Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 481

August 31, 201414 counties in Iowa; 36 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 31, 2014, 6:56 PM CDT for 14 counties in Iowa; 36 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 31, 2014, 6:56 PM CDT (23:56 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2014, 12:47 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 56 counties

Bremer County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Barron County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMcLeod, Meeker, Renville, Sibley52 min
Aug 31, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMeeker, Wright48 min
Aug 31, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHumboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Webster46 min
Aug 31, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHancock, Kossuth, Winnebago65 min
Aug 31, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Webster, Wright52 min
Aug 31, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Franklin, Grundy, Hardin and 1 more48 min
Aug 31, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFloyd, Mitchell43 min
Aug 31, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Howard46 min
Aug 31, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy, Tama50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2014-08-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2014-08-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1092 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
329 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cerro Gordo and 30 more85 min
Aug 31, 3:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Emmet and 14 more5 hr
Aug 31, 6:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 28 more83 min
Aug 31, 5:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 31 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.