Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 142

May 11, 20144 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 11, 2014, 2:21 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2014, 2:21 PM CDT (19:21 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2014, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Cloud County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Atchison County, MO, Adams County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

55 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Webster32 min
May 11, 3:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster23 min
May 11, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster26 min
May 11, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne47 min
May 11, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster47 min
May 11, 3:58 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDClay, Fillmore32 min
May 11, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDRooks29 min
May 11, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, Hamilton, York39 min
May 11, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Rooks, Smith41 min
May 11, 4:20 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGIDClay, Fillmore, Hamilton, York25 min
May 11, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell51 min
May 11, 4:39 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGIDFillmore, York36 min
May 11, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Hamilton, York47 min
May 11, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline, Seward41 min
May 11, 4:53 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXSaline, Seward52 min
May 11, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Rooks, Smith49 min
May 11, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, York30 min
May 11, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Lancaster, Seward47 min
May 11, 5:40 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOAXLancaster, Seward50 min
May 11, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith45 min
May 11, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell, Osborne30 min
May 11, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward26 min
May 11, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXSeward25 min
May 11, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward52 min
May 11, 6:19 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOAXLancaster, Saunders41 min
May 11, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Smith32 min
May 11, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer15 min
May 11, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson, Saline42 min
May 11, 6:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXButler, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward3 hr
May 11, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Lancaster, Sarpy, Saunders51 min
May 11, 6:58 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOAXJefferson, Saline32 min
May 11, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXDouglas, Sarpy, Saunders30 min
May 11, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Otoe40 min
May 11, 7:07 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer23 min
May 11, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie43 min
May 11, 7:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXSaunders3 hr
May 11, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Otoe, Saline34 min
May 11, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer33 min
May 11, 7:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXDouglas, Sarpy3 hr
May 11, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson, Saline31 min
May 11, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Mills, Pottawattamie43 min
May 11, 7:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXPottawattamie5 hr
May 11, 8:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXLancaster3 hr
May 11, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie, Shelby52 min
May 11, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Saline, Seward33 min
May 11, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Otoe42 min
May 11, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Cass, Crawford66 min
May 11, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Gage, Johnson, Lancaster, Otoe31 min
May 11, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills26 min
May 11, 9:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass40 min
May 11, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Pottawattamie36 min
May 11, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont32 min
May 11, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Audubon, Carroll, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie39 min
May 11, 9:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Cass, Crawford6 hr
May 11, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 240 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2014-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1518 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2014-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 379 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1518 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
770 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
379 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
477 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.0
Supercell composite
17.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

445 
WWUS20 KWNS 111922
SEL2  
SPC WW 111922
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-120300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 142
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST IOWA
  NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
  FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI
  SOUTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES
    POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
KEARNEY NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF SHENANDOAH IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 141...

DISCUSSION...EXPLOSIVE TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED FROM JUST
NORTHEAST OF A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS NORTHEAST ALONG
A WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IA.
GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY AND STRONG
LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE QUITE
FAVORABLE FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES...A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE INTENSE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 1:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 3 more2 hr
May 11, 2:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie7 hr
May 11, 7:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie118 min
May 11, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk and 64 more89 min
May 11, 10:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Des Moines, Henry and 19 more118 min
May 11, 11:53 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAppanoose, Benton, Cedar, Clarke, Clinton, Davis and 26 more7 hr
May 11, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page and 2 more116 min
May 11, 12:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Des Moines, Dubuque and 14 more54 min
May 11, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk and 5 more84 min
May 11, 5:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Louisa, Van Buren and 1 more66 min
May 11, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery and 5 more67 min
May 10, 7:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Barber, Barton, Bourbon and 60 more91 min
May 10, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clay and 29 more6 hr
May 10, 11:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clay and 29 more96 min
May 11, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 15 more119 min
May 11, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 16 more7 hr
May 11, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Edwards and 25 more89 min
May 10, 7:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton, Cole and 22 more95 min
May 10, 10:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Callaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln and 12 more83 min
May 11, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Cass, Douglas, Lancaster, Sarpy, Saunders and 2 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2014Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.