Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 220, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 29, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 29, 2015, 3:08 AM AKST. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 29, 2015, 3:08 AM AKST (12:08 UTC)
Expired
Dec 30, 2015, 2:30 PM AKST
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

640 
FZAK52 PAFC 291208
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-300045-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 958 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT GEORGE MOVES TO 175 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 963 MB LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN
BECOMES ABSORBED BY WED AFTERNOON. A 960 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAND POINT TUE AFTERNOON MOVES TO 50 NM WEST OF PORT HEIDEN AT
950 MB LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN BECOMES A BROAD LOW AS IT MOVES TO
75 NM NORTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 969 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-300045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 32 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 33 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-300045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE
AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING
TO E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21
FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 50 KT EARLY BECOMING
SE 30 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-300045-
BRISTOL BAY-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT DEVELOPING BY LATE EVENING.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE
MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO S 35 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-300045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT SW 45 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-300045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-300045-
UNALASKA BAY-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING.
WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-300045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-300045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-300045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-300045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-300045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-300045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-300045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N AND W OF SHEMYA.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-300045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING S 30 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT TOWARD
MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EARLY INCREASING TO SW 15 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-300045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT EARLY BECOMING SW 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-300045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-300045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
308 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N AND W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$
3 follow-up statements
682 
FZAK52 PAFC 292355
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-301230-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 964 MB LOW 110 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL TRACK TO
330 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK AT 965 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME A
BROAD LOW CENTERED 200 NM NORTH OF ADAK AT 975 MB THU AFTERNOON.
A 964 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN
TO 950 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM WED MORNING THEN TRACKS
TO 80 NM NORTHWEST OF HOOPER BAY AT 960 MB WED AFTERNOON BEFORE
MERGING INTO THE BROAD LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-301230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT THROUGH THE EVENING.
SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-301230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-301230-
BRISTOL BAY-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO SE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-301230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
FROM PORT MOLLER E...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT SW 45 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-301230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-301230-
UNALASKA BAY-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-301230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-301230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-301230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-301230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-301230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-301230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-301230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-301230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT THROUGH THE
EVENING. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-301230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-301230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-301230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
255 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY
NW OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY FREEZING
SPRAY NW OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 35 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY FREEZING SPRAY NW OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$
662 
FZAK52 PAFC 301203
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-310115-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 953 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF PORT HEIDEN MOVES TO 125 NM SOUTH OF
GAMBELL AT 969 MB LATE WED NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATES. A 981 MB LOW
225 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND WED AFTERNOON MOVES TO 50 NM WEST
OF AKHIOK AT 975 MB LATE WED NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO MAINLAND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND DISSIPATES. A 961 MB LOW MOVES TO 225 NM
SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-310115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29
FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT EARLY BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-310115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT EARLY BECOMING S 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E...SW WIND 50 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO S 30 KT. SEAS 23
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-310115-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT EARLY
THIS MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-310115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-310115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-310115-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-310115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-310115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-310115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-310115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-310115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-310115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-310115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SHEMYA.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-310115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-310115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT DURING
THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO S 40 LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-310115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT TOWARD
MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-310115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON E OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 40 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT S 30 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW E. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N AND W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$
600 
FZAK52 PAFC 302330
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-311200-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 960 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHWEST OF HOOPER BAY AND A 968 MB LOW 300 NM NORTHEAST OF
SHEMYA WILL BOTH WEAKEN AND BECOME A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA BY THU AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY
FRI. A 985 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL TRACK TO NEAR KING
SALMON AT 980 MB WED NIGHT BEFORE MOVING INLAND AND DISSIPATING
THU. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 60 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK AT
962 MB BY FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-311200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-311200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-311200-
BRISTOL BAY-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-311200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-311200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-311200-
UNALASKA BAY-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-311200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-311200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-311200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-311200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-311200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-311200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-311200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-311200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-311200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-311200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-311200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
230 PM AKST WED DEC 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 28, 4:47 PM AKST, 10 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 4:47 PM AKST, 10 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
447 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN IS IN PLACE ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA WITH
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGING WARM AIR NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA.
AN IMPRESSIVELY STRONG FRONT IS AFFECTING SOUTHERN ALASKA...WITH
THE FRONTAL POSITION AT MIDDAY MONDAY STRETCHING FROM THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE TO ANCHORAGE AND NORTHERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WARNING LEVEL WINDS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ALONG
THE LENGTH OF TURNAGAIN ARM...WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH
THOMPSON PASS AND HEAVY SNOW OVER PORTIONS OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY.
WARM AIR HAS CHANGED PRECIPITATION TO RAIN FROM THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY SOUTHWARD (INCLUDING ANCHORAGE) WITH GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND TEMPERATURES SOARING INTO THE 40S IN MANY LOCATIONS.

WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...THE ENTIRE BERING AND ALEUTIAN REGION
ALONG WITH THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
SPRAWLING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ANCHORED IN THE SOUTHERN BERING.
THIS FEATURE HAS MULTIPLE VIGOROUS SHORTWAVES ALOFT SPINNING
AROUND IT...WITH MULTIPLE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTERS AS WELL. AT
PRESENT...THE MOST IMPRESSIVE OF THESE IS SHORTWAVE/FRONT
AFFECTING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA WITH GALE
FORCE WINDS AND RAIN. OTHER LOCATIONS ARE SEEING MORE SHOWERY
CONDITIONS...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN IN THE MARITIME AREAS AND
SNOW OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ALL NOW DEPICT THE TRAILING SHORTWAVE THAT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH THE SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT...PROLONGING THE SNOW
EVENT THERE. MODEL DISAGREEMENT INCREASES BY TUESDAY
NIGHT/WEDNESDAY REGARDING THE NEXT STORM THAT WILL BE
STRENGTHENING AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST OF THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND. THE NAM IS STILL THE FASTEST...BUT IS GRADUALLY SLOWING
DOWN WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE MODEL RUN. THE GFS IS STILL THE
STRONGEST/DEEPEST SOLUTION BY A WIDE MARGIN. THE 12Z ECMWF IS A
GOOD COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE TWO...WITH A POSITION FURTHER WEST
THAN THE NAM...WHICH MAKES SENSE BASED ON LONGWAVE TROUGH/ANCHOR
LOW POSITION IN THE BERING SEA...BUT A MORE MODERATE STRENGTH THAT
AT THIS TIME IS A BETTER TREND-FIT FOR THE FORECAST. IT IS WORTH
NOTING THAT ALL SOLUTIONS ARE SLOWLY TRENDING STRONGER WITH THIS
STORM...WHICH WILL LIKELY STILL BE STRENGTHENING AS IT AFFECTS THE
COMPLEX TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. OVERALL...THE ECMWF IS THE PREFERRED MODEL AND
IS BEING USED IN THE GENERATION OF THE AFTERNOON FORECASTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

AS THE FRONT CONTINUES MOVING INLAND TONIGHT IT WILL BRING RAIN
SHOWERS TO COASTAL LOCATIONS AND AS FAR NORTH AS TALKEETNA. NORTH
OF TALKEETNA WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY COLD FOR SNOW...WHICH WILL
ALSO FALL JUST NORTH OF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS IN THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. ON TUESDAY PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO SNOW IN THE
MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY WITH LINGERING SNOW
SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CHUGACH AND WRANGELL MOUNTAINS. ON TUE
AFTERNOON THE NEXT FRONT ENTERS THE GULF AND THEN REACHES THE
NORTH GULF COAST BY WED AFTERNOON. IN THE PROCESS IT WILL CAUSE WINDS
TO INCREASE ALONG THE LENGTH OF TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY.
HIGH WIND WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR POSSIBLY DANGEROUS WINDS
THROUGH THIS AREA TUE NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WED. OTHERWISE MUCH OF
THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SECOND FRONT WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF RAIN THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INLAND
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING QUICKLY REPLACING THE PREVIOUS FRONT
NOW LIFTING NORTH OUT OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA INTO INTERIOR ALASKA.
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN STRETCHED ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH A
DEFORMATION BAND OF ENHANCED PRECIPITATION STRETCHED ACROSS THE
AHKLUN...KILBUCK AND KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE
FRONT IS SHEARED APART BY ITS PARENT LOW LIFTING NORTH AND A NEW
FRONTAL WAVE RAPIDLY DEEPENING TO THE SOUTH.

THE NEXT STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT UP FROM THE SOUTH
TUESDAY NIGHT...CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MOVING INTO
BRISTOL BAY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WHILE MODELS DIFFER ON THE PRECISE
TRACK OF THE LOW AND CENTRAL PRESSURE...ALL ARE STILL DEEPENING
THE LOW AS IT CROSSES BRISTOL BAY...WHICH GIVEN ITS TRACK FROM
ROUGHLY PORT MOLLER TO CAPE NEWENHAM MAKES HIGH WINDS A DEFINITE
CONCERN FOR THE BRISTOL BAY AREA. INITIALLY EAST WINDS ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL BE FAVORED ESPECIALLY
NEAR GAPS AND PASSES. ONCE THE LOW PASSES BY...WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
STRONG PRESSURE RISES FAVORING THE STRONGEST WINDS TO OCCUR ALONG
AND NEAR THE NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY COAST. WHILE THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION...DUE TO THE
RAPID PROGRESS OF THE LOW THEY ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MOST ALL OF
THE BRISTOL BAY ZONES DURING SOME PORTION OF THE LOWS PASSAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
INDIVIDUAL AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE
LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE BERING. THE LOW CURRENTLY
OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL LIFT NORTH UP TOWARDS THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...THEN CONTINUE TO FILL AND WEAKEN AS
IT TRACKS NORTHEAST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL COOL
SHOWERY TROUGHS WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH MIDWEEK
BUT REMAIN LESS ORGANIZED.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

AN UNSEASONABLE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH OVER THE BERING
SEA CONTINUES TO PUSH WARM SYSTEMS FROM THE SUBTROPICS UP TOWARD
THE ALASKA MAINLAND. THIS IS DUE IN LARGE PART TO MULTIPLE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND THEIR ASSOCIATED JET ENERGY COMING OFF THE
COAST OF RUSSIA AND WILL CONTINUE TO HELP DIG OUT THE TROUGH OVER
THE BERING SEA. WHILE A FEW SYSTEMS TRY TO FLATTEN AND WEAKEN THE
TROUGH...THE MERIDIONAL PATTERN IS JUST TOO STRONG. A COMPLEX AND
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS ADDITIONAL WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
CONTINUE TO PHASE WITH THE BROAD LOW OVER THE BERING SEA. THIS
WILL KEEP SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL IN THE STORM TRACK LEADING TO
AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER. HOWEVER...AS MENTIONED EARLIER THE
SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO USHER WARMER AIR FROM THE
SUBTROPICS UP TOWARD THE MAINLAND. WHILE TEMPERATURES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED
FORECAST...PERIODS OF ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. IT IS DIFFICULT TO DISCERN HOW WARM OR
COOL THE TEMPERATURES MAY BE AT THIS TIME...BUT THERE IS GREAT
CERTAINTY IN A PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

ALL HOPE IS NOT LOST FOR SNOW HOWEVER AS THE ACTIVE STORM PATTERN
SHOULD BRING SEVERAL CHANCES OF SNOW TO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...DOWNSLOPING
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A BIG CONCERN AS LOWS WEST OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA OFTEN PUSH A WARM FRONT THAT KEEPS PORTIONS OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA...ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY ON THE DRY SIDE
DUE TO CROSS BARRIER FLOW. HOWEVER...PATTERN RECOGNITION FAVORS
THAT AS THESE LOWS SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THAT
UPPER LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND A SHOT OF SNOW WOULD
BE POSSIBLE. THIS SCENARIO EXISTS FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND SATURDAY
BUT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON LOW TRACK. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH
DEVELOPING THESE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS IN THE GULF OF ALASKA DUE TO
THE COMPLEX NATURE AND ATYPICAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR THIS TIME OF
THE YEAR...SO THE CHANCES FOR SNOW COULD EITHER DECREASE OR
INCREASE IN THE COMING DAYS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH...101 125 161.
		 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...145.
MARINE...STORMS...119 120 130 131 132 150 351 352.
		 GALES...125 128 136 137 138 139 141 155
				 160 165 170 171 172 174 176
				 177 180 181 185 411 412 414.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AMD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...MC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr
Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC37 hr
Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Dec 28, 3:06 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 28, 3:06 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Dec 28, 3:06 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC47 hr
Dec 28, 3:53 PM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAFC13 hr
Dec 28, 3:59 PM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAFC13 hr
Dec 28, 11:32 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 hr
Dec 29, 3:08 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKSTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC20 hr
Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC35 hr
Dec 29, 4:33 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFC35 hr
Dec 29, 4:56 AM AKSTBlizzard WatchAFC11 hr
Dec 29, 5:05 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFC31 hr
Dec 29, 2:33 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 29, 2:55 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 29, 2:55 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Dec 29, 2:55 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.