Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Springfield, MO

March 27, 2014Bourbon County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 27, 2014, 2:48 PM CDT for Bourbon County, Kansas. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 27, 2014, 2:48 PM CDT (19:48 UTC)
Expired: Mar 27, 2014, 3:30 PM CDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Bourbon County, KS

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 27, 12:54 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 688 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 699 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

131 
WUUS53 KSGF 271948
SVRSGF
KSC011-272030-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0002.140327T1948Z-140327T2030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
248 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN BOURBON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 247 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF
  REDFIELD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FORT SCOTT...GARLAND...HIATTVILLE...MARMATON...PAWNEE STATION...
  PETERSBURG AND REDFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3774 9504 3778 9499 3783 9491 3788 9477
      3791 9462 3783 9461 3782 9462 3767 9462
      3767 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 241DEG 45KT 3769 9492

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

3 follow-up statements

560 
WWUS53 KSGF 271952
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
252 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSC011-272030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140327T2030Z/
BOURBON KS-
252 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
BOURBON COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 251 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF FORT SCOTT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT SCOTT...GARLAND...HIATTVILLE AND PAWNEE STATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3767 9462 3767 9488 3768 9488 3768 9496
      3772 9496 3775 9494 3778 9491 3782 9485
      3784 9479 3787 9471 3789 9462 3783 9461
      3782 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 242DEG 52KT 3772 9484

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

021 
WWUS53 KSGF 272002
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
302 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSC011-272030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140327T2030Z/
BOURBON KS-
302 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
BOURBON COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 300 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEASTERN
BOURBON COUNTY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3771 9462 3770 9475 3771 9479 3773 9483
      3776 9484 3779 9482 3784 9470 3785 9461
      3783 9461 3782 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 246DEG 51KT 3777 9467

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

483 
WWUS53 KSGF 272018
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
318 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSC011-272028-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140327T2030Z/
BOURBON KS-
318 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3771 9462 3770 9475 3771 9479 3773 9483
      3776 9484 3779 9482 3784 9470 3785 9461
      3783 9461 3782 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 246DEG 51KT 3786 9441

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 27, 2:40 PM CDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 2:40 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
240 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2014

...Risk for Strong to Severe Storms through this Evening...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

Special upper air release shortly after 18z showed a cap still in
place but eroding around 700 to 800 mb. 500 mb analysis shows a 90
knot jet core moving northeastward out of northern Oklahoma into
southeast Kansas and western Missouri at this time. There is a
narrow corridor of clearing skies and more unstable airmass over
southeast Kansas moving into western Missouri at this time where
surface temperatures are warming into the lower 70s and dewpoints
are getting into the middle 50s.

In the narrow corridor where the cap goes away...there will be about
1000 to 1500 J/KG of MUCAPE potential. Shear is extremely robust
with this system. Updrafts will be hard to maintain themselves for
very long given too much shear at times. Expect tiny robust updrafts
with these storms for a short amount of time. Any heavy downpours
will bring down low level wind fields to the surface which is the
main threat with any of this convection. Winds right off the surface
of 50 plus knots can easily be transported downward in downdrafts.
Given shear but tiny updrafts...expecting hail no larger than half
dollars.

The best potential for an isolated tornado or two will be along
and west of I-49 corridor between mid afternoon and early evening
with a discrete cell given the low level shear. Storm modes will
transition into line segments around sunset this evening or by the
time it reaches the Highway 65 corridor.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

The cold front will push eastward across the Ozarks this evening
as a vigorous shortwave trough tracks northeast across the
Midwest. Expect thunderstorms to evolve into linear segments along
the front but cannot rule out discrete supercells along and just
ahead of the line through early evening. The potential for severe
storms will persist through much of the evening but the risk will
gradually diminish after sunset. Damaging wind gusts will
remain the primary hazard risk given the strong environmental
winds just off of the surface while large will also be possible.
The limited risk for a tornado will diminish with sunset.

The front will push to our south overnight but stall as another
shortwave trough approaches Friday. This will bring showers
northward back into southern Missouri by Friday afternoon. This
activity will be most numerous near the Arkansas border where a
few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out. Otherwise a mostly
cloudy sky and cooler temperatures can be expected Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

A quasi-zonal pattern will set up this weekend into next week
across the CONUS. This will bring shortwaves and accompanying
fronts eastward across the region every couple of days while
maintaining seasonably mild temperatures.

A return southerly flow by Sunday will send temperatures well into
the 60s to near 70 degrees. The warming temperatures and
increasing southerly Sunday will result in elevated fire weather
conditions.

The next front will arrive Monday and may be accompanied by
scattered showers. A better chance of convection will develop
during mid week as the next shortwave arrives and taps into a
better moisture supply.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1151 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

Pilots can expect very windy conditions through this evening as a cold
front moves into the region. Frequent gusts over 30 kts can be
expected. MVFR ceilings will prevail with some breaks in the
clouds later in the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will
develop along and just ahead of the front as it moves across the
area from mid afternoon into early this evening. Some of these
storms could be severe. Winds will shift to the west and northwest
behind the front this evening with VFR conditions returning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM CDT this afternoon FOR MOZ055-056-
     066>069-077>081-088>095-101>103.

KS...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM CDT this afternoon FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

MESOSCALE...Griffin
SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 27, 1:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
123 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
123 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH TO AS HIGH AS
50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP BY 3 PM OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A CAP OVER THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AND BREAK AS A DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO EASTERN
KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON.

INITIALLY...DISCRETE STORMS...POTENTIALLY SUPERCELLS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A LARGE HAIL RISK UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...DAMAGING
WIND RISK UP TO 70 MPH...AND A SMALL RISK FOR TORNADOES OVER THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A LINE OR LINE SEGMENTS
WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BECOMING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THIS
EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST BY 1 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
ARKANSAS.

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY....ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH
A COLD FRONT.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI FOR
LOCATIONS WEST OF THE I-49. AREAS BETWEEN HIGHWAY 65 AND I-49 MAY
BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE REST OF THE AREA EAST OF
HIGHWAY 65 MAY BE NEED LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GRIFFIN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 27, 1:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
126 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST FORT SCOTT              37.84N 94.71W
03/27/2014  M51 MPH          BOURBON            KS   AWOS

            51 MPH WIND GUSTS REPORTED BY THE FORT SCOTT AWOS.

&&

MGRIFFIN

Local storm report, Mar 27, 1:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
133 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW JOPLIN             37.10N 94.54W
03/27/2014  M53 MPH          JASPER             MO   ASOS

            JOPLIN ASOS REPORTED A 53 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

MGRIFFIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 26, 7:19 PM CDT	Wind Advisory	SGF	Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford	23 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.