Tornado Watch 33

Issued

Mar 27, 2014, 12:54 PM CDT (17:54 UTC)

Expired

Mar 27, 2014, 7:52 PM CDT

In force

7 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

1.5 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

40%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

30%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

10%

Ten or more severe hail reports

30%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

10%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

60%

• Mesoscale Discussion 208Mar 27, 11:47 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 211Mar 27, 2:50 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 212Mar 27, 3:50 PM CDT

007 
WWUS20 KWNS 271758
SEL3  
SPC WW 271758
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-280100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 33
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
ISSUED BY 15TH OWS SCOTT AIR FORCE BASE IL
1255 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  MUCH OF EASTERN KANSAS
  WESTERN MISSOURI
  SMALL PART OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM
  UNTIL 800 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF CHANUTE KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH 20Z IN
ADVANCE OF DRY LINE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT.  SBCAPE HAS INCREASED TO
1000+ J/KG IN CLEARING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.  STRONG
LOW/MID LEVEL SHEAR OF 50+KTS OVERLAPS THE HIGHER INSTABILITY IN
ADVANCE OF STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL
SUPPORT THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...15_OWS

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.