Gale Warning 942, NWS Anchorage, AK

248 
FZAK51 PAFC 290832 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

UPDATED ZONES 121 125 128 139

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-292130-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE INLAND LATER THIS
EVENING. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 20 NM NORTH
OF CHIGNIK AT 962 MB TUE NIGHT BEFORE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN
BERING SEA BY WED AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-292130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ120-292130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ121-292130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-292130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-292130-
PORT VALDEZ-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-292130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-292130-
VALDEZ ARM-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-292130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-292130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-292130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-292130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-292130-
CHINIAK BAY-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-292130-
MARMOT BAY-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-292130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-292130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-292130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-292130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1132 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

363 
FZAK51 PAFC 291247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300130-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON...MOVES
TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVES ONSHORE ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST BY MIDDAY WED. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN GULF WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-300130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST...SE WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ120-300130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ121-300130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS 
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-300130-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-300130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-300130-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-300130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-300130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 70 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-300130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-300130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-300130-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-300130-
MARMOT BAY-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-300130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-300130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-300130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-300130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
538 AM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ALOFT THERE IS AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN GULF
EXTENDING TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHERN ALASKA. WHILE
UPSTREAM THERE IS A NEGATIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN BERING THAT EXTENDS THROUGH THE LOWER ALASKA PENINSULA
INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS FEATURE IS REFLECTED AT THE
SURFACE WITH A CLOSED TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMING OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA. FURTHER UPSTREAM A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS LOCATED
JUST SOUTH OF ADAK THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY STRONG 195 KNOT
NORTHWESTERLY JET STREAM TRACKING OFF THE EASTERN ASIA REGION
DIGGING INTO THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH LOCATED SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE JET STREAM TRANSITIONS INTO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE GULF. THIS IS BRINGING
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE
SOUTHCENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF AREAS. THIS CAN BE SEEN WITH
TEMPERATURES ALREADY IN THE 40S FOR THE KENAI PENINSULA. THESE
SYNOPTIC FEATURES ARE CREATING STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS THROUGH
THE ALASKA RANGE AND GUSTY CROSS BARRIER FLOW THROUGH THE SOUTH
MAINLAND REGION. THE SCATTEROMETER WIND IMAGERY IS SHOWING 40 TO
50 KNOT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS AREA.
WHILE THE RADAR IMAGERY IS SHOWING WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF AND THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES....THE UPPER WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA AND THE ANCHORAGE BOWL ARE SHOWING DRIER
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS.

THE BERING SEA AT THE SURFACE HAS A OCCLUDED LOW JUST WEST OF
ADAK THIS MORNING WITH AN ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING SEA. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE ON THE PACIFIC SIDE WITH SOUTHEASTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS ON
THE FRONT SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM EXTENDING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THE REST OF THE BERING SEA HAS GALE FORCE NORTHERLY
FLOW WITH A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME. THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG
THE CHAIN ARE IN THE MID 30S DEGREES AND BECOME COOLER AS YOU HEAD
FARTHER NORTH INTO THE BERING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA. THE SCATTEROMETER WINDS IMAGERY SHOWED GALE
FORCE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW FOR THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THIS MORNING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WEAK TRIPLE POINT LOW
FORMING JUST SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND THE WEATHER FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS MORNING. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WAS THE NAM BEING A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THIS FRONTAL
SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL
THERE WAS LITTLE MODEL CHANGE EXCEPT FOR SLOWING THE FRONT AS IT
TRACKS INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION. THE MODELS DID STRUGGLE WITH
MOVING THE WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR A
LITTLE TO QUICKLY THIS MORNING. DILLINGHAM IS STILL REPORTING
TEMPERATURES AT 32 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT AND TO THE EAST...THE
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S
DEGREE RANGE. WHILE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AN OCCLUDED LOW
WILL TRACK TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY WEDNESDAY BUT OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING THE MODELS HAVE A WEAK LOW BECOMING SOME WHAT STATIONARY
BEFORE IT DISSIPATES BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DURING THIS SAME
TIME FRAME A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BE
TRACKING JUST SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. THIS WILL INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS. LOOK FOR THE SAME SCENARIO WITH STRONG GUSTY
GAP WINDS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE...BARREN ISLANDS...TURNAGAIN
ARM AND PORTAGE REGION BY MIDWEEK. THE GFS/EC WERE IN DECENT
AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT THE NAM WAS QUICKER AND PUSHED THIS
SYSTEM FARTHER NORTH. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM IS
ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FORECAST IS GENERALLY ON TRACK WITH A VERY STRONG NEGATIVELY
TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT CROSSING THE GULF
AND SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY. THE TIMING DOES LOOK A FEW HOURS SLOWER
THAN IT DID YESTERDAY...SO THIS DOES DELAY ARRIVAL OF STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG MUCH OF THE GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND UNTIL
MID TO LATE MORNING. WITH SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT IT WILL
TAKE LONGER FOR WARMER AIR TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO VALDEZ...SO HAVE
UPPED SNOW AMOUNTS IN TOWN WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED
THIS MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
HAVE ALSO MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
THE SUSITNA VALLEY. AS FRONT MOVES INLAND LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
SHIFT FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN PERSIST
THROUGH TONIGHT. THUS THE AREA OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL SHIFT FROM
WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY TO AREAS NORTH OF TALKEETNA UP THROUGH
BROAD PASS. EXPANDED ADVISORY TO INCLUDE THIS AREA AND EXTENDED
ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
WILL KEEP THE SNOWFALL GOING. ACCORDINGLY...ALSO UPPED STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATION.

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE SECOND SHORT-WAVE ON
TUESDAY PROVIDING A BREAK IN THE SEVERE WEATHER...THOUGH SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TIGHT KEEPING MORE LOCALIZED
GAP WINDS BLOWING. MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD ANOTHER VERY
STRONG FRONT CROSSING THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE SIMILAR TO WHAT IS EXPECTED TODAY...THOUGH
WITH A DEEP LOW TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA THE WINDS COULD
BE EVEN STRONGER. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE DEPTH
AND TRACK OF THIS NEXT SYSTEM. HAVE TRENDED STRONGER WITH WINDS
AND HIGHER WITH POPS...BUT THE DETAILS (AND DECISIONS ON WARNINGS
OR ADVISORIES) WILL HAVE TO BE DELAYED UNTIL THIS FIRST EVENT IS
OVER AND WHEN MODELS HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE NEXT SYSTEM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE EXTREMELY ACTIVE AND ENERGETIC JET STREAM MOVING SOUTH TO
NORTH ACROSS THE REGION WILL MEAN DYNAMIC WEATHER. THE SYSTEM NOW
IMPACTING SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY
TODAY. SNOW AND RAIN WILL BECOME SHOWERY IN NATURE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT...AND THE BROAD PUSH OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL
WARM MOST AREAS WELL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S WITH PREDOMINANT
P-TYPE BEING RAIN WITH THE SHOWERS. ANOTHER STRONG DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND BRING ANOTHER
PUSH OF PRECIPITATION...WITH MAINLY SNOW NORTH AND WEST OF A
DILLINGHAM TO SLEETMUTE LINE...WITH THE P-TYPE ALL RAIN TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS LINE WITH WARM ADVECTION OFF OF THE PACIFIC
AND COMPRESSIONAL WARMING ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN AND ALASKA RANGES.

BY LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THE GFS IS BY THE FAR THE MOST IMPRESSIVE WITH THE
STRENGTH OF THIS LOW AND WOULD PACK QUITE THE PUNCH WITH RESPECT
TO STRONG TO HIGH WINDS AND SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...MUCH OF IT
RAIN EXCEPT ALONG PARTS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST WHERE SNOW
WOULD BE MAINLY EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEAR CLOSE WATCHING AS
THIS EVENT NEARS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A STRONG LOW ABOUT 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL BRING STRONG
GALE-FORCE WINDS WITH STORM-FORCE GUSTS TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
TODAY AND THEN THE EASTERN BERING...EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AND
ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AS THE LOW BROADENS AND
WEAKENS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...COLDER
AIR MOVING WEST ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS WILL ALLOW FOR RAIN SHOWERS
TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS BY MID-WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
WEDNESDAY BEGINS WITH ANOTHER POTENT NORTH PACIFIC SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE MAINLAND. THIS ONE WILL CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA
INTO BRISTOL BAY WHILE SENDING A VIGOROUS FRONT AGAINST THE NORTH
GULF COAST. THE FRONT WILL EASILY BE STORM FORCE WITH AN OUTSIDE
CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS. ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS...THE PARTICULAR LOW TRACK INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION WINDS TO
COME DOWN INTO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. YET
ANOTHER CONTINUATION OF WARM AIR SURGING NORTHWARD AT THE SURFACE
WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION TYPE ALL RAIN AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S IN MOST AREAS.

FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AND BEYOND...THE ACTIVE SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES WITH A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW
MARCHING TOWARD SOUTHERN ALASKA. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE COMING OFF
A STOUT EAST ASIAN JET THAT EXTENDS WELL INTO THE NORTHERN
PACIFIC. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS EASILY SEEN...THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE OF THE FLOW AS THE DISTURBANCES APPROACH ALASKA IS NEVER
REALLY HANDLED WELL BY GUIDANCE. HOWEVER WE CAN EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF WARMER TEMPERATURES AND BOUTS OF RAIN AND WIND FOR
THE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101 125 135.
MARINE...STORM 119 125
         GALE 120 128 129 130 131 132 138 139 140 141 150 155 165
              170 172 173 174 176 177 178 180 181 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MTL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1152 AM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0921 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W WHITTIER            60.79N 148.81W
12/28/2015  M91.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

            41 MPH WINDS GUSTING TO 91 MPH REPORTED AT THE WHITTIER
            ACCESS ROAD AT TUNNEL MESONET STAION. TUNNEL IS REPORTED
            TO BE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WINDS.

&&

RDUELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
106 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST W MCHUGH CREEK RECREATI 61.02N 149.74W
12/28/2015  M79.00 MPH                          AK   MESONET

            SUSTAINED 61 MPH GUSTING TO 79 MPH MEASURED BY MCHUGH
            CREEK MESONET

&&

RDUELL