Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Springfield, MO

680 
WGUS73 KSGF 240044
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
744 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

MOC067-091-153-240400-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130724T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DOUGLAS MO-HOWELL MO-OZARK MO-
744 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN DOUGLAS...HOWELL AND NORTHEASTERN OZARK COUNTIES...

AT 733 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN IN 
THE WARNED AREA.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 142 AT THE SPRING RIVER WEST OF LANTON...
HIGHWAY 142 AT THE BENNETTS RIVER WEST OF MOODY...
ROUTE K...3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF POTTERSVILLE...
HIGHWAY 142 AT MYATT CREEK 4 MILES EAST OF LANTON...
ROUTE Y...4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNTAIN VIEW.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3663 9208 3664 9224 3706 9223 3705 9166
      3679 9166 3679 9168 3650 9167 3650 9204

$$

GRIFFIN

377 
WGUS73 KSGF 240154
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
854 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

MOC067-091-153-240204-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130724T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DOUGLAS MO-HOWELL MO-OZARK MO-
854 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EASTERN DOUGLAS...
HOWELL AND NORTHEASTERN OZARK COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED...ENDING THE FLOOD 
THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR 
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3663 9208 3664 9224 3706 9223 3705 9166
      3679 9166 3679 9168 3650 9167 3650 9204

$$

RUNNELS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
337 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

THE AIRMASS HAD BECOME VERY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE OZARKS AND OSAGE
PLAINS WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 3000-4000 J/KG. A DIFFUSE FRONT
AUGMENTED BY A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL
KANSAS INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTED A
MINOR SHORTWAVE TRACKING OUT OF SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA.

EXPECT CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO INITIALLY DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI WHERE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS
MAXIMIZED.

THETA-E DIFFERENTIALS OF 30-35 KELVIN SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN ADDITION STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DECENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 20-30 KTS
WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE RISK OF LARGE HAIL.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED UPSTREAM ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN
RESPONSE TO A PASSING SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO OUR NORTH. THIS
CONVECTION IF IT INDEED DOES DEVELOP WILL SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS EVENING. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS ON HOW THIS ADDITIONAL CONVECTION WILL EVOLVE THIS EVENING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEVADA TO SALEM THROUGH 10 PM.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

EXPECT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ALONG THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT WILL BE SUPPORTED
BY A MODEST LOW LEVEL JET THAT WILL IMPINGE THE EXISTING BOUNDARY.

THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI BUT THE RISK OF CONVECTION WILL END
FROM THE NORTH AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO AREA. AN
OVERALL COOLER DAY IS ALSO IN STORE.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST FROM LATE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND AS AN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS POSITIONED OUT WEST AND AN
UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN
CONSIDERABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.

THE CHANCE OF CONVECTION WILL RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE RIDES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION AND
INTERACTS WITH THE FRONT STALLED JUST TO OUR SOUTH.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ASSERT ITSELF ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND RESULTING IN DRY BUT CONTINUED COOL TEMPERATURES.

THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL NEXT WEEK BRINGING A RENEWED CHANCE
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
AROUND ANY CONVECTION. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AROUND ALL TERMINALS IN THE AREA. HAVE
CB AND VCTS MENTIONED THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH TEMPO GROUPS AND
PROB30 COVERING THE BEST TIMING FOR CONVECTION LATER THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA BY 09Z OVERNIGHT. VIS AND CEILINGS WILL DROP TO AT LEAST MVFR
UNDER CONVECTION AND SHOWERS. WINDS WILL BE STARTING OFF WESTERLY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND SHIFT
NORTHEASTERLY OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE...FOSTER
SHORT TERM...FOSTER
LONG TERM...FOSTER
AVIATION...GRIFFIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
346 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-242100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
346 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
  ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS INCLUDING SOUTH CENTRAL
  MISSOURI THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
  DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS INTO
  SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

  STRONG INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG TO
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE MOST INTENSE
  STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  PING PONG BALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

  HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES IN
  MANY AREAS THIS AFTERNOON PRIOR TO THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING OVER PARTS OF THE AREA
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY REDEVELOP
  ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI DURING THE AFTERNOON.

  ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE THURSDAY
  NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AND AGAIN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT
  WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
343 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

MOZ069-081-232115-
CAMDEN MO-LACLEDE MO-
343 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL LACLEDE AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 340 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DECATURVILLE...OR 5 MILES SOUTH OF
CAMDENTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3791 9241 3782 9241 3771 9263 3796 9285
      3803 9266
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 306DEG 13KT 3793 9270

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
351 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             MOODY                   36.53N 91.99W
07/23/2013  M0.88 INCH       HOWELL             MO   PUBLIC

&&

MTERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
358 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             3 SE CAMDENTON          37.98N 92.71W
07/23/2013  E0.88 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   PUBLIC

&&

MTERRY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
358 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

MOZ097-232145-
HOWELL MO-
358 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HOWELL COUNTY UNTIL 445
PM CDT...

AT 354 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF CAULFIELD...OR 22 MILES WEST
OF WEST PLAINS. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. PENNY SIZE HAIL...
AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BRANDSVILLE...CAULFIELD...LANTON...
MOODY...POTTERSVILLE AND SOUTH FORK.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN HOWELL COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3650 9212 3672 9211 3668 9168 3650 9167
      3649 9168 3649 9211
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 180DEG 0KT 3667 9224

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
405 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

MOZ091-092-232130-
WEBSTER MO-WRIGHT MO-
405 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEBSTER AND WESTERN WRIGHT
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 404 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MARSHFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE DIGGINS...DUNCAN...GROVESPRING...
MARSHFIELD...NIANGUA...NORTHVIEW...ODIN AND SEYMOUR.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 91 AND 108 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN WEBSTER AND WESTERN WRIGHT COUNTIES...INCLUDING MARSHFIELD
AND NIANGUA...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3725 9307 3727 9307 3743 9305 3749 9292
      3749 9286 3740 9246 3707 9276
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 298DEG 13KT 3734 9289

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
448 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

MOZ082-232230-
TEXAS MO-
448 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN TEXAS COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SIMMONS...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOUSTON...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ARROLL...CABOOL...CLEAR SPRINGS...ELK
CREEK...EUNICE...HARTSHORN...PINE CREST...SIMMONS...SOLO...
SUMMERSVILLE AND YUKON.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN TEXAS COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3725 9165 3705 9166 3704 9167 3706 9191
      3706 9211 3719 9220 3734 9208 3728 9164
      3725 9164
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 307DEG 16KT 3723 9202

GRIFFIN