Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Kansas City, MO

230 
WWUS53 KEAX 211458
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
958 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

MOC033-041-211508-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-150621T1515Z/
CARROLL MO-CHARITON MO-
958 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CHARITON AND
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3911 9296 3923 9335 3933 9324 3933 9323
      3935 9321 3926 9292 3924 9294 3923 9293
      3922 9289 3923 9287 3923 9286
TIME...MOT...LOC 1458Z 293DEG 20KT 3922 9307

$$

MOC195-211515-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-150621T1515Z/
SALINE MO-
958 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
SALINE COUNTY UNTIL 1015 AM CDT...

AT 953 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SLATER...AND
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GILLIAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3911 9296 3923 9335 3933 9324 3933 9323
      3935 9321 3926 9292 3924 9294 3923 9293
      3922 9289 3923 9287 3923 9286
TIME...MOT...LOC 1458Z 293DEG 20KT 3922 9307

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MJ

665 
WWUS53 KEAX 211506
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1006 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

MOC195-211515-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-150621T1515Z/
SALINE MO-
1006 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
SALINE COUNTY UNTIL 1015 AM CDT...

AT 1002 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SLATER...AND
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SLATER AND GILLIAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3911 9296 3921 9328 3932 9322 3933 9319
      3921 9288
TIME...MOT...LOC 1507Z 293DEG 20KT 3919 9311

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MJ

045 
WWUS53 KEAX 211512
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1012 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

MOC195-211523-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-150621T1515Z/
SALINE MO-
1012 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SALINE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 AM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3911 9296 3921 9328 3932 9322 3933 9319
      3921 9288
TIME...MOT...LOC 1513Z 293DEG 20KT 3918 9307

$$

MJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
623 AM CDT Sun Jun 21 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 359 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

Sct shwrs/storms ongoing across north-central Missouri this morning
as warm air advection on the heels of a veering low-level jet interacts
with a stalled frontal boundary. Within the past few hours...radar
trends have shown gradual weakening as convergence into the boundary
has faltered to some degree. In any event...current activity may
last another few hours before drier conditions temporary move into
the area towards sunrise. Meanwhile to our northwest...IR satellite
showing notable cooling across southern South Dakota/northern
Nebraska this morning as another MCS is developing in northwest flow
aloft. Quick look at the various high-res models suggests convection
will continue to move southeast through the morning...before possibly
moving into our area by early afternoon. If this were not enough...a
secondary round of storms will be possible later this afternoon as
the lingering front begins to slowly retreat northward with time.
With either round...strong wind fields aloft combined with moderate
levels of instability will support isolated severe storms with strong
winds and large hail remaining the main concerns once again. Latest
SPC Day 1 outlook places a good majority of the region in Slgt Risk
and NAM/GFS bulk shear and instability forecasts certainly support
the outlooked area.

Temp forecast is defiantly a tricky one for today as previously
mentioned frontal boundary is forecast to lift north towards the IA
state line by tonight. Meanwhile...early morning convection likely
reinforced this boundary to some degree and any developing convection
later on may also prevent much northward movement. For now...have
played current high temp forecast on the conservative side with
mid/upper 80s expected across north-central MO...with low 90s likely
from the Missouri Rvr south. Current fcst calls for sub advisory heat
indices...however warm and muggy conditions will definitely be in
place across the Metro region this afternoon.

Frontal boundary expected to lift north of the area early Monday
morning with any overnight convection likely coming to an end
towards daybreak at the latest. This will set the stage for what appears
to be another very hot day as 850 thermal ridging overspreads the
area. Surprisingly...latest MOS numbers have come down a few degrees
cooler than in previous runs...but cannot see any real reason to
believe low to mid 90s won/t be possible by Monday afternoon. In any
event...downslope flow combined with deep layers mixing should
support heat indices again meeting criteria across the KC Metro. Have
elected to hold off on an advisory right now based on limited model
support...however if signals (thermal ridging/downslope winds) remain
in place with 12z model runs...dayshift could easily go with one this
afternoon.

By Tuesday...models suggest cold front will once again sag south
across the region as a shortwave trough moves through the upper Miss
Rvr Vly and sfc high pressure builds south across the Northern
Plains. The end result will be cooler temps by midweek as frontal
boundary stalls across the fcst region. As was mentioned
yesterday...signals for an extended wet period continue to present
themselves this morning as ample amounts of low-level moisture move
north thanks to a wide open Gulf of Mexico. This combined with the
migration of several shortwave disturbances embedded in northwest
flow aloft will set the stage for repeated rounds of shwrs/storms.
Will have to watch this closely based on possible heavy rain
concerns and already elevated water levels on area rivers and
streams.

Towards the end of the week/early weekend...stalled front expected to
finally move through the area as strong high pressure builds south
from the Northern Plains. This should lead to slightly below normal
temperatures heading into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday Morning)
Issued at 623 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

Mainly VFR conditions expected through the fcst cycle. Will have to
watch MCS activity now in place over central Nebraska...as high-res
models show activity skirting northern terminals later this morning.
Otherwise...isolated shwrs/storms expected to develop this afternoon
along a lingering frontal boundary. Will maintain VCTS mention at all
terminals with the exception of IXD. Activity should begin to
dissipate early this evening as boundary begins lifting northward
with time. Winds will generally remain from the south between 8-12 kts
through the period.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...32
AVIATION...32

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
452 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-221000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
452 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
 EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH
 OF A SEDALIA TO ST. JOSEPH LINE ALTHOUGH, ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
 WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THAT LINE. THE MAIN THREATS WOULD BE
 FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND
 DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

 HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
 TO MID 90S AND HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
621 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             4 SE LUCERNE            40.42N 93.24W
06/20/2015  E0.75 INCH       PUTNAM             MO   PUBLIC

0752 PM     TSTM WND DMG     UNIONVILLE              40.48N 93.00W
06/20/2015                   PUTNAM             MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            10 INCH TREE LIMB DOWN OVER HIGHWAY 136...POWER OUT IN
            TOWN

0756 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 E UNIONVILLE          40.48N 92.91W
06/20/2015  E60.00 MPH       PUTNAM             MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     W UNIONVILLE            40.48N 93.00W
06/20/2015                   PUTNAM             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MANY TREES UPROOTED LARGEST OF WHICH WAS 3 FOOT IN
            DIAMETER.

0805 PM     HAIL             W UNIONVILLE            40.48N 93.00W
06/20/2015  E1.25 INCH       PUTNAM             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0810 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW UNIONVILLE         40.42N 93.07W
06/20/2015  E60.00 MPH       PUTNAM             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0810 PM     HAIL             5 SW UNIONVILLE         40.42N 93.07W
06/20/2015  E0.75 INCH       PUTNAM             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0820 PM     HAIL             8 N GREEN CITY          40.38N 92.95W
06/20/2015  E0.75 INCH       SULLIVAN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0828 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W WORTHINGTON         40.41N 92.76W
06/20/2015                   PUTNAM             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 INCH BRANCHES DOWN

0830 PM     TSTM WND GST     GREEN CITY              40.27N 92.95W
06/20/2015  E60.00 MPH       SULLIVAN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0905 PM     HAIL             3 E GREEN CASTLE        40.26N 92.82W
06/20/2015  E0.75 INCH       ADAIR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0912 PM     HAIL             8 E GREEN CITY          40.27N 92.80W
06/20/2015  E1.00 INCH       ADAIR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0912 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 E GREEN CITY          40.27N 92.80W
06/20/2015  E70.00 MPH       ADAIR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BRANCHES DOWN

0939 PM     HAIL             NOVINGER                40.23N 92.71W
06/20/2015  E0.88 INCH       ADAIR              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

PMURRAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
922 AM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HAIL             SMITHVILLE              39.39N 94.58W
06/21/2015  E1.75 INCH       CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

&&

CUTTER