Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 49, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Apr 14, 2014, 10:07 AM CDT for Jones County, Mississippi. It took effect at Apr 16, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 14, 2014, 10:07 AM CDT (15:07 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 16, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 17, 2014, 10:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Jones County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tallahala Creek at Laurel (LURM6). The gauge peaked at 10.15 ft at Apr 18, 2014, 10:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 16.5 ft
- Major stage
- 19 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02473500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
189
WGUS44 KJAN 141507
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1007 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC067-152107-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140416T1800Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140416T1800Z.140416T1800Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST TIME DATE
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 6.8 MON 10 AM 9.6 12.4 12.2 13.0 01 PM 04/16
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
3156 8911 3140 8914
$$5 follow-up statements
110
WGUS84 KJAN 150254
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC067-160854-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0000Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE
WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST TIME DATE
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 7.1 MON 09 PM 8.4 10.5 12.4 13.0 07 PM 04/16
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
3156 8911 3140 8914
$$
MSC023-160854-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140416T1251Z-140418T1914Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140416T1251Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0414Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE
CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3
MILES DOWNSTREAM.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST TIME DATE
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE 25 21.1 MON 09 PM 22.7 24.8 28.3 28.5 01 AM 04/17
&&
LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
3211 8873 3205 8868
$$872
WGUS84 KJAN 150743
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
243 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI..
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING
BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC067-161343-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0000Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
243 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 1:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE
TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 9.0 TUE 02 AM 11.3 12.4 9.9 13.0 07 PM 04/16
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
3156 8911 3140 8914
$$041
WGUS84 KJAN 151451
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC067-162051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0600Z-140418T0300Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.140417T1200Z.NO/
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 9.7 TUE 09 AM 10.5 13.0 11.0 13.0 01 AM 04/17
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
3156 8911 3140 8914
$$
MSC023-162050-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140415T1602Z-140418T2349Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1602Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0849Z.NO/
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE
CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3
MILES DOWNSTREAM.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE 25 24.6 TUE 09 AM 27.4 28.3 24.1 28.5 01 AM 04/17
&&
LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
3211 8873 3205 8868
$$675
WGUS84 KJAN 160235
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC067-170835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0600Z-140417T2100Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.NO/
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 9.9 TUE 09 PM 10.8 12.8 11.1 13.0 01 AM 04/17
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
3156 8911 3140 8914
$$
MSC023-170835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140419T0109Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140417T0600Z.140418T1009Z.NO/
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE 25 26.2 TUE 09 PM 27.3 28.3 24.6 28.5 01 AM 04/17
&&
LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
3211 8873 3205 8868
$$189
WGUS84 KJAN 161449
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
949 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN MISSISSIPPI...
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC067-161519-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-140417T2100Z/
/LURM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL.
* AT 8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.5 FEET
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST TIME DATE
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 9.5 WED 09 AM 9.9 12.5 11.4 12.5 01 AM 04/18
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
3156 8911 3140 8914
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 14, 4:45 AM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 14, 4:45 AM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
...POTENT THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG MID
APRIL COLD FRONT IS PRESSING INTO THE ARKLATEX EARLY THIS MORNING
WHILE A COMBINATION OF GULF MOISTURE ADVECTION AND INSTABILITY IS
PRODUCING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HEART OF THE ARKLAMISS.
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND HAS THUS FAR NOT BEEN GENERATING A GREAT DEAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.
BUT IT HAS BEEN DUMPING SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS EVIDENCED BY
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
LATEST SUITE OF HI RES MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEST-TO-EAST ORIENTED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 WILL BECOME MORE
LINEARLY-ORIENTED AND CONTINUE ITS STEADY PUSH SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS GENERAL
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS ALSO DEPICTS DEEPER COLD POOLS PENETRATING
FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI...WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE GIVEN THAT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS TRENDING IN
THAT MANNER. ALL THIS NEW INFORMATION THROWS DOUBT ON WHETHER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ZONES WILL FULLY DESTABILIZE AGAIN FOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD DEFINITELY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL
THERE. THERE IS EVEN SOME MODEL SUGGESTION THAT THE MOST VIGOROUS
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON WILL FIRE UP NEAR THE COAST...WHICH COULD
LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL IN SOUTHERN ZONES AS WELL (ALTHOUGH THIS IS A
MORE IFFY PROSPECT).
BUT THE ABOVE-MENTIONED NEGATIVE FACTORS FOR SEVERE STORM FORMATION
IN OUR AREA LATER TODAY WILL NOT KEEP MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM
FORMING AFTER MORNING ACTIVITY WANES. EXPECT OVERRUNNING OF THE
CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNING (AND ALSO IMPETUS FROM THE
INCOMING COLD FRONT) TO KICK UP MORE CONVECTION ASSUREDLY...AND WE
WILL STILL MAINTAIN THE IDEA THAT SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD BE ENHANCED
IN SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
POSSIBLY MEET WITH SURFACE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES. THE GOING FLASH
FLOOD WATCH INTO THIS EVENING FOR ALL AREAS ASIDE FROM SOME OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA WILL BE KEPT INTACT...BUT THE HWO AND GRAPHICS WILL
WORK TO FOCUS SEVERE POTENTIAL MORE STRONGLY IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES.
THE MUCH-DISCUSSED COLD FRONT WILL COME BLASTING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE REGION FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING OFF SHARPLY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND WINDS
KICKING UP A GOOD DEAL FROM THE NORTHWEST. IT IS POSSIBLE A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED LATER BUT WITH ALL THE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING
WILL DEFER TO LATER SHIFTS TO ISSUE THIS IF NEEDED. TEMPERATURES BY
7 TO 8 AM TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE CHILLY UPPER 30S NORTHWEST TO
MID 40S SOUTHEAST WITH PLENTY OF WIND TO CREATE A WIND CHILL.
FORTUNATELY NO FROST IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT DUE TO STRONG WINDS.
FOR TOMORROW MOST OF THE CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING LIGHT RAIN WILL
QUICKLY EXIT EAST INTO THE ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE BUT EXPECT SOME
PATCHY COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH HIGHS PROBABLY NOT HITTING 60 DEGREES
IN ANY AREAS...WHICH IS SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. WINDS
WILL DIE OFF TOMORROW NIGHT UNDER CLEAR SKIES WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO GENERALLY BOTTOM-OUT IN A RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. OF COURSE THIS WILL MEAN AN
UNSEASONABLY LATE FREEZE AND THIS WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE HWO AND
GRAPHICS. /BB/
.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD
WILL BE A TRANSITION TIME AS ZONAL FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY
SOUTHWEST. JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW A
MID LEVEL TROF TO DIG OVER THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS BY
THURSDAY. WARM/MOIST ADVECTION LOOKS TO MOISTEN THE REGION ENOUGH
FOR SHOWERS TO BEGIN BREAKING OUT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD
FRONT PULLS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.
GFS/ECMWF DIVERGE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FROM HERE. ECMWF RESOLVES A
POTENT SRN STREAM MID LEVEL WAVE THAT GENERATES A LARGE CONVECTIVE
MASS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PUSHES EAST INTO FL BY SATURDAY.
THIS WOULD EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF THE GULF FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER NORTH. AM SOMEWHAT LEARY OF THIS SOLUTION.
WHILE THE GFS ALSO RESOLVES A SOUTHERN STREAM PIECE OF ENERGY THAT
IGNITES CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST FRIDAY...IT KEEPS THE MID MS
VALLEY WAVE DOMINANT AND STRONG ENOUGH TO PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY.
SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...IMMEDIATELY ON THE HEELS OF EXITING
SYSTEM...LOOKS TO MAKE A PASS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT MOISTURE
LOOKS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS LOWER LEVELS WILL NOT HAVE HAD ENOUGH TIME
TO RECOVER FROM THE SCOURING OF THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM./26/
&&
.CLIMATE...
STATION//4/16 FORECAST LOW//DAILY RECORD(DATE)//LATEST FREEZE
JAN // 32 // 33 (1983) // 4/25/1910
MEI // 28 // 32 (2007) // 4/25/1910
GLH // 33 // 32 (1926) // 4/16/1926
GWO // 29 // 35 (2007) // 4/15/2008
TVR // 30 // 33 (2007) // 4/21/1953
HBG // 32 // 34 (1950) // 4/15/1950
&&
.AVIATION...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ALIGNED NEAR THE I-20 AT 10Z
WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH TOWARD PIB/HBG THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL ANTICIPATED AROUND THE ENTIRE
AERODROME THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. THE MENTIONED CURRENT
CONVECTION NEAR I-20 IS MAKING WINDS IN A WIDE AREA QUITE
ERRATIC...BUT IN MOST AREAS THEY SHOULD TREND TOWARD SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY AND A LITTLE GUSTY UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST STRONGLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL CONTINUE SOMEWHAT GUSTY INTO LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. FLIGHT
CATS TODAY WILL BE MVFR MAINLY...WITH IFR CONDITIONS ENCOUNTERED IN
AREAS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS. /BB/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 77 40 55 32 / 88 76 8 0
MERIDIAN 77 42 57 28 / 91 99 15 0
VICKSBURG 76 40 58 30 / 90 54 4 0
HATTIESBURG 82 44 58 32 / 91 96 15 0
NATCHEZ 77 38 55 31 / 90 52 3 0
GREENVILLE 70 35 55 33 / 82 48 3 0
GREENWOOD 72 36 54 29 / 81 63 6 0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MSZ027>033-035>066-
072>074.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR LAZ009-015-016-
023>026.
AR...NONE.
&&
BB/26Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 14, 6:10 AM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014 ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-151115- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE- GRENADA-WASHINGTON- 610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TODAY NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1 WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY. A FREEZE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY. LAZ009-015-016-MSZ027>030-032-033-035>037-040>044-047>049-151115- EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO- MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- 610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FLOODING RISK...ELEVATED TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TODAY NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1 WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY. A FREEZE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY. MSZ031-038-039-045-046-050>052-151115- LOWNDES-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE- 610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING FLOODING RISK...ELEVATED TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1 WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY. A FREEZE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. LAZ023>026-MSZ053-054-059>061-151115- FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- 610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FLOODING RISK...ELEVATED TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING TORNADOES RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TODAY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS RISK...ELEVATED TIMING...TODAY NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1 WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY. FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY. MSZ055>058-062>066-072>074-151115- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS- COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FLOODING RISK...ELEVATED TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS RISK...ELEVATED TIMING...MAINLY TODAY TORNADOES RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TODAY NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS RISK...LIMITED TIMING...TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1 WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY. FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 50 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH OR GREATER. HIGH...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH. ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH. LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH. *FLOODING* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING. LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE. *TORNADOES* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER. HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES. LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/ SPC...MESO ANALYSIS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/# SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/ SPC...STORM REPORTS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/ NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/ NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK... WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL... WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION... WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF... WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML WPC QPF DISCUSSION... WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 14, 7:51 AM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
751 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 32.32N 90.21W
04/14/2014 HINDS MS OTHER FEDERAL
USGS GAGE ON HANGING MOSS CREEK IS 16.8 FEET AT 7 AM.
FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
&&
GERARDLocal storm report, Apr 14, 7:58 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
758 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0507 AM TSTM WND DMG 7 NW COLLINSVILLE 32.57N 88.93W
04/14/2014 NEWTON MS PUBLIC
TREES DOWN
&&
CMELocal storm report, Apr 14, 8:09 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
809 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0622 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE ROSE HILL 32.12N 88.97W
04/14/2014 JASPER MS EMERGENCY MNGR
FEW TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 18
0610 AM DENSE FOG 1 E BAY SPRINGS 31.98N 89.27W
04/14/2014 JASPER MS EMERGENCY MNGR
9-10 TREES DOWN.
&&
CMELocal storm report, Apr 14, 8:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
811 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0610 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 E BAY SPRINGS 31.98N 89.27W
04/14/2014 JASPER MS EMERGENCY MNGR
9-10 TREES DOWN.
&&
CMELocal storm report, Apr 14, 8:45 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
845 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 E CANTON 32.61N 90.00W
04/14/2014 MADISON MS TRAINED SPOTTER
A HOUSE WAS SURROUNDED BY WATER OFF MS HIGHWAY 16 EAST OF
CANTON
&&
DLLocal storm report, Apr 14, 10:01 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1001 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM FLASH FLOOD VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
04/14/2014 WARREN MS PUBLIC
PAXTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR OLD HWY 27.
&&
AWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 8:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clay | 4 days |
| Apr 14, 1:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Sunflower | 48 min |
| Apr 14, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Leflore, Sunflower | 62 min |
| Apr 14, 2:21 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Washington | 29 min |
| Apr 14, 2:39 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Carroll, Holmes, Humphreys | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 2:50 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Carroll, Grenada, Holmes, Leflore, Montgomery | 60 min |
| Apr 14, 3:10 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Webster | 45 min |
| Apr 14, 3:13 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo | 9 hr |
| Apr 14, 3:34 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Scott | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 3:42 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Neshoba | 58 min |
| Apr 14, 3:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Madison | 10 hr |
| Apr 14, 3:56 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Yazoo | 29 min |
| Apr 14, 3:59 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Attala | 46 min |
| Apr 14, 4:09 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey | 7 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:09 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Madison | 51 min |
| Apr 14, 4:22 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Newton | 58 min |
| Apr 14, 4:25 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Leake | 60 min |
| Apr 14, 4:29 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Kemper | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 4:34 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Rankin | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 4:37 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Leake, Rankin, Scott | 9 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:38 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Hinds | 52 min |
| Apr 14, 4:42 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Neshoba | 28 min |
| Apr 14, 4:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Rankin | 6 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:55 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Scott | 45 min |
| Apr 14, 4:59 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Lauderdale | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 5:07 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Kemper | 43 min |
| Apr 14, 5:31 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Smith | 59 min |
| Apr 14, 6:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Clarke, Jasper | 31 min |
| Apr 14, 6:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Jasper | 53 min |
| Apr 14, 10:22 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 4 days |
| Apr 14, 10:22 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala | 3 days |
| Apr 14, 12:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 12:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Washington | 83 min |
| Apr 14, 12:41 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey | 29 min |
| Apr 14, 1:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey | 30 min |
| Apr 14, 1:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo | 58 min |
| Apr 14, 2:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Yazoo | 47 min |
| Apr 14, 2:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 6 hr |
| Apr 14, 2:52 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Warren | 33 min |
| Apr 14, 3:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Sharkey | 30 min |
| Apr 14, 3:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 59 min |
| Apr 14, 3:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 3:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Yazoo | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Yazoo | 29 min |
| Apr 14, 4:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Warren | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Yazoo | 21 min |
| Apr 14, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Warren | 42 min |
| Apr 14, 4:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 53 min |
| Apr 14, 4:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Carroll, Holmes, Leflore, Montgomery | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin | 58 min |
| Apr 14, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo | 53 min |
| Apr 14, 5:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 51 min |
| Apr 14, 5:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Scott | 53 min |
| Apr 14, 6:08 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Leake, Neshoba | 32 min |
| Apr 14, 6:28 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena | 6 hr |
| Apr 14, 6:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Jasper, Newton | 45 min |
| Apr 14, 6:40 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Yazoo | 6 hr |
| Apr 14, 6:59 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Simpson, Warren | 8 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.