Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Springfield, MO

299 
WWUS53 KSGF 272023
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
323 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

MOC217-272100-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140327T2100Z/
VERNON MO-
323 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VERNON COUNTY 
UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 320 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES WEST OF
WALKER...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HARWOOD...HORTON...METZ...RICHARDS...SCHELL CITY AND WALKER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3784 9440 3784 9448 3785 9454 3786 9456
      3789 9457 3793 9455 3797 9452 3801 9447
      3802 9446 3806 9433 3804 9423 3806 9421
      3805 9419 3806 9413 3804 9406 3786 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 254DEG 61KT 3790 9441

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

729 
WWUS53 KSGF 272028
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
328 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

MOC217-272100-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140327T2100Z/
VERNON MO-
328 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
VERNON COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 326 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SCHELL CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SCHELL CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3792 9407 3790 9423 3789 9432 3789 9443
      3791 9447 3793 9447 3796 9446 3799 9441
      3802 9435 3805 9427 3804 9423 3806 9421
      3805 9419 3806 9413 3804 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 254DEG 61KT 3793 9434

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

596 
WWUS53 KSGF 272048
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
348 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

MOC217-272058-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140327T2100Z/
VERNON MO-
348 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3792 9407 3790 9423 3789 9432 3789 9443
      3791 9447 3793 9447 3796 9446 3799 9441
      3802 9435 3805 9427 3804 9423 3806 9421
      3805 9419 3806 9413 3804 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 254DEG 61KT 3802 9392

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
240 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2014

...Risk for Strong to Severe Storms through this Evening...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

Special upper air release shortly after 18z showed a cap still in
place but eroding around 700 to 800 mb. 500 mb analysis shows a 90
knot jet core moving northeastward out of northern Oklahoma into
southeast Kansas and western Missouri at this time. There is a
narrow corridor of clearing skies and more unstable airmass over
southeast Kansas moving into western Missouri at this time where
surface temperatures are warming into the lower 70s and dewpoints
are getting into the middle 50s.

In the narrow corridor where the cap goes away...there will be about
1000 to 1500 J/KG of MUCAPE potential. Shear is extremely robust
with this system. Updrafts will be hard to maintain themselves for
very long given too much shear at times. Expect tiny robust updrafts
with these storms for a short amount of time. Any heavy downpours
will bring down low level wind fields to the surface which is the
main threat with any of this convection. Winds right off the surface
of 50 plus knots can easily be transported downward in downdrafts.
Given shear but tiny updrafts...expecting hail no larger than half
dollars.

The best potential for an isolated tornado or two will be along
and west of I-49 corridor between mid afternoon and early evening
with a discrete cell given the low level shear. Storm modes will
transition into line segments around sunset this evening or by the
time it reaches the Highway 65 corridor.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

The cold front will push eastward across the Ozarks this evening
as a vigorous shortwave trough tracks northeast across the
Midwest. Expect thunderstorms to evolve into linear segments along
the front but cannot rule out discrete supercells along and just
ahead of the line through early evening. The potential for severe
storms will persist through much of the evening but the risk will
gradually diminish after sunset. Damaging wind gusts will
remain the primary hazard risk given the strong environmental
winds just off of the surface while large will also be possible.
The limited risk for a tornado will diminish with sunset.

The front will push to our south overnight but stall as another
shortwave trough approaches Friday. This will bring showers
northward back into southern Missouri by Friday afternoon. This
activity will be most numerous near the Arkansas border where a
few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out. Otherwise a mostly
cloudy sky and cooler temperatures can be expected Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

A quasi-zonal pattern will set up this weekend into next week
across the CONUS. This will bring shortwaves and accompanying
fronts eastward across the region every couple of days while
maintaining seasonably mild temperatures.

A return southerly flow by Sunday will send temperatures well into
the 60s to near 70 degrees. The warming temperatures and
increasing southerly Sunday will result in elevated fire weather
conditions.

The next front will arrive Monday and may be accompanied by
scattered showers. A better chance of convection will develop
during mid week as the next shortwave arrives and taps into a
better moisture supply.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1151 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

Pilots can expect very windy conditions through this evening as a cold
front moves into the region. Frequent gusts over 30 kts can be
expected. MVFR ceilings will prevail with some breaks in the
clouds later in the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will
develop along and just ahead of the front as it moves across the
area from mid afternoon into early this evening. Some of these
storms could be severe. Winds will shift to the west and northwest
behind the front this evening with VFR conditions returning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM CDT this afternoon FOR MOZ055-056-
     066>069-077>081-088>095-101>103.

KS...WIND ADVISORY until 5 PM CDT this afternoon FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

MESOSCALE...Griffin
SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
123 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
123 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH TO AS HIGH AS
50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP BY 3 PM OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A CAP OVER THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AND BREAK AS A DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO EASTERN
KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON.

INITIALLY...DISCRETE STORMS...POTENTIALLY SUPERCELLS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A LARGE HAIL RISK UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...DAMAGING
WIND RISK UP TO 70 MPH...AND A SMALL RISK FOR TORNADOES OVER THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A LINE OR LINE SEGMENTS
WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BECOMING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THIS
EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST BY 1 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
ARKANSAS.

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY....ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH
A COLD FRONT.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI FOR
LOCATIONS WEST OF THE I-49. AREAS BETWEEN HIGHWAY 65 AND I-49 MAY
BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE REST OF THE AREA EAST OF
HIGHWAY 65 MAY BE NEED LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
126 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST FORT SCOTT              37.84N 94.71W
03/27/2014  M51 MPH          BOURBON            KS   AWOS

            51 MPH WIND GUSTS REPORTED BY THE FORT SCOTT AWOS.

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
133 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW JOPLIN             37.10N 94.54W
03/27/2014  M53 MPH          JASPER             MO   ASOS

            JOPLIN ASOS REPORTED A 53 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

MGRIFFIN