In effect from
May 24, 2015, 6:04 AM CDT
Expired
May 25, 2015, 2:48 PM CDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Travis County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Barton Creek at Loop 360 (ABTT2). The gauge peaked at 13.09 ft at May 26, 2015, 3:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor51005/2405/2505/26
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08155300, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

823 
WGUS44 KEWX 240353
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1053 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Barton Creek...Pedernales River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC031-242153-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-150525T0717Z/
/JOCT2.3.ER.150524T0043Z.150524T0600Z.150524T1917Z.NO/
1053 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...Observed flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Pedernales River At Johnson City.
* until late Sunday night...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At 10:00 PM Saturday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise to near 20.3 feet by late Saturday night
  or early Sunday morning. The river level will fall below flood stage early afternoon
  Sunday.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Major flooding makes secondary and primary roads below
  Stonewall to Lake Travis very dangerous. Low park areas downstream in 
  Pedernales Falls State Park flood..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.4 feet on May 25 
  2007.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Johnson City       13   14   19.2   Sat 10 PM  17.8  12.1  11.3  11.0  10.8


&&

LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
      3041 9802 3031 9812             

$$

TXC453-242153-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0035.150524T1104Z-150525T1948Z/
/ABTT2.1.ER.150524T1104Z.150524T1800Z.150525T0748Z.NO/
1053 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the Barton Creek At Loop 360.
* from Sunday morning to Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Saturday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek level will rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and
  continue to rise to near 9.7 feet by early Sunday afternoon.The river level will
  fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches lowest secondary roads 
  and low bridges. Significant rise downstream in Barton Springs Pool..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Barton Ck Loop 3    8    8    4.4   Sat 10 PM   8.4   7.3   4.7   4.4   4.2


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$
3 follow-up statements
066 
WGUS84 KEWX 241410
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
910 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Barton Creek At Barton Ck Loop 360 AFFECTING Travis County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC453-250810-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150525T2100Z/
/ABTT2.3.ER.150524T1023Z.150524T1600Z.150525T0900Z.NO/
910 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Barton Creek At Barton Ck Loop 360.
* At  9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 14.3 feet by late this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Major flooding covers lower areas of Barton Springs 
  Pool downstream. Jogging and biking trails in the lower flood plain are 
  flooded. Flow is near the USGS 1:10 year flood level of 14.2 feet..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Barton Ck Loop 3    8    8   12.9   Sun  9 AM   7.3   4.5   4.3   4.2   4.0


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$
611 
WGUS84 KEWX 241653
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1153 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Barton Creek At Barton Ck Loop 360 AFFECTING Travis County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC453-250612-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150525T0612Z/
/ABTT2.3.ER.150524T1023Z.150524T1435Z.150524T1812Z.NO/
1153 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Barton Creek At Barton Ck Loop 360.
* At 11:00 AM Sunday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and will fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Major flooding puts flow overbanks in Barton Springs 
  Pool downstream. Roads and low bridges are very dangerous above Loop 360 to 
  the Colorado River..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Barton Ck Loop 3    8    8   11.7   Sun 11 AM   4.7   4.6   4.4   4.2   4.0


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$
229 
WGUS84 KEWX 250145
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
845 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Barton Creek At Barton Ck Loop 360 AFFECTING Travis County
  Onion Creek At Hwy 183 AFFECTING Travis County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC453-250215-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-150525T0612Z/
/ABTT2.3.ER.150524T1023Z.150524T1435Z.150524T2144Z.NO/
845 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for the Barton Creek At Loop 360.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will continue to fall to 4.6 feet by
  Tuesday morning. No flooding is expected.
  This will be the last forecast issued for this event.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Flow exceeds lowest sections of the banks..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Barton Ck Loop 3    8    8    6.9   Sun 08 PM   5.6   4.6   4.2   4.1   3.9


&&

LAT...LON 3028 9788 3031 9785 3027 9781 3028 9778
      3025 9774 3022 9781             

$$

TXC453-250215-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-150525T1024Z/
/ATIT2.1.ER.150524T1516Z.150524T1830Z.150525T0105Z.NO/
845 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for the Onion Creek At Hwy 183.
* At  8:20 PM Sunday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level will continue to fall to 6.6 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...The 12000 block of Old San Antonio Road upstream may 
  be flooded. Neighborhoods along Onion Creek are not affected..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Hwy 183            15   17   16.7   Sun 08 PM  10.7   6.6   6.1   5.8   5.7


&&

LAT...LON 3012 9781 3018 9779 3023 9759 3019 9753


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 23, 6:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 23, 6:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
649 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.AVIATION...
STORMS HAVE CLEARED THE DRT AREA FOR THE TIME BEING BUT HAVE KEPT
IN CHANCES FOR LATER TONIGHT. SAT/SSF WILL BE IMPACTED BY MORE
STORMS WITHIN THE NEXT 2 HOURS AND AUSTIN A BIT LONGER. BUT
PREVAILING THUNDER FOR THESE I-35 TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST
MIDNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 226 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
AN ACTIVE AND COMPLEX FORECAST IS SHAPING UP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BOTH
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM ON SUNDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THAT IS ONGOING CURRENTLY ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY AND I-35
CORRIDOR CONVECTION HAS BEGUN ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE BIG
BEND REGION. THIS IS THE START OF A LARGE LINEAR MCS THAT ALL OF
THE MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW MOVING ACROSS THE STATE THIS EVENING
INTO EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS
BEEN SITTING OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE TO THE EAST
AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT PROVIDING THE LIFT FOR
THIS MCS. THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOW 70S AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2
INCHES. THERE IS ALSO PLENTY OF INSTABILITY OVER THE AREA WITH
THE MORNING DRT AND CRP SOUNDINGS BOTH HAVING 2000 - 3000 J/KG OF
CAPE. A GOOD AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL AND BULK SHEAR IS ALSO EVIDENT
ACCORDING TO THE MODELS. THIS MEANS THAT ALL OF THE INGREDIENTS
ARE IN PLACE FOR BOTH HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO TOMORROW. WILL
BREAKDOWN THE THREATS AND THE TIME PERIODS IN THE REST OF THE
SHORT TERM AFD.

FOR TONIGHT...AS ALREADY DISCUSSED...THE MESOSCALE MODELS DEVELOP
A COMPLEX OF STORMS THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. TIMING FOR THIS CONTINUES TO GET EARLIER. THE NSSL WRF
AND ARM BOTH HAVE THE LINE APPROACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON. THE TEXAS TECH WRF AND HRRR AND NMM ALL SAY THAT
THE LINE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND APPROACHING
THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY 9PM AND SLOWLY PUSHING EAST THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS THE EARLIER
TIMING IS BEGINNING TO LOOK MORE LIKELY. MODELS ARE STILL HOLDING
ONTO 1-3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS INITIAL WAVE OF
CONVECTION. THIS...ON TOP OF ADDITIONAL RAINS THAT HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN TODAY...AND THE FACT THAT SOILS ARE SATURATED WILL LEAD TO
THE THREAT OF BOTH RIVER FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL ALSO BE PRESENT. WHILE CONVECTION GROUPING
TOGETHER LIKE THIS TYPICAL MEANS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
A LITTLE BIT LESS...CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE VERY FAVORABLE. THE
MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE FIRST DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS WITHIN
BOWING SECTIONS OF THE LINE. THE HRRR ACTUAL SUPPORTS THIS WITH
SEVERAL BOWING SECTIONS BEING SHOWN IN THE MODEL REFLECTIVITY.
THERE IS ALSO SUFFICIENT SURFACE WIND SHEAR AND HELICITY VALUES
TO RESULT IN AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT AS WINDS PROFILES TURN
WITH HEIGHT.

DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT THOSE OUT AND
ABOUT FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE ON LOCAL RIVERS
AND LAKES...MONITOR THE WEATHER AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD A
WARNING BE ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA. HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS TO RECEIVE
WEATHER INFORMATION...HAVE A PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER OR GET TO SAFETY
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING OCCUR...AND ALWAYS REMEMBER TO
TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

AS WE GET INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES WITH
CONTINUED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER. MODELS NOW
SHOW THE LINE MOVING OUT OF OUR CWA BY 09Z TO 12Z (4 TO 7 AM).
BEHIND THE LINE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SOME WHAT WORKED OVER FROM
THE NIGHT OF STORMS. ALTHOUGH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW OVER 3000 J/KG
OF CAPE...SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY...DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. THE SAME SOUNDINGS SHOW SIGNIFICANT LOW
AND UPPER LEVEL DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAYS. MESOSCALE MODELS LIKE THE ARM/NMM/NSSL WRF DO SHOW
SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE
LIMITED.

TO SUMMARIZE THE NEXT 24 HOURS...1 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IN EFFECT. THE LINE SHOULD BE PUSHING OUT OF OUR AREA
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WINDS
ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO EXIST WITH THE LINE. BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ONLY AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. EVERYONE SHOULD BE
WEATHER AWARE FOR THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY THOSE OUT AND ABOUT ON
AREA RIVERS AND LAKES.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
THE BREAK FROM THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES ON MONDAY.
THIS DISTURBANCE...CURRENTLY SEEN ON WATER VAPOR ACROSS NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE LARGER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND GIVE SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN AND
STORMS. MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BEST TIMING FOR ANOTHER WAVE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE FROM AROUND LUNCH TIME THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MODEL QPF (FROM THE GFS AND ECMWF) FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
SUGGEST ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
REMAIN OVER 1.5 INCHES AS WELL. LATER SHIFTS WOULD POSSIBLE NEED
TO CONSIDER EXTENDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTO MONDAY AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASES. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO
RETURN ON MONDAY. SPC HAS THE AREA CURRENTLY BLANKETED IN A DAY 3
SLIGHT RISK. MODEL SOUNDINGS AGAIN SHOW CAPE AND SHEAR VALUES
SUPPORTIVE OF HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORM
MODE AND COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DETERMINE THE OVERALL THREAT OF
TORNADOES AS CHANCES ARE BETTER WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS RATHER
THAN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OR MCS STORM MODES. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY CLOSELY. STRESSING
AGAIN...ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS FOR THE HOLIDAY NEEDS TO MAKE
SURE THEY ARE WEATHER AWARE AND HAVE A PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOP.

THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FOR TUESDAY IS MORE ZONAL WITH SOME SLIGHT
RIDGING FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER REDUCTION IN POP
CHANCES FOR MID-WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK ANOTHER LARGE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP ACROSS THE WEST RETURNING THE AREA TO A
SIMILAR PATTERN THAT WE HAVE BEEN IN FOR THE LAST FEW WEEKS WITH A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH SENDING A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE
AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE RISE AGAIN LATE NEXT WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              69  81  70  81  69 /  90  70  30  70  60
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  82  69  81  68 /  90  70  30  70  60
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     68  83  69  81  70 /  90  70  40  70  60
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            67  81  69  80  67 /  90  70  30  70  40
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           68  90  71  89  69 /  60  30  20  50  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        69  80  69  80  68 /  90  70  30  70  50
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             68  85  70  83  69 /  90  40  30  70  40
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        69  82  69  81  69 /  90  70  40  70  60
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   71  82  71  82  71 /  80  80  60  60  60
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       68  84  71  82  71 /  90  60  40  70  50
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           69  84  71  83  71 /  90  60  40  70  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...
GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...
KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...
UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...09
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...TREADWAY
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30
Hazardous weather outlook, May 23, 6:40 PM CDT, 4 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

TXZ171>173-186>194-203>209-217>225-228-242345-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-
HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-UVALDE-MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-
CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-
GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM
SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE HILL COUNTRY...I-35 CORRIDOR AND POINTS
EAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER WESTERN
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TODAY. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TODAY AS A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WITH NEARLY SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A HIGH
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 1
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE NEW RISES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON RIVERS...
CONDITIONS ALONG THE LEAD EDGE OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL BE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAYTIME
HOURS SUNDAY WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY
EVENING. THE CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO SUNDAY...MEANS ALL
OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE A POTENTIAL
TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES. SOME RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM RECENT
RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE SUNDAY...MAINLY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

NEW EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AGAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-35. THE STORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR THE FIVE DAY PERIOD ENDING TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WHILE SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVING UP
TO 6 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

TXZ183>185-202-242345-
VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KINNEY-
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH 9
PM SATURDAY EVENING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED
OVER WESTERN PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TODAY. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TODAY AS A LARGE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS. WITH NEARLY SATURATED
SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A HIGH
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 1
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE NEW RISES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS ON RIVERS...
CONDITIONS ALONG THE LEAD EDGE OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL BE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAYTIME
HOURS SUNDAY WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SUNDAY
EVENING. THE CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO SUNDAY...MEANS ALL
OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HAVE A POTENTIAL
TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES. SOME RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM RECENT
RAINFALL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL
ALSO CONTINUE SUNDAY...MAINLY ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

NEW EPISODES OF HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AGAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-35. THE STORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

WIDESPREAD RAINS FOR THE FIVE DAY PERIOD ENDING TUESDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WHILE SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVING UP
TO 6 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 23, 10:42 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1042 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S WELLS BRANCH        30.36N  97.68W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO BUILDING. VANS PUSHED ACROSS PARKING LOT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500464

CVP
Local storm report, May 23, 10:44 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1044 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     AUSTIN BERGSTROM INT AP 30.20N  97.67W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   PUBLIC

            AIRPORT WEATHER OBSERVER OFFICE DAMAGED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500465

CVP
Local storm report, May 23, 10:46 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1046 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTY HILL            30.67N  97.92W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING OF HOMES IN LIBERTY HILL NEAR 1869 AND 279.
            EVACUATIONS ONGOING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500466

CVP
Special weather statement, May 23, 10:47 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1047 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

TXZ194-209-223-225-240415-
GONZALES TX-LEE TX-LAVACA TX-FAYETTE TX-
1047 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FAYETTE...NORTHEASTERN
GONZALES...NORTHWESTERN LAVACA AND EASTERN LEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM
CDT...

AT 1047 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR TANGLEWOOD TO DIME BOX
TO NEAR LA GRANGE TO NEAR WAELDER...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GIDDINGS...LA GRANGE...SCHULENBURG...HALLETTSVILLE...FLATONIA...
MOULTON...SHELBY...WAELDER...FAYETTEVILLE...ROUND TOP...MULDOON...
DIME BOX...MORAVIA...DUBINA...ELLINGER...ENGLE...REK HILL...WARDA...
WALDECK AND AMMANNSVILLE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2963 9687 2963 9686 2958 9683 2956 9678
      2943 9693 2965 9735 3000 9694 3035 9688
      3055 9696 3054 9692 3046 9690 3039 9679
      3032 9674 3029 9664 3024 9674 3020 9674
      3016 9679 3014 9677 3015 9665 2996 9657
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 291DEG 29KT 3055 9692 3033 9684 2998 9690 2969
9724

ZEITLER
Local storm report, May 23, 10:50 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1050 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1049 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE AUSTIN            30.30N  97.69W
05/23/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN ON OLD MANOR RD

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500467

CVP
Local storm report, May 23, 10:51 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1051 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTY HILL            30.67N  97.92W
05/23/2015                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ON HWY 29 AT US 183

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500468

CVP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 7:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXFrio49 min
May 23, 7:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFrio, Zavala3 hr
May 23, 7:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKerr31 hr
May 23, 7:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKendall19 hr
May 23, 7:39 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco24 hr
May 23, 7:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXHays26 min
May 23, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina40 min
May 23, 7:52 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde21 hr
May 23, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBexar, Medina35 min
May 23, 8:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFrio3 hr
May 23, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Hays, Travis41 min
May 23, 8:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Uvalde3 hr
May 23, 8:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal22 hr
May 23, 8:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXHays55 hr
May 23, 8:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Gonzales4 days
May 23, 8:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDeWitt8 days
May 23, 8:13 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXHays, Travis32 min
May 23, 8:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Hays and 2 more3 hr
May 23, 8:23 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBexar37 min
May 23, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Comal, Frio, Guadalupe43 min
May 23, 8:40 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde32 hr
May 23, 8:40 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXFrio6 days
May 23, 8:43 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXTravis32 min
May 23, 8:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXHays45 min
May 23, 8:55 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXHays, Travis35 min
May 23, 8:56 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKerr26 hr
May 23, 9:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXAtascosa, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Wilson53 min
May 23, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis44 min
May 23, 9:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Wilson3 hr
May 23, 9:32 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBurnet, Williamson31 min
May 23, 9:32 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBurnet, Williamson28 min
May 23, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilliamson51 min
May 23, 9:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Lee3 hr
May 23, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Lee, Williamson42 min
May 23, 10:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala3 hr
May 23, 10:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXAtascosa, Gonzales40 min
May 23, 10:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXFayette28 min
May 23, 10:49 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEWXBandera, Real3 hr
May 23, 10:51 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBurnet3 hr
May 23, 11:05 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde28 hr
May 23, 11:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet, Comal, Hays, Travis, Williamson3 hr
May 23, 11:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar3 hr
May 23, 11:24 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXHays6 hr
May 23, 11:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real, Val Verde3 hr
May 23, 11:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar19 hr
May 23, 11:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar44 hr
May 23, 11:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar27 hr
May 23, 11:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Wilson55 hr
May 24, 12:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXMedina22 hr
May 24, 12:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXMedina22 hr
May 24, 12:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Gillespie, Kendall and 3 more6 hr
May 24, 12:55 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBandera, Kerr50 min
May 24, 1:25 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe, Hays8 hr
May 24, 1:34 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala3 hr
May 24, 2:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell, Comal, Guadalupe and 4 more5 hr
May 24, 2:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXWilliamson21 hr
May 24, 3:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales, Lavaca, Lee4 hr
May 24, 5:11 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXHays3 hr
May 24, 7:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Guadalupe20 hr
May 24, 7:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes4 days
May 24, 8:06 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningEWXHays6 hr
May 24, 8:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXTravis21 hr
May 24, 8:47 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe, Hays3 hr
May 24, 9:17 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Gonzales22 hr
May 24, 9:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXGonzales5 days
May 24, 9:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes3 days
May 24, 11:38 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe, Hays6 hr
May 24, 2:12 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEWXHays3 hr
May 24, 3:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchEWXAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 27 more34 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.