Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Springfield, MO

March 27, 2014Christian County, Lawrence County, Stone County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 27, 2014, 8:59 PM CDT for Christian County, Lawrence County, Stone County, Missouri. It was in force for 46 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 27, 2014, 8:59 PM CDT (01:59 UTC)
Expired: Mar 27, 2014, 9:45 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Christian County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Stone County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 27, 9:12 PM CDT	HAIL 1	3 S Clever, MO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 27, 4:55 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 543 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1053 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

077 
WUUS53 KSGF 280159
SVRSGF
MOC043-109-209-280245-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0018.140328T0159Z-140328T0245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
859 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  NORTHERN STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 854 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AURORA...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  AURORA...BILLINGS...BOAZ...CLEVER...CRANE...ELSEY...
  HIGHLANDVILLE...HURLEY...MARIONVILLE...NIXA...PONCE DE LEON...
  SELMORE AND SPOKANE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FRIDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3687 9361 3692 9362 3693 9372 3695 9374
      3701 9374 3706 9371 3710 9361 3709 9331
      3707 9326 3700 9321 3694 9320 3686 9325
      3682 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 276DEG 35KT 3699 9362

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

2 follow-up statements

642 
WWUS53 KSGF 280211
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
911 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

MOC043-109-209-280245-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140328T0245Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-STONE MO-LAWRENCE MO-
911 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...NORTHERN STONE AND WESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM
CDT...

AT 908 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CLEVER TO CRANE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOAZ...CLEVER...CRANE...HIGHLANDVILLE...HURLEY...MARIONVILLE...
NIXA...PONCE DE LEON...SELMORE AND SPOKANE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FRIDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3687 9361 3692 9362 3693 9372 3695 9374
      3701 9363 3704 9355 3709 9350 3709 9331
      3707 9326 3700 9321 3694 9320 3686 9325
      3682 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 276DEG 35KT 3707 9339 3697 9347
          3693 9359

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

677 
WWUS53 KSGF 280226
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
926 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

MOC043-109-209-280237-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140328T0245Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-STONE MO-LAWRENCE MO-
926 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...
NORTHERN STONE AND WESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FRIDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3687 9361 3692 9362 3693 9372 3695 9374
      3701 9363 3704 9355 3709 9350 3709 9331
      3707 9326 3700 9321 3694 9320 3686 9325
      3682 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 276DEG 35KT 3705 9320 3695 9328
          3691 9340

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 27, 6:41 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 6:41 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
641 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2014

.UPDATE...
Issued at 640 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

Cold front has taken over the dryline over western areas and will
continue to accelerate southeastward this evening. Another mid level
enhancement on the water vapor suggest that an up tick in convection
will be possible over the far southwestern portions of Missouri over
the next couple of hours. MUCAPE is around 1000 J/KG southwest of
Springfield and shear is still very impressive.  The overall
thinking is that storms will line up along the cold front and
advance southeastward this evening. Strong winds and nearly severe
hail will be the main threat later this evening.  Storms should
clear through the area by midnight tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

The cold front will push eastward across the Ozarks this evening
as a vigorous shortwave trough tracks northeast across the
Midwest. Expect thunderstorms to evolve into linear segments along
the front but cannot rule out discrete supercells along and just
ahead of the line through early evening. The potential for severe
storms will persist through much of the evening but the risk will
gradually diminish after sunset. Damaging wind gusts will
remain the primary hazard risk given the strong environmental
winds just off of the surface while large will also be possible.
The limited risk for a tornado will diminish with sunset.

The front will push to our south overnight but stall as another
shortwave trough approaches Friday. This will bring showers
northward back into southern Missouri by Friday afternoon. This
activity will be most numerous near the Arkansas border where a
few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out. Otherwise a mostly
cloudy sky and cooler temperatures can be expected Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

A quasi-zonal pattern will set up this weekend into next week
across the CONUS. This will bring shortwaves and accompanying
fronts eastward across the region every couple of days while
maintaining seasonably mild temperatures.

A return southerly flow by Sunday will send temperatures well into
the 60s to near 70 degrees. The warming temperatures and
increasing southerly Sunday will result in elevated fire weather
conditions.

The next front will arrive Monday and may be accompanied by
scattered showers. A better chance of convection will develop
during mid week as the next shortwave arrives and taps into a
better moisture supply.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 640 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

Very active weather expected over the next 3 to 6 hours as
thunderstorms move through the region ahead of an advancing cold
front. Activity is in developing stages near the SGF aerodrome and
well to the west of BBG. Expect a period of MVFR, and possibly
IFR, with any thunderstorms, as well as gusty winds. The cold
front will pass through JLN within the next hour and this will
bring an end to the thunderstorm risk there. Winds ahead of the
front will remain gusty this evening, but not nearly as gusty as
earlier today. Clearing is expected behind the cold front tonight,
however another storm system moving across the southern tier of
the U.S. will bring an increase in clouds to the area Friday, with
showers possible by late in the afternoon at SGF and especially
BBG.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...Griffin
SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Gagan

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 27, 8:10 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
810 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-290115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
810 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A RISK FOR LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS GENERALLY EAST OF A JOPLIN TO OSAGE
BEACH LINE.

A LINE OF STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. THERE IS
ONLY A VERY LIMITED RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO. THE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST BY 1 AM.

OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE
THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP SATURDAY
WITH A MORE WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ON SUNDAY.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF THE
 MISSOURI OZARKS EAST OF A JOPLIN TO OSAGE BEACH LINE THIS
 EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GRIFFIN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 27, 7:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
737 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             BARNETT                 38.38N 92.67W
03/27/2014  M1.50 INCH       MORGAN             MO   PUBLIC

            PICTURE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Mar 27, 7:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
751 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     HAIL             FLEMINGTON              37.80N 93.50W
03/27/2014  M1.00 INCH       POLK               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Mar 27, 7:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
755 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             4 E FLEMINGTON          37.80N 93.43W
03/27/2014  M1.00 INCH       POLK               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Mar 27, 8:23 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
823 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     HAIL             3 SW STOTTS CITY        37.07N 93.99W
03/27/2014  M0.88 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Mar 27, 8:31 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
831 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WNW ELDON             38.38N 92.67W
03/27/2014                   MORGAN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SMALL TREES AND FENCING BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION
            OF HIGHWAYS 52 AND AA.

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Mar 27, 8:45 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     HAIL             6 N LEBANON             37.77N 92.66W
03/27/2014  E0.75 INCH       LACLEDE            MO   PUBLIC

&&

JCOLUCCI

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 27, 7:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dallas, Hickory, Polk	43 min
Mar 27, 8:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Lawrence	44 min
Mar 27, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Pulaski	45 min
Mar 27, 8:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Laclede, Pulaski	33 min
Mar 27, 9:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Stone	51 min
Mar 27, 11:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Shannon	31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.