Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 34

March 27, 201449 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 27, 2014, 4:55 PM CDT for 49 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2014, 4:55 PM CDT (21:55 UTC)
Expired
Mar 27, 2014, 11:34 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway40 min
Mar 27, 5:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXBoone, Cole, Moniteau25 min
Mar 27, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMiller34 min
Mar 27, 5:18 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFMiller, Morgan27 min
Mar 27, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Morgan25 min
Mar 27, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau, Osage39 min
Mar 27, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway48 min
Mar 27, 5:35 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXBoone, Callaway25 min
Mar 27, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMorgan37 min
Mar 27, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMiller, Morgan35 min
Mar 27, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau44 min
Mar 27, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene47 min
Mar 27, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWebster43 min
Mar 27, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Osage39 min
Mar 27, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau29 min
Mar 27, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Camden, Morgan41 min
Mar 27, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence33 min
Mar 27, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway33 min
Mar 27, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dallas, Hickory, Polk43 min
Mar 27, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole51 min
Mar 27, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLawrence44 min
Mar 27, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede, Pulaski45 min
Mar 27, 8:42 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFLaclede, Pulaski33 min
Mar 27, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Lawrence, Stone46 min
Mar 27, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Stone51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2014-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2014-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 688 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
688 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
699 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

716 
WWUS20 KWNS 272202
SEL4  
SPC WW 272202
MOZ000-280500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 34
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL...AND PARTS OF EASTERN MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 455 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
  CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
COLUMBIA MISSOURI TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MONETT MISSOURI.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 33...

DISCUSSION...SCTD SMALL CLUSTERS/SHORT BANDS OF SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
MOVING RAPIDLY E ACROSS MO THIS EVE. STRENGTH OF ASSOCIATED MID-LVL
DISTURBANCE AND JET STREAK /70 KT WSW FLOW AT 700 MB/ SUGGEST A
CONTINUED RISK FOR SVR HAIL...WIND...AND TORNADOES ...DESPITE ONSET
OF DIURNAL COOLING AND EWD MOVEMENT OF COLD FRONT BEYOND LOW-LVL
THETA-E AXIS. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BE GREATEST OVER THE NEXT
2-3 HOURS OVER CENTRAL MO...WHERE IT APPEARS THAT THE
JUXTAPOSITIONING OF WIND AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENTS MOST
FAVORABLE FOR LOW-LVL MESOCYCLONES WILL EXIST.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Hancock, Pike55 min
Mar 27, 11:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Barton, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 18 more2 hr
Mar 27, 12:54 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Barry, Barton, Bates and 46 more7 hr
Mar 27, 2:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Caldwell and 39 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.