Flash Flood Warning 49, NWS Jackson, MS

138 
WGUS54 KJAN 141150
FFWJAN
MSC049-121-141400-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-140414T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
650 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  HINDS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BYRAM...JACKSON...CLINTON...
  RANKIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...STAR...RICHLAND...PEARL...FLOWOOD...
  BRANDON...

* UNTIL 900 AM CDT

* AT 650 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA.           
  ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE      
  INCHES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST TWO HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BROWNSVILLE
  AND POCAHONTAS

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT 
TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9072 3223 9073 3230 9070 3234 9070
      3234 9063 3250 9058 3251 9053 3257 9044
      3249 9044 3249 9025 3240 9024 3240 8999
      3242 8975 3236 8973 3204 8973

$$

19

167 
WGUS54 KJAN 141352
FFWJAN
MSC049-121-141600-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-140414T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
852 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  HINDS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BYRAM...JACKSON...CLINTON...
  RANKIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...STAR...RICHLAND...PEARL...FLOWOOD...
  BRANDON...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT

* AT 852 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED   
  AREA. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF TWO         
  TO FOUR INCHES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST FOUR HOURS.              
  FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AND IS ONGOING ACROSS THE WARNED  
  AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BROWNSVILLE
  AND POCAHONTAS

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR 
THE NEXT TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9072 3223 9073 3230 9070 3234 9070
      3234 9063 3250 9058 3251 9053 3257 9044
      3249 9044 3249 9025 3240 9024 3240 8999
      3242 8975 3236 8973 3204 8973

$$

19

618 
WGUS74 KJAN 141556
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1056 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

MSC049-121-141605-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-140414T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RANKIN MS-HINDS MS-
1056 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 AM CDT FOR HINDS AND 
SOUTHERN RANKIN COUNTIES...

RAINFALL HAS TAPERED OFF OVER THE WARNED AREA...AND REPORTS AND 
STREAM GAGES INDICATE THAT FLASH FLOOD WATERS WERE RECEDING. HENCE 
THE WARNING IS BEING ALLOWED TO ESPIRE. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY...AND SHOULD 
PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN REDEVELOP ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING WOULD 
LIKELY OCCUR.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3205 9072 3223 9073 3230 9070 3234 9070
      3234 9063 3250 9058 3251 9053 3257 9044
      3249 9044 3249 9025 3240 9024 3240 8999
      3242 8975 3236 8973 3204 8973

$$

AEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...POTENT THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG MID
APRIL COLD FRONT IS PRESSING INTO THE ARKLATEX EARLY THIS MORNING
WHILE A COMBINATION OF GULF MOISTURE ADVECTION AND INSTABILITY IS
PRODUCING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HEART OF THE ARKLAMISS.
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND HAS THUS FAR NOT BEEN GENERATING A GREAT DEAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.
BUT IT HAS BEEN DUMPING SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS EVIDENCED BY
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LATEST SUITE OF HI RES MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEST-TO-EAST ORIENTED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 WILL BECOME MORE
LINEARLY-ORIENTED AND CONTINUE ITS STEADY PUSH SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS GENERAL
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS ALSO DEPICTS DEEPER COLD POOLS PENETRATING
FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI...WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE GIVEN THAT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS TRENDING IN
THAT MANNER. ALL THIS NEW INFORMATION THROWS DOUBT ON WHETHER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ZONES WILL FULLY DESTABILIZE AGAIN FOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD DEFINITELY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL
THERE. THERE IS EVEN SOME MODEL SUGGESTION THAT THE MOST VIGOROUS
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON WILL FIRE UP NEAR THE COAST...WHICH COULD
LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL IN SOUTHERN ZONES AS WELL (ALTHOUGH THIS IS A
MORE IFFY PROSPECT).

BUT THE ABOVE-MENTIONED NEGATIVE FACTORS FOR SEVERE STORM FORMATION
IN OUR AREA LATER TODAY WILL NOT KEEP MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM
FORMING AFTER MORNING ACTIVITY WANES. EXPECT OVERRUNNING OF THE
CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNING (AND ALSO IMPETUS FROM THE
INCOMING COLD FRONT) TO KICK UP MORE CONVECTION ASSUREDLY...AND WE
WILL STILL MAINTAIN THE IDEA THAT SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD BE ENHANCED
IN SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
POSSIBLY MEET WITH SURFACE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES. THE GOING FLASH
FLOOD WATCH INTO THIS EVENING FOR ALL AREAS ASIDE FROM SOME OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA WILL BE KEPT INTACT...BUT THE HWO AND GRAPHICS WILL
WORK TO FOCUS SEVERE POTENTIAL MORE STRONGLY IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES.

THE MUCH-DISCUSSED COLD FRONT WILL COME BLASTING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE REGION FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING OFF SHARPLY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND WINDS
KICKING UP A GOOD DEAL FROM THE NORTHWEST. IT IS POSSIBLE A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED LATER BUT WITH ALL THE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING
WILL DEFER TO LATER SHIFTS TO ISSUE THIS IF NEEDED. TEMPERATURES BY
7 TO 8 AM TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE CHILLY UPPER 30S NORTHWEST TO
MID 40S SOUTHEAST WITH PLENTY OF WIND TO CREATE A WIND CHILL.
FORTUNATELY NO FROST IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT DUE TO STRONG WINDS.

FOR TOMORROW MOST OF THE CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING LIGHT RAIN WILL
QUICKLY EXIT EAST INTO THE ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE BUT EXPECT SOME
PATCHY COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH HIGHS PROBABLY NOT HITTING 60 DEGREES
IN ANY AREAS...WHICH IS SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. WINDS
WILL DIE OFF TOMORROW NIGHT UNDER CLEAR SKIES WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO GENERALLY BOTTOM-OUT IN A RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. OF COURSE THIS WILL MEAN AN
UNSEASONABLY LATE FREEZE AND THIS WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE HWO AND
GRAPHICS. /BB/

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD
WILL BE A TRANSITION TIME AS ZONAL FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY
SOUTHWEST. JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW A
MID LEVEL TROF TO DIG OVER THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS BY
THURSDAY. WARM/MOIST  ADVECTION LOOKS TO MOISTEN THE REGION ENOUGH
FOR SHOWERS TO BEGIN BREAKING OUT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD
FRONT PULLS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.

GFS/ECMWF DIVERGE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FROM HERE. ECMWF RESOLVES A
POTENT SRN STREAM MID LEVEL WAVE THAT GENERATES A LARGE CONVECTIVE
MASS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PUSHES EAST INTO FL BY SATURDAY.
THIS WOULD EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF THE GULF FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER NORTH. AM SOMEWHAT LEARY OF THIS SOLUTION.

WHILE THE GFS ALSO RESOLVES A SOUTHERN STREAM PIECE OF ENERGY THAT
IGNITES CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST FRIDAY...IT KEEPS THE MID MS
VALLEY WAVE DOMINANT AND STRONG ENOUGH TO PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY.

SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...IMMEDIATELY ON THE HEELS OF EXITING
SYSTEM...LOOKS TO MAKE A PASS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT MOISTURE
LOOKS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS LOWER LEVELS WILL NOT HAVE HAD ENOUGH TIME
TO RECOVER FROM THE SCOURING OF THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM./26/

&&

.CLIMATE...

STATION//4/16 FORECAST LOW//DAILY RECORD(DATE)//LATEST FREEZE

JAN    //       32        //     33 (1983)    //  4/25/1910
MEI    //       28        //     32 (2007)    //  4/25/1910
GLH    //       33        //     32 (1926)    //  4/16/1926
GWO    //       29        //     35 (2007)    //  4/15/2008
TVR    //       30        //     33 (2007)    //  4/21/1953
HBG    //       32        //     34 (1950)    //  4/15/1950

&&

.AVIATION...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ALIGNED NEAR THE I-20 AT 10Z
WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH TOWARD PIB/HBG THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL ANTICIPATED AROUND THE ENTIRE
AERODROME THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. THE MENTIONED CURRENT
CONVECTION NEAR I-20 IS MAKING WINDS IN A WIDE AREA QUITE
ERRATIC...BUT IN MOST AREAS THEY SHOULD TREND TOWARD SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY AND A LITTLE GUSTY UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST STRONGLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL CONTINUE SOMEWHAT GUSTY INTO LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. FLIGHT
CATS TODAY WILL BE MVFR MAINLY...WITH IFR CONDITIONS ENCOUNTERED IN
AREAS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       77  40  55  32 /  88  76   8   0
MERIDIAN      77  42  57  28 /  91  99  15   0
VICKSBURG     76  40  58  30 /  90  54   4   0
HATTIESBURG   82  44  58  32 /  91  96  15   0
NATCHEZ       77  38  55  31 /  90  52   3   0
GREENVILLE    70  35  55  33 /  82  48   3   0
GREENWOOD     72  36  54  29 /  81  63   6   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MSZ027>033-035>066-
     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR LAZ009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

BB/26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>036-
040>042-047-142230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH BEING
THE PRIMARY RISK ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES. QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.
LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF A BASTROP LOUISIANA TO GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI
LINE HAVE THE GREATEST RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

MSZ029>033-038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-066-142230-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JONES-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY MONDAY

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH BEING THE PRIMARY
RISK. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

MSZ037-043-044-048>050-053>056-059>065-072>074-142230-
ATTALA-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING EARLY MORNING HOURS
MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH BEING THE
PRIMARY RISK. A FEW TORNADOES AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WITH SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL DEVELOP
MONDAY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A FEW
TORNADOES.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

EC

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

MSZ051-141020-
NEWTON MS-
422 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
422 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF PROSPECT TO 15 MILES WEST OF
CONEHATTA AT 422 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN NEWTON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3223 8932 3257 8932 3258 8925 3258 8892
      3222 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0922Z 313DEG 19KT 3263 8918 3248 8951

19

MSZ044-141025-
LEAKE MS-
425 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
425 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SINGLETON TO 13 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THOMASTOWN AT 425 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN LEAKE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3257 8932 3258 8972 3293 8972 3293 8932
      3258 8931
TIME...MOT...LOC 0925Z 302DEG 32KT 3294 8956 3278 8967
          3271 8978

19

MSZ046-141030-
KEMPER MS-
429 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
429 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF PRESTON TO 13 MILES WEST OF
DAMASCUS AT 429 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN KEMPER COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3258 8838 3258 8839 3258 8891 3292 8892
      3293 8835 3292 8834
TIME...MOT...LOC 0929Z 273DEG 25KT 3294 8869 3268 8904

19

MSZ049-141035-
RANKIN MS-
434 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
434 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 16 MILES NORTH OF LEESBURG TO 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FLOWOOD AT 434 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN RANKIN COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3205 9023 3211 9025 3215 9026 3220 9019
      3225 9020 3235 9011 3238 9010 3239 9007
      3243 9007 3248 9002 3252 8992 3259 8984
      3258 8978 3236 8973 3204 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 0934Z 317DEG 33KT 3264 8969 3236 9023

19

MSZ048-141030-
HINDS MS-
438 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
438 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON TO BOLTON AT 438
AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN HINDS COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3205 9072 3223 9073 3234 9070 3234 9063
      3237 9064 3244 9059 3248 9060 3251 9053
      3257 9045 3257 9044 3249 9044 3249 9025
      3240 9024 3240 9007 3225 9020 3219 9020
      3215 9026 3211 9025 3211 9023 3205 9023
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 332DEG 31KT 3243 9007 3239 9026
          3235 9044

19

MSZ045-141010-
NESHOBA MS-
442 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
442 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER BETHSAIDA AT 442 AM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN NESHOBA COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3258 8915 3274 8916 3276 8892 3276 8891
      3258 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0942Z 267DEG 38KT 3266 8904

19