Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 785, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 18, 2015, 2:53 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 18, 2015, 2:53 PM AKST (23:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 19, 2015, 3:10 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
385 FZAK52 PAFC 182353 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-191230- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 971 MB LOW 130 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO 190 NM NORTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 973 MB THU AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE INTO NORTON SOUND THU NIGHT AT 980 MB AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. A 995 MB LOW WILL FORM 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK THU EVENING AND MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF KODIAK CITY AT 988 MB FRI AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-191230- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ155-191230- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ160-191230- BRISTOL BAY- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-191230- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ170-191230- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-191230- UNALASKA BAY- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ172-191230- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ173-191230- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ174-191230- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ175-191230- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 29 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .THU...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 30 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ176-191230- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .THU...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ177-191230- ADAK TO KISKA- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN. .THU...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ178-191230- KISKA TO ATTU- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ179-191230- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ180-191230- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ181-191230- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ185-191230- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 253 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 55 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .THU...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
778 FZAK52 PAFC 191205 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-200130- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 972 MB LOW 250 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO NORTON SOUND THU NIGHT AT 979 MB...THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE WEAKENING TO 988 MB FRI NIGHT. A 996 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW 575 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 25 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY AT 985 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA FRI EVENING AT 983 MB. $$ PKZ150-200130- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-200130- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-200130- BRISTOL BAY- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ165-200130- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ170-200130- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ171-200130- UNALASKA BAY- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ172-200130- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ173-200130- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ174-200130- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ175-200130- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ176-200130- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ177-200130- ADAK TO KISKA- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 32 FT. $$ PKZ178-200130- KISKA TO ATTU- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ179-200130- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ180-200130- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ181-200130- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ185-200130- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 305 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
419 FZAK52 PAFC 191858 AAA CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-200415- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 972 MB LOW 250 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO NORTON SOUND THU NIGHT AT 979 MB...THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE WEAKENING TO 988 MB FRI NIGHT. A 996 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW 575 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 25 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY AT 985 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA FRI EVENING AT 983 MB. $$ PKZ150-200415- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-200415- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-200415- BRISTOL BAY- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ165-200415- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ170-200415- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ171-200415- UNALASKA BAY- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ172-200415- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ173-200415- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ174-200415- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ175-200415- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ176-200415- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ177-200415- ADAK TO KISKA- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 32 FT. $$ PKZ178-200415- KISKA TO ATTU- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. $$ PKZ179-200415- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ180-200415- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ181-200415- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ185-200415- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 958 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
516 FZAK52 PAFC 200010 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-201300- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 973 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHWEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AT 990 MB MIDDAY FRI...THEN DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH. A 991 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW 125 NM SOUTH OF ATKA LATE THU NIGHT WILL MOVE TO NEAR CHIGNIK AT 986 MB FRI AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO THE WESTERN GULF FRI EVENING. A 1012 MB LOW 175 NM WEST OF ATTU MOVES TO 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1011 MB SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-201300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ155-201300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 45 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ160-201300- BRISTOL BAY- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ165-201300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ170-201300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ171-201300- UNALASKA BAY- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ172-201300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ173-201300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ174-201300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ175-201300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ176-201300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ177-201300- ADAK TO KISKA- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AND RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. .MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ178-201300- KISKA TO ATTU- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT. .MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ179-201300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ180-201300- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ181-201300- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ185-201300- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS- 310 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 30 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 18, 5:16 AM AKST, 9 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 5:16 AM AKST, 9 hours 37 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
516 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE WITH TWO MAIN LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA. THE LEADING LOW IS MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN BERING WITH
ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING IN OVER THE SOUTHWEST WHERE IT IS
BRINGING SNOW TO THE AREA. A SECOND MORE INTENSE LOW IS OVER THE
WESTERN BERING WITH ITS FRONT MOVING IN OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
BOTH SYSTEMS ARE BRINGING IN WARMER AIR WITH THE SECOND WARM
ENOUGH TO TRANSITION THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. AHEAD OF THE
FRONTS OUT OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AN ARCTIC AIR MASS SITS DROPPING
TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO BEFORE THE WARMER AIR MOVES IN.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE MID RANGE WITH
PLACEMENT OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE PROBLEMS COME WITH
DIFFERENCES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR THE DEEPER SYSTEM THAT MOVES
IN THURSDAY. THE GFS AND GEM HAVE WARMER SOLUTIONS BRINGING RAIN
AS FAR INLAND AS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WHILE THE NAM KEEPS
THE AREA MORE SNOW WITH THE EC IN THE MIDDLE. THESE DIFFERENCES
RESULT IN LOWER CONFIDENCE AS TO IF OR WHEN SNOW WILL BECOME MIXED
WITH RAIN.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN GULF WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THIS MORNING AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS BEGIN AS THE
TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WEAKENS. A WEATHER FRONT MOVING
ACROSS SW ALASKA WILL BRING SNOW TO MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL BEGINNING
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE SW KENAI PEN THEN SPREAD NORTH AND EAST
TONIGHT. SNOW WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH THU MORNING AFTER UPPER
TROUGH PASSAGE...THOUGH SW FLOW IN THE 850-500 MB LAYER WILL
CONTINUE SOME UPSLOPE SNOW ALONG THE CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA
MOUNTAINS IN THE MORNING. THIS FIRST ROUND OF SNOW SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW INCREASES
SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THU AFTERNOON THROUGH THU NIGHT
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT FRONT FROM THE WEST. FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY DURING THAT
TIME FRAME. SNOW WILL LIKELY TO BE FAIRLY HEAVY ALSO ALONG THE
EASTERN KENAI (BY THU AFTERNOON) AND VALDEZ THU NIGHT. TEMPS WARM
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE FRONT THU AFTERNOON/THU NIGHT AND WILL
BRING SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES ACROSS THE COOK INLET
REGION...ANCHORAGE BOWL(THU NIGHT)...AND NORTH GULF COAST. PERIODS
OF BLOWING SNOW MAY DROP VISIBILITIES BECOME ONE HALF MILE AT
TIMES THROUGH PORTAGE VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THIS
SHOULD BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED AS TEMPS WILL WARM UP RATHER QUICKLY
TO ABOVE FREEZING AND EVEN MIX WITH RAIN BY THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS.
GALE TO STORM FORCE SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT ACROSS THE GULF WATERS ON THU ALONG WITH STRONG GAP FLOWS
ACROSS TURNAGAIN ARM/PORTAGE VALLEY AND TO A LESSER EXPECTED
ACROSS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A VERY ACTIVE AND PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OVER THE REGION WILL USHER
IN A SERIES OF STRONG SYSTEMS TRACKING INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE FIRST SYSTEM IN THIS SERIES IS A
FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING LOW IN THE NORTHERN
BERING THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SNOW
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR TODAY...BEFORE BRIEFLY DIMINISHING
AS THE FRONT TRACKS FURTHER EASTWARD OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM COAST FROM KIPNUK NORTH...EASTERLY
WINDS AND HEAVIER SNOWFALL THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL RESULT IN RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WITH
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS CAUSED BY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...DROPPING
VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE AT TIMES WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL HELP CHANGE SOME
COASTAL AREAS OVER TO RAIN BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS WARMER
MARINE AIR MOVES IN. A MUCH STRONGER FRONT MOVES IN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SPREADING RAIN INTO MOST OF BRISTOL BAY AND
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...WITH SNOW MIXING IN ACROSS THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SECOND FRONT WILL
COINCIDE WITH A HIGH TIDE CYCLE...WITH THE THREAT FOR SOME MINOR
COASTAL EROSION FROM THE NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY COAST TO THE
KUSKOKWIM BAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING WILL TRACK INLAND AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS MORNING. A MUCH
STRONGER STORM FORCE LOW TRACKS OVER THE WESTERN BERING THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE ASSOCIATED LEADING FRONT TRACKING THROUGH THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS DURING THE DAY TODAY. COLDER
AIR WILL BEGIN WRAPPING INTO THIS SYSTEM ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE LOW...HELPING TO MIX DOWN SOME STRONGER GUSTS OVER THE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN FLANK OF THE LOW. THE STRONGEST CORE OF STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING/ALEUTIANS...ALTHOUGH STRONG SOUTHERLY GALES WILL CROSS INTO
THE EASTERN BERING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A SWATCH OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT MOST LOCATIONS AS THIS FRONT MOVES EAST
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
ENTERING INTO THE MID-TERM...THE PATTERN OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
BECOMES VERY PROGRESSIVE WITH MULTIPLE ROBUST LOWS MOVING THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA.
AT THE START OF THE MID-TERM ON THURSDAY EVENING...THE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL BE PUSHING
INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND RAPIDLY MOVING INTO INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
SYNOPTICALLY...MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM. MOSTLY SNOW IS
EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH A RAIN SNOW MIX ALONG
THE BRISTOL BAY COAST. OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN AS ALL SNOW OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR AREAS WITH A
RAIN/SNOW MIX ALONG COASTAL AREAS. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SUSITNA VALLEY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY EVENING. FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...MODEL GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTING STRONG WINDS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF DOWNSLOPING OF PRECIPITATION INTO
THE ANCHORAGE AREA. WITH THAT BEING SAID...ANCHORAGE SHOULD STILL
SEE ACCUMULATING SNOW. THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS WITH THIS SYSTEM
ARE EXPECTED IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
BEHIND THIS LOW...THE NEXT SYSTEM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION
WILL BE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON FRIDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE HAVING A VERY
DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING THIS FEATURE IN BOTH STRENGTH AND
LOCATION. THE 12Z GFS AND GEM RUNS DEVELOPED A 965MB LOW OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS THAT MOVES RAPIDLY EASTWARD INTO MAINLAND
ALASKA. THE 12Z NAM AND EC DEVELOPED A WEAKER 990 MB LOW SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA THAT WOULD DEEPEN TO 980MB OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF BY SATURDAY NIGHT. 18Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND NAM HAVE
NOW SWUNG FROM THOSE SOLUTIONS AS WELL WITH THE NAM PLACING A
975MB LOW IN THE BERING AND THE GFS TRENDING MORE TOWARDS THE EC.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...THIS CREATES LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST AT
THIS POINT. AFTER COORDINATION WITH WPC...DECIDED TO NUDGE TO THE
EC SOLUTION WITH SOME GFS OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA ON DAY 3.
WHILE THE MODELS ARE HAVING A GREAT DEAL OF DIFFICULTY WITH THE
FRIDAY SYSTEM...THEY ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON BRINGING A
970-975MB LOW INTO THE WESTERN BERING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. WPC GUIDANCE CAPTURED THIS FEATURE WELL...THUS WAS USED
HEAVILY FOR DAYS 4-7.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...155.
WINTER STORM WATCH...145.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY...155 161.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...121 127-130 139 181
STORM WARNING...150 155 170 173-175 177 178 185
GALE WARNING...120 130-132 136-139 141 160 165 171
172 176179-181
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...RF/MMCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:30 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:53 PM AKST | High Surf Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:53 PM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 21 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:59 PM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 18, 3:09 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Nov 18, 3:09 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 18, 3:42 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 18, 3:42 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 18, 3:42 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Nov 18, 2:53 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Nov 18, 2:59 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 18, 2:59 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 37 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.