Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 609

September 2, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 2, 2012, 3:42 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2012, 3:42 PM CDT (20:42 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2012, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Fayette County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Marion County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Tishomingo19 min
Sep 2, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Union39 min
Sep 2, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba27 min
Sep 2, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGItawamba18 min
Sep 2, 7:01 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe44 min
Sep 2, 7:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGItawamba, Lee3 hr
Sep 2, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall42 min
Sep 2, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall53 min
Sep 2, 7:51 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall, Tate24 min
Sep 2, 7:54 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe51 min
Sep 2, 7:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden3 hr
Sep 2, 8:08 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLee, Prentiss, Tippah, Union37 min
Sep 2, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah, Union26 min
Sep 2, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMarshall39 min
Sep 2, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss and 1 more49 min
Sep 2, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Pontotoc, Union39 min
Sep 2, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXLamar, Marion48 min
Sep 2, 9:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall, Pontotoc, Tippah and 1 more3 hr
Sep 2, 9:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo2 hr
Sep 2, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Union47 min
Sep 2, 10:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Lee, Panola, Pontotoc and 1 more4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1723 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1723 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-92 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1118 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

039 
WWUS20 KWNS 022047
SEL9
SPC WW 022047
ALZ000-ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-030400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 609
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWEST ALABAMA
       FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MEMPHIS TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBUS
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 608...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH OVER
SRN W TN AND ERN AR/NRN MS OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS...ALONG AND AHEAD
OF SE-MOVING W-E CONFLUENCE BAND ASSOCIATED WITH FORMER HRCN ISSAC.
LOW-MID LVL SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND WARM/MOIST LOW-LVL
ENVIRONMENT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS/SUPERCELLS WITH
A RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH EWD
EXTENT IN WW. WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD MERGE INTO A BKN W-E OR
WSW-ENE SQLN...WITH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS POSING A RISK FOR SVR
WIND AND ISOLD TORNADOES ESE TOWARD E CNTRL MS/CNTRL AL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLauderdale, Limestone115 min
Sep 2, 2:49 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 5 more7 hr
Sep 2, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah and 5 more62 min
Sep 2, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne, Etowah, Jefferson and 1 more5 hr
Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 1 more85 min
Sep 1, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPhillips6 hr
Sep 1, 9:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Drew and 4 more91 min
Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henry, Weakley94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.