Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 699

December 26, 201229 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 26, 2012, 10:08 AM EST for 29 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2012, 10:08 AM EST (15:08 UTC)
Expired
Dec 26, 2012, 4:11 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 37 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 11:11 AM ESTTornado WarningMHXJones, Onslow49 min
Dec 26, 11:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMPender24 min
Dec 26, 12:20 PM ESTTornado WarningMHXCarteret, Jones, Onslow40 min
Dec 26, 12:25 PM ESTTornado WarningILMBladen, Robeson35 min
Dec 26, 12:31 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson20 min
Dec 26, 1:31 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Wayne26 min
Dec 26, 1:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCarteret31 min
Dec 26, 1:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson24 min
Dec 26, 2:52 PM ESTTornado WarningMHXCarteret, Craven23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-12-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-12-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 540 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
438 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
540 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
770 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

331 
WWUS20 KWNS 261514
SEL9
SPC WW 261514
NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-262200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 699
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1010 AM UNTIL
500 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF FLORENCE SOUTH
CAROLINA TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN NC AND EASTERN SC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AS A WARM
FRONT MOVES INLAND RESULTING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SURFACE
BASED ACTIVITY.  DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...STRONG FORCING FOR
ASCENT WILL SPREAD ACROSS THIS REGION AS A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED...MOVING TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST.
STRONG VERTICALLY VEERING WINDS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH A FEW
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...PETERS/EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 6:20 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrunswick, Columbus, New Hanover85 min
Dec 26, 8:07 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus and 24 more83 min
Dec 26, 2:20 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 19 more85 min
Dec 26, 6:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 12 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.