Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 609
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 2, 2012, 3:42 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 2, 2012, 3:42 PM CDT (20:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 2, 2012, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Fayette County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Marion County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Tishomingo | 19 min |
| Sep 2, 5:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Union | 39 min |
| Sep 2, 6:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 27 min |
| Sep 2, 6:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 18 min |
| Sep 2, 7:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 44 min |
| Sep 2, 7:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee | 3 hr |
| Sep 2, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall | 42 min |
| Sep 2, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall | 53 min |
| Sep 2, 7:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall, Tate | 24 min |
| Sep 2, 7:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Monroe | 51 min |
| Sep 2, 7:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 3 hr |
| Sep 2, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lee, Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 37 min |
| Sep 2, 8:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 26 min |
| Sep 2, 8:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Marshall | 39 min |
| Sep 2, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 1 more | 49 min |
| Sep 2, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Pontotoc, Union | 39 min |
| Sep 2, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Lamar, Marion | 48 min |
| Sep 2, 9:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Pontotoc, Tippah and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Sep 2, 9:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 2 hr |
| Sep 2, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Union | 47 min |
| Sep 2, 10:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Lee, Panola, Pontotoc and 1 more | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1723 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -92 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1118 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
039
WWUS20 KWNS 022047
SEL9
SPC WW 022047
ALZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-030400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 609
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ALABAMA
FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MEMPHIS TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBUS
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 608...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH OVER
SRN W TN AND ERN AR/NRN MS OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS...ALONG AND AHEAD
OF SE-MOVING W-E CONFLUENCE BAND ASSOCIATED WITH FORMER HRCN ISSAC.
LOW-MID LVL SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND WARM/MOIST LOW-LVL
ENVIRONMENT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS/SUPERCELLS WITH
A RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH EWD
EXTENT IN WW. WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD MERGE INTO A BKN W-E OR
WSW-ENE SQLN...WITH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS POSING A RISK FOR SVR
WIND AND ISOLD TORNADOES ESE TOWARD E CNTRL MS/CNTRL AL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lauderdale, Limestone | 115 min |
| Sep 2, 2:49 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Colbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 5 more | 7 hr |
| Sep 2, 5:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bibb, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah and 5 more | 62 min |
| Sep 2, 5:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne, Etowah, Jefferson and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 1 more | 85 min |
| Sep 1, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Phillips | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 9:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Drew and 4 more | 91 min |
| Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Henry, Weakley | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.