Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 479

August 31, 20144 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 31, 2014, 3:31 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 31, 2014, 3:31 PM CDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Aug 31, 2014, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 75 counties

Buena Vista County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE, Union County, SD

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

64 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, Nuckolls, Thayer41 min
Aug 31, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone35 min
Aug 31, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell46 min
Aug 31, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell38 min
Aug 31, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic23 min
Aug 31, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, Thayer49 min
Aug 31, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Wayne33 min
Aug 31, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic47 min
Aug 31, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone, Madison, Platte, Stanton44 min
Aug 31, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Nuckolls24 min
Aug 31, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell49 min
Aug 31, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell45 min
Aug 31, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell28 min
Aug 31, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, York42 min
Aug 31, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDakota, Dixon38 min
Aug 31, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Saline, Seward42 min
Aug 31, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Nuckolls, Thayer40 min
Aug 31, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell31 min
Aug 31, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore46 min
Aug 31, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell38 min
Aug 31, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDakota, Dixon34 min
Aug 31, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud47 min
Aug 31, 5:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell3 hr
Aug 31, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, Nuckolls, Thayer25 min
Aug 31, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, York17 min
Aug 31, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Saunders, Seward35 min
Aug 31, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer21 min
Aug 31, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell46 min
Aug 31, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming31 min
Aug 31, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa, Republic44 min
Aug 31, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDWoodbury38 min
Aug 31, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell34 min
Aug 31, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMonona45 min
Aug 31, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford28 min
Aug 31, 6:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCloud4 hr
Aug 31, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Colfax, Dodge, Saunders33 min
Aug 31, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPWashington46 min
Aug 31, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCherokee, Ida, Plymouth, Woodbury45 min
Aug 31, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Washington30 min
Aug 31, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas38 min
Aug 31, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXSac51 min
Aug 31, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford48 min
Aug 31, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Ottawa, Washington47 min
Aug 31, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Saunders19 min
Aug 31, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Otoe26 min
Aug 31, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBuena Vista, Clay37 min
Aug 31, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington52 min
Aug 31, 6:48 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCrawford42 min
Aug 31, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall25 min
Aug 31, 6:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCarroll, Crawford6 hr
Aug 31, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Otoe32 min
Aug 31, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie44 min
Aug 31, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay24 min
Aug 31, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCarroll, Crawford50 min
Aug 31, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Geary, Pottawatomie, Riley39 min
Aug 31, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby50 min
Aug 31, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Pocahontas, Sac, Webster46 min
Aug 31, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Pottawatomie, Riley52 min
Aug 31, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHumboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Webster46 min
Aug 31, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha46 min
Aug 31, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills28 min
Aug 31, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Riley, Wabaunsee39 min
Aug 31, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie, Shelby46 min
Aug 31, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Geary, Morris, Ottawa, Riley44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-08-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 282 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-08-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
282 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-342 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1715 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
227 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

320 
WWUS20 KWNS 312032
SEL9  
SPC WW 312032
IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-010200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 479
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WESTERN IOWA
  NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  EASTERN NEBRASKA
  EXTREME SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
SPENCER IOWA TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONCORDIA KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WILL DEVELOP DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTH CENTRAL
KS INTO EASTERN NEB AND WESTERN IA.  PARAMETERS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
A FEW SUPERCELL STORMS IN THIS REGION...CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cerro Gordo and 30 more85 min
Aug 31, 6:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 28 more83 min
Aug 31, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Floyd, Franklin and 8 more6 hr
Aug 31, 3:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Gray, Haskell, Kearny, Meade, Seward119 min
Aug 31, 5:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellsworth, Ford, Gray, Harvey and 12 more58 min
Aug 31, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Barton, Brown, Chase, Clark, Coffey and 33 more9 hr
Aug 30, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButte, Corson, Dewey, Haakon, Harding, Lawrence and 5 more4 hr
Aug 30, 11:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Dewey, Edmunds, Hughes, McPherson, Potter and 3 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2014Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.