Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...POTENT THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG MID
APRIL COLD FRONT IS PRESSING INTO THE ARKLATEX EARLY THIS MORNING
WHILE A COMBINATION OF GULF MOISTURE ADVECTION AND INSTABILITY IS
PRODUCING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HEART OF THE ARKLAMISS.
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND HAS THUS FAR NOT BEEN GENERATING A GREAT DEAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.
BUT IT HAS BEEN DUMPING SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS EVIDENCED BY
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LATEST SUITE OF HI RES MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEST-TO-EAST ORIENTED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 WILL BECOME MORE
LINEARLY-ORIENTED AND CONTINUE ITS STEADY PUSH SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS GENERAL
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS ALSO DEPICTS DEEPER COLD POOLS PENETRATING
FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI...WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE GIVEN THAT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS TRENDING IN
THAT MANNER. ALL THIS NEW INFORMATION THROWS DOUBT ON WHETHER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ZONES WILL FULLY DESTABILIZE AGAIN FOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD DEFINITELY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL
THERE. THERE IS EVEN SOME MODEL SUGGESTION THAT THE MOST VIGOROUS
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON WILL FIRE UP NEAR THE COAST...WHICH COULD
LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL IN SOUTHERN ZONES AS WELL (ALTHOUGH THIS IS A
MORE IFFY PROSPECT).

BUT THE ABOVE-MENTIONED NEGATIVE FACTORS FOR SEVERE STORM FORMATION
IN OUR AREA LATER TODAY WILL NOT KEEP MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM
FORMING AFTER MORNING ACTIVITY WANES. EXPECT OVERRUNNING OF THE
CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNING (AND ALSO IMPETUS FROM THE
INCOMING COLD FRONT) TO KICK UP MORE CONVECTION ASSUREDLY...AND WE
WILL STILL MAINTAIN THE IDEA THAT SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD BE ENHANCED
IN SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
POSSIBLY MEET WITH SURFACE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES. THE GOING FLASH
FLOOD WATCH INTO THIS EVENING FOR ALL AREAS ASIDE FROM SOME OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA WILL BE KEPT INTACT...BUT THE HWO AND GRAPHICS WILL
WORK TO FOCUS SEVERE POTENTIAL MORE STRONGLY IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES.

THE MUCH-DISCUSSED COLD FRONT WILL COME BLASTING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE REGION FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING OFF SHARPLY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND WINDS
KICKING UP A GOOD DEAL FROM THE NORTHWEST. IT IS POSSIBLE A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED LATER BUT WITH ALL THE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING
WILL DEFER TO LATER SHIFTS TO ISSUE THIS IF NEEDED. TEMPERATURES BY
7 TO 8 AM TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE CHILLY UPPER 30S NORTHWEST TO
MID 40S SOUTHEAST WITH PLENTY OF WIND TO CREATE A WIND CHILL.
FORTUNATELY NO FROST IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT DUE TO STRONG WINDS.

FOR TOMORROW MOST OF THE CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING LIGHT RAIN WILL
QUICKLY EXIT EAST INTO THE ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE BUT EXPECT SOME
PATCHY COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH HIGHS PROBABLY NOT HITTING 60 DEGREES
IN ANY AREAS...WHICH IS SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. WINDS
WILL DIE OFF TOMORROW NIGHT UNDER CLEAR SKIES WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO GENERALLY BOTTOM-OUT IN A RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. OF COURSE THIS WILL MEAN AN
UNSEASONABLY LATE FREEZE AND THIS WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE HWO AND
GRAPHICS. /BB/

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD
WILL BE A TRANSITION TIME AS ZONAL FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY
SOUTHWEST. JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW A
MID LEVEL TROF TO DIG OVER THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS BY
THURSDAY. WARM/MOIST  ADVECTION LOOKS TO MOISTEN THE REGION ENOUGH
FOR SHOWERS TO BEGIN BREAKING OUT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD
FRONT PULLS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.

GFS/ECMWF DIVERGE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FROM HERE. ECMWF RESOLVES A
POTENT SRN STREAM MID LEVEL WAVE THAT GENERATES A LARGE CONVECTIVE
MASS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PUSHES EAST INTO FL BY SATURDAY.
THIS WOULD EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF THE GULF FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER NORTH. AM SOMEWHAT LEARY OF THIS SOLUTION.

WHILE THE GFS ALSO RESOLVES A SOUTHERN STREAM PIECE OF ENERGY THAT
IGNITES CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST FRIDAY...IT KEEPS THE MID MS
VALLEY WAVE DOMINANT AND STRONG ENOUGH TO PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY.

SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...IMMEDIATELY ON THE HEELS OF EXITING
SYSTEM...LOOKS TO MAKE A PASS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT MOISTURE
LOOKS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS LOWER LEVELS WILL NOT HAVE HAD ENOUGH TIME
TO RECOVER FROM THE SCOURING OF THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM./26/

&&

.CLIMATE...

STATION//4/16 FORECAST LOW//DAILY RECORD(DATE)//LATEST FREEZE

JAN    //       32        //     33 (1983)    //  4/25/1910
MEI    //       28        //     32 (2007)    //  4/25/1910
GLH    //       33        //     32 (1926)    //  4/16/1926
GWO    //       29        //     35 (2007)    //  4/15/2008
TVR    //       30        //     33 (2007)    //  4/21/1953
HBG    //       32        //     34 (1950)    //  4/15/1950

&&

.AVIATION...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ALIGNED NEAR THE I-20 AT 10Z
WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH TOWARD PIB/HBG THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL ANTICIPATED AROUND THE ENTIRE
AERODROME THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. THE MENTIONED CURRENT
CONVECTION NEAR I-20 IS MAKING WINDS IN A WIDE AREA QUITE
ERRATIC...BUT IN MOST AREAS THEY SHOULD TREND TOWARD SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY AND A LITTLE GUSTY UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST STRONGLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL CONTINUE SOMEWHAT GUSTY INTO LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. FLIGHT
CATS TODAY WILL BE MVFR MAINLY...WITH IFR CONDITIONS ENCOUNTERED IN
AREAS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       77  40  55  32 /  88  76   8   0
MERIDIAN      77  42  57  28 /  91  99  15   0
VICKSBURG     76  40  58  30 /  90  54   4   0
HATTIESBURG   82  44  58  32 /  91  96  15   0
NATCHEZ       77  38  55  31 /  90  52   3   0
GREENVILLE    70  35  55  33 /  82  48   3   0
GREENWOOD     72  36  54  29 /  81  63   6   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MSZ027>033-035>066-
     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR LAZ009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

BB/26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>036-
040>042-047-142230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH BEING
THE PRIMARY RISK ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES. QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.
LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF A BASTROP LOUISIANA TO GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI
LINE HAVE THE GREATEST RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

MSZ029>033-038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-066-142230-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JONES-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY MONDAY

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH BEING THE PRIMARY
RISK. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

MSZ037-043-044-048>050-053>056-059>065-072>074-142230-
ATTALA-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING EARLY MORNING HOURS
MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH BEING THE
PRIMARY RISK. A FEW TORNADOES AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WITH SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL DEVELOP
MONDAY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A FEW
TORNADOES.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

EC

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

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MSZ050-141040-
SCOTT MS-
455 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
455 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF HARPERVILLE TO 7 MILES
WEST OF BRANCH AT 455 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SCOTT COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3223 8933 3222 8973 3236 8973 3251 8977
      3253 8972 3258 8968 3258 8944 3240 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 0955Z 329DEG 25KT 3257 8955 3245 8966
          3238 8980

19

MSZ052-141100-
LAUDERDALE MS-
459 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
459 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF MARTIN TO 15
MILES WEST OF MARTIN AT 459 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN LAUDERDALE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3235 8841 3223 8844 3222 8891 3258 8891
      3258 8840 3257 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 0959Z 290DEG 31KT 3266 8877 3255 8890
          3250 8904

19

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
505 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LITTLE YAZOO            32.71N 90.37W
04/14/2014                   YAZOO              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A COUPLE ROADS ARE FLOODED.

0445 AM     FLASH FLOOD      YAZOO CITY              32.86N 90.41W
04/14/2014                   YAZOO              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL STREETS ARE FLOODED IN TOWN.

&&

CME

MSZ046-141050-
KEMPER MS-
507 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
507 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DE KALB
TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF DAMASCUS AT 507 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN KEMPER COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3258 8838 3258 8839 3258 8888 3280 8880
      3280 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 1007Z 266DEG 37KT 3272 8865 3263 8875
          3258 8881

19