Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 342, NWS Hastings, NE

August 31, 2014Mitchell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 31, 2014, 5:44 PM CDT for Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Aug 31, 2014, 5:44 PM CDT (22:44 UTC)
Expired: Aug 31, 2014, 6:30 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Mitchell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Aug 31, 5:58 PM CDT	HAIL 1	9 Ene Hunter, KS
Aug 31, 6:05 PM CDT	HAIL 0.5	7 Se Beloit, KS	PEA TO MARBLE HAIL, 50 MPH WIND, VERY HEAVY RAIN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 31, 3:31 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 238 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -355 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2269 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 118 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 403 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

002 
WUUS53 KGID 312244
SVRGID
KSC123-312330-
/O.NEW.KGID.SV.W.0342.140831T2244Z-140831T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
544 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 543 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF
  BELOIT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SIMPSON...HUNTER AND VICTOR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3922 9846 3944 9830 3937 9828 3941 9793
      3922 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 253DEG 37KT 3936 9813 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BRYANT

2 follow-up statements

434 
WWUS53 KGID 312259
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
559 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

KSC123-312330-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0342.000000T0000Z-140831T2330Z/
MITCHELL KS-
559 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MITCHELL COUNTY...

AT 558 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VICTOR...OR 12
MILES SOUTH OF BELOIT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SIMPSON...HUNTER AND VICTOR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3922 9846 3944 9830 3937 9828 3941 9793
      3922 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 247DEG 18KT 3930 9818 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BRYANT

262 
WWUS53 KGID 312325
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
625 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

KSC123-312335-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0342.000000T0000Z-140831T2330Z/
MITCHELL KS-
625 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MITCHELL COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3922 9846 3944 9830 3937 9828 3941 9793
      3922 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 253DEG 37KT 3930 9818 

$$

BRYANT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 31, 3:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 3:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
301 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

SURFACE ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATIONS SHOW A COLD FRONT JUST ENTERING
THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT THERE ARE SOME HIGH CLOUDS AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID
60S. BEHIND THE FRONT THERE ARE SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.

MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE EXACT TIMING OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE EXPECTATION IS
THAT THERE WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THEN CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE BEST MUCAPE
HAS BEEN IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A CAP
OVER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. AS MIDNIGHT APPROACHES THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD START
TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA.

LATE TONIGHT THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AND A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY AND WINDS FAIRLY LIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THE EXTENDED PERIODS WILL SEE VARYING WEATHER FROM COOL/WARM AND
WET/DRY. BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT THE PATTERN ALOFT WILL FEATURE WEST
TO NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES WITH A JET STREAK AND AND
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS OUR REGION PRIMARILY DURING THE FIRST
PART OF THE NIGHT.  MODELS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION AS
THIS NEXT SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH BUT INSTABILITY IS WEAKER...RANGING
FROM JUST A FEW HUNDRED J/KG IN OUR WESTERN ZONES UP TO
POSSIBILITY AROUND 1000 J/KG. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURE TREND UP ON TUESDAY AS THE PATTERN BECOMES MORE ZONAL
BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE.  THE LLVL JET IS PROGGED TO INCREASE TO
40 TO 50KTS TUESDAY NIGHT AND THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT STORMS
MAY REDEVELOP ON THE NOSE OF THE JET ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN/SOUTHEAST
ZONES...BUT WITH ACTIVITY ON THE EDGE OF OUR CWA PLAN TO JUST GO
WITH SILENT POPS FOR NOW AND MONITOR.

FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK...AN UPPER TROUGH REACHES THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST REGION AND THE FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS SOUTHWESTERLY WITH
HEIGHT RISES/RIDGING EXPANDING NORTH.  DAYTIME TEMPS CONTINUE TO
WARM IN THIS REGIME WITH H85 TEMPS REACHING THE MID/UPPER 20S
CELSIUS AND RESULTANT AFTN TEMPS SHOULD REACH WELL INTO THE 80S TO
MID 90S.  ANOTHER COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ONTO THE PLAINS AS
EARLY AS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND POTENTIALLY AS LATE AS THURSDAY NIGHT
DEPENDING ON THE MODEL.  GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING WILL NOT
DEVIATE FROM THE EXTENDED INIT AND CURRENT FORECAST WITH CHCS FOR
STORMS RETURNING THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE BOUNDARY IS PROGGED TO SETTLE
FROM EASTERN NEB TO WESTERN KS ON FRIDAY WITH FRONT FOCUSING
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR CONVECTION.  WITH TIME THE FRONT WILL PUSH
SOUTH INTO KANSAS OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE FORECAST DRYING OUT FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH AS A COOL 1022 MB SURFACE HIGH BUILDS SOUTH FM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND SETTLES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  IN THE
COOLER...DRIER AIRMASS TEMPS WILL TREND MORE FALL LIKE WITH HIGHS IN
THE AVERAGING IN THE 70S AND LOWS AVERAGING IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS TIMING THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA. STILL LOOKS LIKE BEST CHANCES WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
ALONG WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
LATER IN THE PERIOD.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...FAY
AVIATION...JCB

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 31, 3:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
336 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
011300-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
336 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RE-DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. LARGE AND
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING HAIL...PERHAPS APPROACHING THE SIZE OF TENNIS
BALLS...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH...AND A
FEW TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO
PROMOTE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

INTERMITTENT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORM EXIST THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH AROUND 10 PM.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 31, 4:50 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
450 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     HAIL             7 E GLEN ELDER          39.50N 98.17W
08/31/2014  E1.75 INCH       MITCHELL           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCB

Local storm report, Aug 31, 4:55 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
455 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     HAIL             CARLETON                40.30N 97.67W
08/31/2014  M0.88 INCH       THAYER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME TO NICKEL HAIL

&&

DOXEY

Local storm report, Aug 31, 5:05 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
505 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0503 PM     HAIL             SHICKLEY                40.42N 97.72W
08/31/2014  M1.00 INCH       FILLMORE           NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

DOXEY

Local storm report, Aug 31, 5:08 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
508 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     HAIL             SHICKLEY                40.42N 97.72W
08/31/2014  E1.00 INCH       FILLMORE           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JCB

Local storm report, Aug 31, 5:17 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
517 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             1 N DAVENPORT           40.33N 97.81W
08/31/2014  M1.00 INCH       THAYER             NE   PUBLIC

0500 PM     HAIL             BRUNING                 40.34N 97.56W
08/31/2014  M0.50 INCH       THAYER             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO MARBLE HAIL

&&

DOXEY

Local storm report, Aug 31, 5:30 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
530 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     HAIL             4 W BELOIT              39.47N 98.18W
08/31/2014  M2.50 INCH       MITCHELL           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0526 PM     HAIL             BELOIT                  39.47N 98.11W
08/31/2014  M1.50 INCH       MITCHELL           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

DOXEY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 31, 4:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Jewell	41 min
Aug 31, 3:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Jewell	28 min
Aug 31, 3:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Jewell	22 min
Aug 31, 3:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	46 min
Aug 31, 4:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	38 min
Aug 31, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	49 min
Aug 31, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	45 min
Aug 31, 4:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	28 min
Aug 31, 4:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	3 hr
Aug 31, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	31 min
Aug 31, 5:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	38 min
Aug 31, 5:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	3 hr
Aug 31, 5:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	34 min
Aug 31, 6:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Mitchell	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.