Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 1, 2012, 7:08 PM CDT for Phillips County, Arkansas; 15 counties in Mississippi; 10 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 1, 2012, 7:08 PM CDT (00:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 2, 2012, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 26 counties
Phillips County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Haywood, Shelby, Tipton | 31 min |
| Sep 1, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Tipton | 23 min |
| Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Madison | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall, Tunica | 38 min |
| Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Crockett, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison | 23 min |
| Sep 1, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 54 min |
| Sep 1, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley | 53 min |
| Sep 1, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Gibson, Hardeman, Haywood and 2 more | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, DeSoto, Marshall | 38 min |
| Sep 1, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Henderson, Henry, Madison and 1 more | 41 min |
| Sep 1, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Fayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Madison | 52 min |
| Sep 1, 10:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall | 22 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 17 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2103 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -34 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1167 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 121 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 7.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
639
WWUS20 KWNS 020001
SEL7
SPC WW 020001
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-020600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 602...WW 603...WW
604...WW 605...WW 606...
DISCUSSION...A LINEAR BAND OF TSTMS HAS EVOLVED THIS EVENING W OF
MEMPHIS IN ADVANCE OF A VORTICITY MAXIMUM MOVING THROUGH THE OZARK
PLATEAU AND WITHIN A WARM AND MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG. GIVEN THE MODERATELY STRONG WIND FIELD IN
PLACE...SETUP WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF THE EWD/SEWD CONTINUATION OF
STORMS WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 27035.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 9:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Drew and 4 more | 91 min |
| Sep 2, 3:42 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 7 hr |
| Sep 2, 2:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Marshall, Tippah, Tishomingo | 115 min |
| Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Henry, Weakley | 94 min |
| Sep 2, 2:49 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 36 more | 7 hr |
| Sep 2, 5:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Hamilton, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe and 2 more | 62 min |
| Sep 2, 5:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe, Polk and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Davidson, DeKalb and 23 more | 85 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.