Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 49, NWS Jackson, MS

April 14, 2014Jones County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Apr 14, 2014, 10:07 AM CDT for Jones County, Mississippi. It took effect at Apr 16, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2014, 10:07 AM CDT (15:07 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 17, 2014, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Jones County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tallahala Creek at Laurel (LURM6). The gauge peaked at 10.15 ft at Apr 18, 2014, 10:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101504/1404/1504/1604/1704/18
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16.5 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02473500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

189 
WGUS44 KJAN 141507
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1007 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-152107-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140416T1800Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140416T1800Z.140416T1800Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   6.8 MON 10 AM   9.6  12.4  12.2  13.0 01 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
5 follow-up statements
110 
WGUS84 KJAN 150254
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-160854-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0000Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   7.1 MON 09 PM   8.4  10.5  12.4  13.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-160854-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140416T1251Z-140418T1914Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140416T1251Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0414Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  21.1 MON 09 PM  22.7  24.8  28.3  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
872 
WGUS84 KJAN 150743
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
243 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI..

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING
BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-161343-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0000Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
243 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 1:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   9.0 TUE 02 AM  11.3  12.4   9.9  13.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$
041 
WGUS84 KJAN 151451
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-162051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0600Z-140418T0300Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.140417T1200Z.NO/
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   9.7 TUE 09 AM  10.5  13.0  11.0  13.0 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-162050-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140415T1602Z-140418T2349Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1602Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0849Z.NO/
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  24.6 TUE 09 AM  27.4  28.3  24.1  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
675 
WGUS84 KJAN 160235
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-170835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0600Z-140417T2100Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.NO/
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   9.9 TUE 09 PM  10.8  12.8  11.1  13.0 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-170835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140419T0109Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140417T0600Z.140418T1009Z.NO/
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  26.2 TUE 09 PM  27.3  28.3  24.6  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$
189 
WGUS84 KJAN 161449
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
949 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-161519-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-140417T2100Z/
/LURM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL.
* AT  8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.5 FEET 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   9.5 WED 09 AM   9.9  12.5  11.4  12.5 01 AM 04/18


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 14, 4:45 AM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 14, 4:45 AM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
445 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...POTENT THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG MID
APRIL COLD FRONT IS PRESSING INTO THE ARKLATEX EARLY THIS MORNING
WHILE A COMBINATION OF GULF MOISTURE ADVECTION AND INSTABILITY IS
PRODUCING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HEART OF THE ARKLAMISS.
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND HAS THUS FAR NOT BEEN GENERATING A GREAT DEAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.
BUT IT HAS BEEN DUMPING SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS EVIDENCED BY
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LATEST SUITE OF HI RES MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEST-TO-EAST ORIENTED
CONVECTION CURRENTLY SINKING SOUTH TOWARD I-20 WILL BECOME MORE
LINEARLY-ORIENTED AND CONTINUE ITS STEADY PUSH SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS GENERAL
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS ALSO DEPICTS DEEPER COLD POOLS PENETRATING
FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI...WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE GIVEN THAT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS TRENDING IN
THAT MANNER. ALL THIS NEW INFORMATION THROWS DOUBT ON WHETHER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ZONES WILL FULLY DESTABILIZE AGAIN FOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD DEFINITELY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL
THERE. THERE IS EVEN SOME MODEL SUGGESTION THAT THE MOST VIGOROUS
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON WILL FIRE UP NEAR THE COAST...WHICH COULD
LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL IN SOUTHERN ZONES AS WELL (ALTHOUGH THIS IS A
MORE IFFY PROSPECT).

BUT THE ABOVE-MENTIONED NEGATIVE FACTORS FOR SEVERE STORM FORMATION
IN OUR AREA LATER TODAY WILL NOT KEEP MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM
FORMING AFTER MORNING ACTIVITY WANES. EXPECT OVERRUNNING OF THE
CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNING (AND ALSO IMPETUS FROM THE
INCOMING COLD FRONT) TO KICK UP MORE CONVECTION ASSUREDLY...AND WE
WILL STILL MAINTAIN THE IDEA THAT SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD BE ENHANCED
IN SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
POSSIBLY MEET WITH SURFACE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES. THE GOING FLASH
FLOOD WATCH INTO THIS EVENING FOR ALL AREAS ASIDE FROM SOME OF THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA WILL BE KEPT INTACT...BUT THE HWO AND GRAPHICS WILL
WORK TO FOCUS SEVERE POTENTIAL MORE STRONGLY IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES.

THE MUCH-DISCUSSED COLD FRONT WILL COME BLASTING SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE REGION FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING OFF SHARPLY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AND WINDS
KICKING UP A GOOD DEAL FROM THE NORTHWEST. IT IS POSSIBLE A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED LATER BUT WITH ALL THE ACTIVITY THIS MORNING
WILL DEFER TO LATER SHIFTS TO ISSUE THIS IF NEEDED. TEMPERATURES BY
7 TO 8 AM TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE CHILLY UPPER 30S NORTHWEST TO
MID 40S SOUTHEAST WITH PLENTY OF WIND TO CREATE A WIND CHILL.
FORTUNATELY NO FROST IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT DUE TO STRONG WINDS.

FOR TOMORROW MOST OF THE CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING LIGHT RAIN WILL
QUICKLY EXIT EAST INTO THE ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE BUT EXPECT SOME
PATCHY COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH HIGHS PROBABLY NOT HITTING 60 DEGREES
IN ANY AREAS...WHICH IS SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. WINDS
WILL DIE OFF TOMORROW NIGHT UNDER CLEAR SKIES WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO GENERALLY BOTTOM-OUT IN A RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. OF COURSE THIS WILL MEAN AN
UNSEASONABLY LATE FREEZE AND THIS WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE HWO AND
GRAPHICS. /BB/

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD
WILL BE A TRANSITION TIME AS ZONAL FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY
SOUTHWEST. JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW A
MID LEVEL TROF TO DIG OVER THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS BY
THURSDAY. WARM/MOIST  ADVECTION LOOKS TO MOISTEN THE REGION ENOUGH
FOR SHOWERS TO BEGIN BREAKING OUT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD
FRONT PULLS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.

GFS/ECMWF DIVERGE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS FROM HERE. ECMWF RESOLVES A
POTENT SRN STREAM MID LEVEL WAVE THAT GENERATES A LARGE CONVECTIVE
MASS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PUSHES EAST INTO FL BY SATURDAY.
THIS WOULD EFFECTIVELY CUT OFF THE GULF FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER NORTH. AM SOMEWHAT LEARY OF THIS SOLUTION.

WHILE THE GFS ALSO RESOLVES A SOUTHERN STREAM PIECE OF ENERGY THAT
IGNITES CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST FRIDAY...IT KEEPS THE MID MS
VALLEY WAVE DOMINANT AND STRONG ENOUGH TO PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY.

SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...IMMEDIATELY ON THE HEELS OF EXITING
SYSTEM...LOOKS TO MAKE A PASS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT MOISTURE
LOOKS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS LOWER LEVELS WILL NOT HAVE HAD ENOUGH TIME
TO RECOVER FROM THE SCOURING OF THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM./26/

&&

.CLIMATE...

STATION//4/16 FORECAST LOW//DAILY RECORD(DATE)//LATEST FREEZE

JAN    //       32        //     33 (1983)    //  4/25/1910
MEI    //       28        //     32 (2007)    //  4/25/1910
GLH    //       33        //     32 (1926)    //  4/16/1926
GWO    //       29        //     35 (2007)    //  4/15/2008
TVR    //       30        //     33 (2007)    //  4/21/1953
HBG    //       32        //     34 (1950)    //  4/15/1950

&&

.AVIATION...SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ALIGNED NEAR THE I-20 AT 10Z
WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH TOWARD PIB/HBG THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL ANTICIPATED AROUND THE ENTIRE
AERODROME THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. THE MENTIONED CURRENT
CONVECTION NEAR I-20 IS MAKING WINDS IN A WIDE AREA QUITE
ERRATIC...BUT IN MOST AREAS THEY SHOULD TREND TOWARD SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY AND A LITTLE GUSTY UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST STRONGLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND
WILL CONTINUE SOMEWHAT GUSTY INTO LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. FLIGHT
CATS TODAY WILL BE MVFR MAINLY...WITH IFR CONDITIONS ENCOUNTERED IN
AREAS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       77  40  55  32 /  88  76   8   0
MERIDIAN      77  42  57  28 /  91  99  15   0
VICKSBURG     76  40  58  30 /  90  54   4   0
HATTIESBURG   82  44  58  32 /  91  96  15   0
NATCHEZ       77  38  55  31 /  90  52   3   0
GREENVILLE    70  35  55  33 /  82  48   3   0
GREENWOOD     72  36  54  29 /  81  63   6   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MSZ027>033-035>066-
     072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR LAZ009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

BB/26
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 14, 6:10 AM CDT, 3 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-151115-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
GRENADA-WASHINGTON-
610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS A STRONG
COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY.

A FREEZE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED
TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON
TUESDAY NIGHT.

FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS
EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

LAZ009-015-016-MSZ027>030-032-033-035>037-040>044-047>049-151115-
EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS
A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING
ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY.

A FREEZE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED
TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON
TUESDAY NIGHT.

FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS
EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

MSZ031-038-039-045-046-050>052-151115-
LOWNDES-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM
THE WEST. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO
CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY.

A FREEZE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED
TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON
TUESDAY NIGHT.

FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION IS
EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053-054-059>061-151115-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS WELL. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY.

FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION
IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

MSZ055>058-062>066-072>074-151115-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
610 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TODAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
ONE INCH OR GREATER HAIL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AS
A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES AND A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON TUESDAY.

FROST CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGE TO UNPROTECTED TENDER VEGETATION
IS EXPECTED FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH
 OR GREATER.
HIGH...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH.
ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH.
LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 14, 7:51 AM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
751 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JACKSON                 32.32N 90.21W
04/14/2014                   HINDS              MS   OTHER FEDERAL

            USGS GAGE ON HANGING MOSS CREEK IS 16.8 FEET AT 7 AM.
            FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.

&&

GERARD
Local storm report, Apr 14, 7:58 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
758 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NW COLLINSVILLE       32.57N 88.93W
04/14/2014                   NEWTON             MS   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 14, 8:09 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
809 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0622 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE ROSE HILL          32.12N 88.97W
04/14/2014                   JASPER             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FEW TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 18

0610 AM     DENSE FOG        1 E BAY SPRINGS         31.98N 89.27W
04/14/2014                   JASPER             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            9-10 TREES DOWN.

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 14, 8:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
811 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E BAY SPRINGS         31.98N 89.27W
04/14/2014                   JASPER             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            9-10 TREES DOWN.

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 14, 8:45 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
845 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E CANTON              32.61N 90.00W
04/14/2014                   MADISON            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A HOUSE WAS SURROUNDED BY WATER OFF MS HIGHWAY 16 EAST OF
            CANTON

&&

DL
Local storm report, Apr 14, 10:01 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1001 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      VICKSBURG               32.33N 90.87W
04/14/2014                   WARREN             MS   PUBLIC

            PAXTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR OLD HWY 27.

&&

AW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 8:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClay4 days
Apr 14, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower48 min
Apr 14, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Leflore, Sunflower62 min
Apr 14, 2:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWashington29 min
Apr 14, 2:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys3 hr
Apr 14, 2:50 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Leflore, Montgomery60 min
Apr 14, 3:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWebster45 min
Apr 14, 3:13 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Warren, Yazoo9 hr
Apr 14, 3:34 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANScott61 min
Apr 14, 3:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba58 min
Apr 14, 3:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANMadison10 hr
Apr 14, 3:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo29 min
Apr 14, 3:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala46 min
Apr 14, 4:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey7 hr
Apr 14, 4:09 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison51 min
Apr 14, 4:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton58 min
Apr 14, 4:25 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake60 min
Apr 14, 4:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANKemper61 min
Apr 14, 4:34 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin61 min
Apr 14, 4:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLeake, Rankin, Scott9 hr
Apr 14, 4:38 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds52 min
Apr 14, 4:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba28 min
Apr 14, 4:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Rankin6 hr
Apr 14, 4:55 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANScott45 min
Apr 14, 4:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale61 min
Apr 14, 5:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANKemper43 min
Apr 14, 5:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSmith59 min
Apr 14, 6:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke, Jasper31 min
Apr 14, 6:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper53 min
Apr 14, 10:22 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Apr 14, 10:22 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala3 days
Apr 14, 12:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena3 hr
Apr 14, 12:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANWashington83 min
Apr 14, 12:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena, Sharkey29 min
Apr 14, 1:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena, Sharkey30 min
Apr 14, 1:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo58 min
Apr 14, 2:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo47 min
Apr 14, 2:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Warren6 hr
Apr 14, 2:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWarren33 min
Apr 14, 3:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey30 min
Apr 14, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Warren59 min
Apr 14, 3:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena3 hr
Apr 14, 3:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANYazoo3 hr
Apr 14, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo29 min
Apr 14, 4:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin, Warren3 hr
Apr 14, 4:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo21 min
Apr 14, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Warren, Yazoo61 min
Apr 14, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Warren42 min
Apr 14, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison53 min
Apr 14, 4:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Holmes, Leflore, Montgomery3 hr
Apr 14, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin58 min
Apr 14, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo53 min
Apr 14, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison51 min
Apr 14, 5:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANScott53 min
Apr 14, 6:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake, Neshoba32 min
Apr 14, 6:28 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANIssaquena6 hr
Apr 14, 6:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper, Newton45 min
Apr 14, 6:40 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANYazoo6 hr
Apr 14, 6:59 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin, Simpson, Warren8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.