Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 141

May 11, 20147 counties in Illinois; 32 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 11, 2014, 11:53 AM CDT for 7 counties in Illinois; 32 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2014, 11:53 AM CDT (16:53 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 11:57 AM CDTTornado WarningDMXClarke, Lucas33 min
May 11, 12:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Ringgold, Union3 hr
May 11, 12:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Wayne44 min
May 11, 1:09 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXLucas, Monroe, Wayne36 min
May 11, 1:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe61 min
May 11, 1:44 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMahaska, Monroe31 min
May 11, 1:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Monroe, Wapello65 min
May 11, 1:59 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMahaska, Wapello46 min
May 11, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJefferson, Keokuk, Washington51 min
May 11, 2:55 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJefferson, Keokuk35 min
May 11, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLee, Van Buren64 min
May 11, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Keokuk, Washington50 min
May 11, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Mercer, Rock Island46 min
May 11, 3:32 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Washington28 min
May 11, 3:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWapello27 min
May 11, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJefferson, Van Buren39 min
May 11, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Rock Island, Whiteside62 min
May 11, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMonroe, Wapello62 min
May 11, 4:01 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXWapello44 min
May 11, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Mercer, Warren50 min
May 11, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Louisa, Washington62 min
May 11, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Lee61 min
May 11, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Van Buren42 min
May 11, 4:26 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDVNLee34 min
May 11, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWapello33 min
May 11, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMercer59 min
May 11, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Mercer, Warren58 min
May 11, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNVan Buren66 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 52 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 140 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
52 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-261 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1382 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

190 
WWUS20 KWNS 111654
SEL1  
SPC WW 111654
IAZ000-ILZ000-120000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA
  NORTHWEST ILLINOIS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
  700 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF KNOXVILLE
IOWA TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOLINE ILLINOIS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...REMNANTS OF A NOCTURNAL MCS HAVE RECENTLY INTENSIFIED
OVER S-CNTRL IA ALONG A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD THROUGH THE REGION.
CONTINUED MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING THREAT FOR EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS AS STORMS SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 7:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Monroe and 2 more95 min
May 10, 10:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Jersey, Madison, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair83 min
May 11, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer, Rock Island89 min
May 11, 10:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHancock118 min
May 11, 12:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henderson, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside54 min
May 11, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer84 min
May 11, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford and 23 more7 hr
May 11, 5:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy and 21 more66 min
May 11, 5:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Coles, Edgar56 min
May 11, 1:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 3 more2 hr
May 11, 2:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie7 hr
May 11, 7:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie118 min
May 11, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page and 2 more116 min
May 11, 2:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison and 8 more8 hr
May 11, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Cass, Fremont, Mills, Montgomery and 5 more67 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2014Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.