Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015
Storm Warning 178, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 28, 2015, 3:03 PM AKST. It was in force for 37 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 28, 2015, 3:03 PM AKST (00:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 30, 2015, 3:38 AM AKST
- In force
- 37 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
469 FZAK61 PAFC 290003 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 303 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-291430- 303 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A WEATHER FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE INLAND LATER THIS EVENING. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 57N 159W AT 962 MB TUE NIGHT BEFORE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY WED AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY WED MORNING. $$ PKZ351-291430- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 303 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 25 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. $$ PKZ352-291430- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 303 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 27 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 TO 27 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 21 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
653 FZAK61 PAFC 291236 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 336 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-300215- 336 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON...MOVES TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVES ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST BY MIDDAY WED. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN GULF WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ351-300215- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 336 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. $$ PKZ352-300215- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 336 AM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT BUILDING TO 22 TO 29 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 TO 27 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. $$
238 FZAK61 PAFC 292332 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 232 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-301500- 232 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...MOVES TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY WED MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN GULF WED AFTERNOON...AND MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE THU MORNING. $$ PKZ351-301500- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 232 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT BECOMING SE 45 TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING S 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. $$ PKZ352-301500- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 232 PM AKST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT BUILDING TO 22 TO 29 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 TO 27 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. $$
019 FZAK61 PAFC 301238 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 338 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-310230- 338 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A STRONG FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF MOVES INLAND WED MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF THU AFTERNOON...AND REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THU NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. A THIRD FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ351-310230- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 338 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 TO 25 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. $$ PKZ352-310230- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 338 AM AKST WED DEC 30 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO 26 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 28, 5:38 AM AKST, 9 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 5:38 AM AKST, 9 hours 25 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
538 AM AKST MON DEC 28 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ALOFT THERE IS AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN GULF
EXTENDING TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHERN ALASKA. WHILE
UPSTREAM THERE IS A NEGATIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN BERING THAT EXTENDS THROUGH THE LOWER ALASKA PENINSULA
INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS FEATURE IS REFLECTED AT THE
SURFACE WITH A CLOSED TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMING OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA. FURTHER UPSTREAM A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS LOCATED
JUST SOUTH OF ADAK THIS MORNING. THERE IS A VERY STRONG 195 KNOT
NORTHWESTERLY JET STREAM TRACKING OFF THE EASTERN ASIA REGION
DIGGING INTO THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH LOCATED SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE JET STREAM TRANSITIONS INTO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE GULF. THIS IS BRINGING
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE
SOUTHCENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF AREAS. THIS CAN BE SEEN WITH
TEMPERATURES ALREADY IN THE 40S FOR THE KENAI PENINSULA. THESE
SYNOPTIC FEATURES ARE CREATING STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS THROUGH
THE ALASKA RANGE AND GUSTY CROSS BARRIER FLOW THROUGH THE SOUTH
MAINLAND REGION. THE SCATTEROMETER WIND IMAGERY IS SHOWING 40 TO
50 KNOT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS AREA.
WHILE THE RADAR IMAGERY IS SHOWING WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF AND THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES....THE UPPER WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA AND THE ANCHORAGE BOWL ARE SHOWING DRIER
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS.
THE BERING SEA AT THE SURFACE HAS A OCCLUDED LOW JUST WEST OF
ADAK THIS MORNING WITH AN ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING SEA. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE ON THE PACIFIC SIDE WITH SOUTHEASTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS ON
THE FRONT SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM EXTENDING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THE REST OF THE BERING SEA HAS GALE FORCE NORTHERLY
FLOW WITH A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME. THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG
THE CHAIN ARE IN THE MID 30S DEGREES AND BECOME COOLER AS YOU HEAD
FARTHER NORTH INTO THE BERING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA. THE SCATTEROMETER WINDS IMAGERY SHOWED GALE
FORCE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW FOR THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THIS MORNING.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WEAK TRIPLE POINT LOW
FORMING JUST SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND THE WEATHER FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS MORNING. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WAS THE NAM BEING A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THIS FRONTAL
SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL
THERE WAS LITTLE MODEL CHANGE EXCEPT FOR SLOWING THE FRONT AS IT
TRACKS INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION. THE MODELS DID STRUGGLE WITH
MOVING THE WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE BRISTOL BAY INTERIOR A
LITTLE TO QUICKLY THIS MORNING. DILLINGHAM IS STILL REPORTING
TEMPERATURES AT 32 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT AND TO THE EAST...THE
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S
DEGREE RANGE. WHILE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AN OCCLUDED LOW
WILL TRACK TO THE CENTRAL BERING BY WEDNESDAY BUT OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING THE MODELS HAVE A WEAK LOW BECOMING SOME WHAT STATIONARY
BEFORE IT DISSIPATES BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DURING THIS SAME
TIME FRAME A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BE
TRACKING JUST SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. THIS WILL INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS. LOOK FOR THE SAME SCENARIO WITH STRONG GUSTY
GAP WINDS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE...BARREN ISLANDS...TURNAGAIN
ARM AND PORTAGE REGION BY MIDWEEK. THE GFS/EC WERE IN DECENT
AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT THE NAM WAS QUICKER AND PUSHED THIS
SYSTEM FARTHER NORTH. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM IS
ABOVE AVERAGE.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FORECAST IS GENERALLY ON TRACK WITH A VERY STRONG NEGATIVELY
TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT CROSSING THE GULF
AND SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY. THE TIMING DOES LOOK A FEW HOURS SLOWER
THAN IT DID YESTERDAY...SO THIS DOES DELAY ARRIVAL OF STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG MUCH OF THE GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND UNTIL
MID TO LATE MORNING. WITH SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT IT WILL
TAKE LONGER FOR WARMER AIR TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO VALDEZ...SO HAVE
UPPED SNOW AMOUNTS IN TOWN WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED
THIS MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
HAVE ALSO MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
THE SUSITNA VALLEY. AS FRONT MOVES INLAND LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
SHIFT FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN PERSIST
THROUGH TONIGHT. THUS THE AREA OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL SHIFT FROM
WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY TO AREAS NORTH OF TALKEETNA UP THROUGH
BROAD PASS. EXPANDED ADVISORY TO INCLUDE THIS AREA AND EXTENDED
ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE
WILL KEEP THE SNOWFALL GOING. ACCORDINGLY...ALSO UPPED STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATION.
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE SECOND SHORT-WAVE ON
TUESDAY PROVIDING A BREAK IN THE SEVERE WEATHER...THOUGH SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TIGHT KEEPING MORE LOCALIZED
GAP WINDS BLOWING. MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD ANOTHER VERY
STRONG FRONT CROSSING THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE SIMILAR TO WHAT IS EXPECTED TODAY...THOUGH
WITH A DEEP LOW TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA THE WINDS COULD
BE EVEN STRONGER. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE DEPTH
AND TRACK OF THIS NEXT SYSTEM. HAVE TRENDED STRONGER WITH WINDS
AND HIGHER WITH POPS...BUT THE DETAILS (AND DECISIONS ON WARNINGS
OR ADVISORIES) WILL HAVE TO BE DELAYED UNTIL THIS FIRST EVENT IS
OVER AND WHEN MODELS HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE NEXT SYSTEM.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE EXTREMELY ACTIVE AND ENERGETIC JET STREAM MOVING SOUTH TO
NORTH ACROSS THE REGION WILL MEAN DYNAMIC WEATHER. THE SYSTEM NOW
IMPACTING SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY
TODAY. SNOW AND RAIN WILL BECOME SHOWERY IN NATURE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT...AND THE BROAD PUSH OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL
WARM MOST AREAS WELL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S WITH PREDOMINANT
P-TYPE BEING RAIN WITH THE SHOWERS. ANOTHER STRONG DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND BRING ANOTHER
PUSH OF PRECIPITATION...WITH MAINLY SNOW NORTH AND WEST OF A
DILLINGHAM TO SLEETMUTE LINE...WITH THE P-TYPE ALL RAIN TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THIS LINE WITH WARM ADVECTION OFF OF THE PACIFIC
AND COMPRESSIONAL WARMING ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN AND ALASKA RANGES.
BY LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THE GFS IS BY THE FAR THE MOST IMPRESSIVE WITH THE
STRENGTH OF THIS LOW AND WOULD PACK QUITE THE PUNCH WITH RESPECT
TO STRONG TO HIGH WINDS AND SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION...MUCH OF IT
RAIN EXCEPT ALONG PARTS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST WHERE SNOW
WOULD BE MAINLY EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEAR CLOSE WATCHING AS
THIS EVENT NEARS.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG LOW ABOUT 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL BRING STRONG
GALE-FORCE WINDS WITH STORM-FORCE GUSTS TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
TODAY AND THEN THE EASTERN BERING...EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AND
ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AS THE LOW BROADENS AND
WEAKENS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...COLDER
AIR MOVING WEST ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS WILL ALLOW FOR RAIN SHOWERS
TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS BY MID-WEEK.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
WEDNESDAY BEGINS WITH ANOTHER POTENT NORTH PACIFIC SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE MAINLAND. THIS ONE WILL CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA
INTO BRISTOL BAY WHILE SENDING A VIGOROUS FRONT AGAINST THE NORTH
GULF COAST. THE FRONT WILL EASILY BE STORM FORCE WITH AN OUTSIDE
CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS. ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS...THE PARTICULAR LOW TRACK INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION WINDS TO
COME DOWN INTO THE ANCHORAGE BOWL ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. YET
ANOTHER CONTINUATION OF WARM AIR SURGING NORTHWARD AT THE SURFACE
WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION TYPE ALL RAIN AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S IN MOST AREAS.
FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AND BEYOND...THE ACTIVE SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES WITH A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW
MARCHING TOWARD SOUTHERN ALASKA. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE COMING OFF
A STOUT EAST ASIAN JET THAT EXTENDS WELL INTO THE NORTHERN
PACIFIC. WHILE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS EASILY SEEN...THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE OF THE FLOW AS THE DISTURBANCES APPROACH ALASKA IS NEVER
REALLY HANDLED WELL BY GUIDANCE. HOWEVER WE CAN EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF WARMER TEMPERATURES AND BOUTS OF RAIN AND WIND FOR
THE NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101 125 135.
MARINE...STORM 119 125
GALE 120 128 129 130 131 132 138 139 140 141 150 155 165
170 172 173 174 176 177 178 180 181 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MTLIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 28, 11:52 AM AKST, 3 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1152 AM AKST MON DEC 28 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0921 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W WHITTIER 60.79N 148.81W
12/28/2015 M91.00 MPH AK MESONET
41 MPH WINDS GUSTING TO 91 MPH REPORTED AT THE WHITTIER
ACCESS ROAD AT TUNNEL MESONET STAION. TUNNEL IS REPORTED
TO BE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WINDS.
&&
RDUELLLocal storm report, Dec 28, 1:06 PM AKST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
106 PM AKST MON DEC 28 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1020 AM NON-TSTM WND GST W MCHUGH CREEK RECREATI 61.02N 149.74W
12/28/2015 M79.00 MPH AK MESONET
SUSTAINED 61 MPH GUSTING TO 79 MPH MEASURED BY MCHUGH
CREEK MESONET
&&
RDUELLThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:03 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:06 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:06 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:06 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 47 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:53 PM AKST | High Wind Watch | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:59 PM AKST | High Wind Watch | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Dec 28, 11:32 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:08 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:08 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:47 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:33 AM AKST | High Wind Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:56 AM AKST | Blizzard Watch | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Dec 29, 5:05 AM AKST | High Wind Warning | AFC | 31 hr | |
| Dec 29, 2:33 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 29, 2:55 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 29, 2:55 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 29, 2:55 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.