Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 262

May 31, 201342 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 31, 2013, 3:27 PM CDT for 42 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2013, 3:27 PM CDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2013, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 42 counties

Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
70%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
90%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

69 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKay46 min
May 31, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer, Kingfisher44 min
May 31, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarfield, Kingfisher47 min
May 31, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage45 min
May 31, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan46 min
May 31, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Kingfisher50 min
May 31, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKay, Noble46 min
May 31, 5:29 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage46 min
May 31, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage29 min
May 31, 5:36 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCanadian39 min
May 31, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Stephens63 min
May 31, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage33 min
May 31, 5:43 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage32 min
May 31, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarfield, Kingfisher, Logan, Noble, Payne58 min
May 31, 6:08 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCanadian, Grady52 min
May 31, 6:10 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage, Washington50 min
May 31, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage31 min
May 31, 6:19 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNLogan, Noble, Payne26 min
May 31, 6:28 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyOUNCanadian, Oklahoma32 min
May 31, 6:33 PM CDTTornado WarningTSANowata, Washington42 min
May 31, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Grady, Stephens53 min
May 31, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLogan, Noble, Payne48 min
May 31, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage48 min
May 31, 6:57 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Oklahoma48 min
May 31, 6:58 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Oklahoma32 min
May 31, 7:07 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Nowata38 min
May 31, 7:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCanadian, Oklahoma4 hr
May 31, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKay29 min
May 31, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage42 min
May 31, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Grady, McClain37 min
May 31, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage33 min
May 31, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee46 min
May 31, 7:32 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma28 min
May 31, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa40 min
May 31, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, Oklahoma51 min
May 31, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Grady35 min
May 31, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee35 min
May 31, 7:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACraig, Creek, Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers and 1 more12 hr
May 31, 7:48 PM CDTTornado WarningTSANowata, Osage, Rogers, Washington27 min
May 31, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, McClain28 min
May 31, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie50 min
May 31, 8:12 PM CDTTornado WarningTSANowata, Rogers, Washington33 min
May 31, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie60 min
May 31, 8:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma and 1 more4 hr
May 31, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata61 min
May 31, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee54 min
May 31, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole46 min
May 31, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Garvin, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma and 1 more78 min
May 31, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata42 min
May 31, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington67 min
May 31, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Garvin, Hughes, Lincoln, McClain, Oklahoma and 3 more50 min
May 31, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee48 min
May 31, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma56 min
May 31, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers47 min
May 31, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes, Pontotoc, Seminole42 min
May 31, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee40 min
May 31, 10:51 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Delaware24 min
May 31, 11:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCanadian, Oklahoma4 hr
May 31, 11:03 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes27 min
May 31, 11:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg41 min
May 31, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie and 1 more50 min
May 31, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes32 min
May 31, 11:24 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAHaskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg51 min
May 31, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg49 min
May 31, 11:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee67 min
May 31, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole49 min
May 31, 11:56 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg, Sequoyah49 min
May 31, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes48 min
May 31, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2013-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2013-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 585 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-161 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
585 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
551 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.3
Supercell composite
12.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

555 
WWUS20 KWNS 312028
SEL2  
SPC WW 312028
OKZ000-010500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 330 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
  NUMEROUS VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT
    GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES EAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 260...WW 261...

DISCUSSION...AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER WEST-CENTRAL OK...AND ALONG A WEAK
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHEAST OK.  DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT
THROUGH THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 8:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Sequoyah66 min
May 30, 8:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah7 hr
May 30, 9:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Johnston, McIntosh and 6 more57 min
May 30, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, LeFlore, Sequoyah2 hr
May 31, 1:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLeFlore93 min
May 31, 1:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Delaware, Nowata, Ottawa116 min
May 31, 2:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 29 more95 min
May 31, 4:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche and 29 more92 min
May 31, 6:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCanadian, Cleveland, Kingfisher, Logan, Noble, Oklahoma and 3 more27 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.