Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 913, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 18, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 18, 2015, 3:42 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2015, 3:42 AM AKST (12:42 UTC)
Expired
Nov 20, 2015, 3:23 PM AKST
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

126 
FZAK51 PAFC 181242
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190115-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT MOVES ONSHORE THU MORNING.
A 1010 MB LOW DEVELOPS 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD THIS EVENING...THEN
QUICKLY MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT BY THU MORNING AND
DISSIPATES THU AFTERNOON . A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE WESTERN
GULF THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-190115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA THIS MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-190115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-190115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-190115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-190115-
PORT VALDEZ-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-190115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-190115-
VALDEZ ARM-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-190115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-190115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-190115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW THIS MORNING. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-190115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-190115-
CHINIAK BAY-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-190115-
MARMOT BAY-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-190115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-190115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-190115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-190115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
342 AM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
993 
FZAK51 PAFC 182359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191315-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THU AFTERNOON AND
QUICKLY MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF BY FRI MORNING. A 988 MB LOW WILL
MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF KODIAK CITY FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-191315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-191315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WITH RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-191315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-191315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-191315-
PORT VALDEZ-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-191315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-191315-
VALDEZ ARM-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-191315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGER GUSTS 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-191315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-191315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-191315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-191315-
CHINIAK BAY-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-191315-
MARMOT BAY-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-191315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-191315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-191315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-191315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
259 PM AKST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
936 
FZAK51 PAFC 191239
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200130-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TODAY AND QUICKLY
MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF BY FRI MORNING. A 988 MB LOW OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA FRI AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 25 NM NORTHEAST OF
WHITTIER FRI NIGHT AT 980 MB.


$$

PKZ119-200130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-200130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT ALONG THE COAST. WINDS
BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-200130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
WITH SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-200130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW THIS MORNING WITH RAIN AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. FREEZING
SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-200130-
PORT VALDEZ-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-200130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-200130-
VALDEZ ARM-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-200130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-200130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY EARLY THIS MORNING NEAR KAMISHAK
BAY.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-200130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-200130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-200130-
CHINIAK BAY-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-200130-
MARMOT BAY-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-200130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO
18 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-200130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW BECOMING MIXED WITH
RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-200130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-200130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
339 AM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
273 
FZAK51 PAFC 200023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201300-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF BY
LATE FRI MORNING. A 988 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK FRI AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE TO NEAR VALDEZ LATE FRI NIGHT AT 983 MB...THEN MOVE INLAND.

$$

PKZ119-201300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING
SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201300-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201300-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201300-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201300-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS EVENING DIMINISHING TO
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
565 
FZAK51 PAFC 201249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210200-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN
GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN. A 988 MB LOW 90 NM WEST OF SITKINAK
THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK TO 15 NM SOUTHEAST OF VALDEZ AT 983 MB
TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INLAND.


$$

PKZ119-210200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210200-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TODAY...WIND BECOMING SW 15 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO
10 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHING TO
15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210200-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN IN
THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210200-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210200-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN
IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT THIS MORNING THEN NE 10 KT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
602 
FZAK51 PAFC 210023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211300-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 986 MB LOW 60 NM WEST OF KING SALMON WILL MOVE TO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND TONIGHT THEN CONTINUE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST. A 1008 MB LOW
WILL FORM IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 90 NM
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY SUN AFTERNOON AS IT DISSIPATES TO A TROUGH.

$$

PKZ119-211300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211300-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211300-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211300-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO W 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211300-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO W 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS EVENING THEN
BECOMING SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 17, 5:13 PM AKST, 10 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 5:13 PM AKST, 10 hours 29 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
513 PM AKST TUE NOV 17 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE MAINLAND REMAINS LOCKED IN THE CLEAR AND COLD WEATHER
PATTERN...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE BETTER PART OF A WEEK NOW.
A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR CAME THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL LAST
NIGHT...LEADING TO THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR SO FAR AT
MOST LOCATIONS. IN ADDITION...THE USUAL WINDY PLACES ALONG THE
COAST (WHITTIER...SEWARD...THOMPSON PASS) HAVE SEEN AN IMPRESSIVE
RESURGENCE OF "OUTFLOW" WINDS LAST NIGHT WITH ALREADY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENTS BEING EXAGGERATED EVEN MORE BY A SURFACE LOW
SPINNING IN THE EASTERN GULF. ALL LOCATIONS HAVE STAYED SAFELY
UNDER WARNING LEVEL...AND WILL START TO TREND DOWN AS THE
AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.

OUT WEST..AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS STALLED JUST OFFSHORE OF THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT SNOW FALLING ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.
THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF PATTERN-CHANGING STORMS HAS COME OFF THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND IS ENTERING THE FAR NORTHWEST BERING. AN
ASSOCIATED WEAK FRONT HAS RACED AHEAD OF THIS LOW AND IS ALREADY
BRINGING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS THIS LOW WILL FOLLOW A SOMEWHAT HIGH-LATITUDE TRACK
ACROSS THE BERING SEA...SPURRED ONWARD BY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

WHEN SHORTWAVES ARE WEAK...THEY ARE ABLE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
PATTERN MORE QUICKLY WHICH CAUSES THE MODELS TO OFTEN STRUGGLE...BUT
FORTUNATELY THEY USUALLY DON'T PACK AS STRONG OF A PUNCH. ON THE
OTHER HAND...STRONG STORMS/SHORTWAVES PACK A STRONGER PUNCH BUT
USUALLY MOVE MORE SLOWLY...SO ATMOSPHERIC MODELS TEND TO PERFORM A
BIT BETTER. IN THE CASE OF MAINLAND ALASKA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...A SERIES OF WEAK- TO- MODERATE AMPLITUDE WAVES WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE BERING AND MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE NEAR THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THESE WAVES WILL BE POTENT ENOUGH TO HAVE SOME
FAIRLY IMPORTANT IMPACTS...BUT LOW-ENOUGH AMPLITUDE THAT THEY ARE
GOING TO BE MOVING PRETTY QUICKLY...WHICH WREAKS HAVOC ON MODEL
TIMING AND PLACEMENT.

THE FIRST WAVE TO IMPACT THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IS THE ONE
CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA. MODELS ARE FAIRLY
CONSISTENT ON THE TRACK...BUT STRUGGLING WITH EXACTLY HOW
AMPLIFIED THE WAVE WILL BE AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE MAINLAND. MOST
OF THE DYNAMIC LIFT NOW LOOKS LIKE IT WILL GO NORTH OF
ANCHORAGE...CLIPPING THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND INTERIOR ALASKA. THE
NAM IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BRINGING DYNAMIC ENERGY FURTHER
SOUTH...BUT WE ARE NOT BELIEVING THIS SOLUTION FULLY. THE NET
EFFECT WILL BE SOME MODEST SNOW ACCUMULATION FOR MOST AREAS BUT
NOTHING REACHING ADVISORY LEVEL. THE SECOND STORM FOLLOWS
GENERALLY ALONG THE SAME PATH...EXCEPT 24 HOURS LATER AND ALSO A
FAIR AMOUNT STRONGER. A STRONGER SOLUTION MEANS STRONGER
ATMOSPHERIC LIFT...BUT ALSO MORE WARM AIR PULLED NORTHWARD INTO
THE STORM. PRECIP TYPE OVER THE NORTHERN KENAI AND ANCHORAGE BOWL
ARE STILL PROBLEMATIC...BUT THE MOST LIKELY SOLUTION IS SNOW
MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. THE GEM/ECMWF HAVE
BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE RELIED UPON FOR
THE AFTERNOON FORECASTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

ONE MORE COLD NIGHT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BENEATH LINGERING HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE FOLLOWED ON WED WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. A WEAK
FRONT WITH LIGHT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON THURSDAY STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW
AHEAD OF THE BERING FRONT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY...WHERE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR HEAVY SNOW
WILL BE IN EFFECT. LESSER AMOUNTS WILL AFFECT THE REST OF THE
FORECAST AREA. AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL WILL MIGRATE EAST LATER ON THURSDAY...MIXING WITH RAIN
ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A VERY ACTIVE AND PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP BEGINNING
TONIGHT AS THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF LOWS MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW
WILL BEGIN SPREADING SNOW ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY COAST AND
KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS EVENING...BEFORE SPREADING EAST INTO THE
LOWER KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY ON WEDNESDAY.
ACROSS THE NORTHER PORTION OF THE KUSKOKWIM COAST...EASTERLY
WINDS AND HEAVIER SNOWFALL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WILL RESULT IN RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WITH LOW
VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL DROP TO A
HALF MILE AT TIMES WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW BEFORE THE FRONT
MOVES EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.

INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL HELP CHANGE SOME
COASTAL AREAS OVER TO RAIN WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING AS
WARMER MARINE AIR MOVES IN. A MUCH STRONGER FRONT MOVES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SPREADING RAIN INTO MOST OF BRISTOL
BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...WITH SNOW ACROSS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SECOND FRONT WILL COINCIDE
WITH A HIGH TIDE CYCLE...WITH THE THREAT FOR SOME MINOR COASTAL
EROSION FROM THE NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY COAST TO THE KUSKOKWIM BAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A WEAK LOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST
COAST TONIGHT BEFORE A MUCH STRONGER STORM FORCE LOW DEVELOPS
OVER THE WESTERN BERING TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE
EAST THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST CORE OF STORM FORCE
WINDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS...ALTHOUGH
STRONG SOUTHERLY GALES WILL CROSS INTO THE EASTERN BERING. A
SWATCH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT MOST LOCATIONS AS
THIS FRONT MOVES EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
ENTERING INTO THE MID-TERM...THE PATTERN OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
BECOMES VERY PROGRESSIVE WITH MULTIPLE ROBUST LOWS MOVING THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA.

AT THE START OF THE MID-TERM ON THURSDAY EVENING...THE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL BE PUSHING
INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND RAPIDLY MOVING INTO INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
SYNOPTICALLY...MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM. MOSTLY SNOW IS
EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH A RAIN SNOW MIX ALONG
THE BRISTOL BAY COAST. OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN AS ALL SNOW OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR AREAS WITH A
RAIN/SNOW MIX ALONG COASTAL AREAS. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SUSITNA VALLEY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY EVENING. FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...MODEL GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTING STRONG WINDS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF DOWNSLOPING OF PRECIPITATION INTO
THE ANCHORAGE AREA. WITH THAT BEING SAID...ANCHORAGE SHOULD STILL
SEE ACCUMULATING SNOW. THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS WITH THIS SYSTEM
ARE EXPECTED IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

BEHIND THIS LOW...THE NEXT SYSTEM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION
WILL BE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON FRIDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE HAVING A VERY
DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING THIS FEATURE IN BOTH STRENGTH AND
LOCATION. THE 12Z GFS AND GEM RUNS DEVELOPED A 965MB LOW OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS THAT MOVES RAPIDLY EASTWARD INTO MAINLAND
ALASKA. THE 12Z NAM AND EC DEVELOPED A WEAKER 990 MB LOW SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA THAT WOULD DEEPEN TO 980MB OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF BY SATURDAY NIGHT. 18Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND NAM HAVE
NOW SWUNG FROM THOSE SOLUTIONS AS WELL WITH THE NAM PLACING A
975MB LOW IN THE BERING AND THE GFS TRENDING MORE TOWARDS THE EC.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...THIS CREATES LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST AT
THIS POINT. AFTER COORDINATION WITH WPC...DECIDED TO NUDGE TO THE
EC SOLUTION WITH SOME GFS OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA ON DAY 3.

WHILE THE MODELS ARE HAVING A GREAT DEAL OF DIFFICULTY WITH THE
FRIDAY SYSTEM...THEY ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON BRINGING A
970-975MB LOW INTO THE WESTERN BERING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. WPC GUIDANCE CAPTURED THIS FEATURE WELL...THUS WAS USED
HEAVILY FOR DAYS 4-7.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH 145. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 155. HIGH
SURF ADVISORY 161.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...121 126 128 129 130 181
		STORM WARNING...175 177 178
 		GALE WARNING...127 131 150 165 170 172 173 174 176 179 180 181

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...RF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 17, 3:09 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 17, 3:30 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr
Nov 17, 3:53 PM AKSTHigh Surf AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Nov 17, 3:53 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC21 hr
Nov 17, 3:59 PM AKSTWinter Storm WatchAFC24 hr
Nov 18, 3:09 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Nov 18, 3:09 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 18, 3:42 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Nov 18, 3:42 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC11 hr
Nov 18, 2:53 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 18, 2:53 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Nov 18, 2:59 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 18, 2:59 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.