Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 607

September 1, 2012Phillips County, Arkansas; 15 counties in Mississippi; 10 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 1, 2012, 7:08 PM CDT for Phillips County, Arkansas; 15 counties in Mississippi; 10 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2012, 7:08 PM CDT (00:08 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2012, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 26 counties

Phillips County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Haywood, Shelby, Tipton31 min
Sep 1, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Tipton23 min
Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Madison34 min
Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall, Tunica38 min
Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Crockett, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison23 min
Sep 1, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips54 min
Sep 1, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley53 min
Sep 1, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Gibson, Hardeman, Haywood and 2 more44 min
Sep 1, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, DeSoto, Marshall38 min
Sep 1, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Decatur, Henderson, Henry, Madison and 1 more41 min
Sep 1, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Fayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Madison52 min
Sep 1, 10:01 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Marshall22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 17 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2103 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 121 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2103 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
7.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

639 
WWUS20 KWNS 020001
SEL7
SPC WW 020001
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-020600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR EASTERN ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 602...WW 603...WW
604...WW 605...WW 606...

DISCUSSION...A LINEAR BAND OF TSTMS HAS EVOLVED THIS EVENING W OF
MEMPHIS IN ADVANCE OF A VORTICITY MAXIMUM MOVING THROUGH THE OZARK
PLATEAU AND WITHIN A WARM AND MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG.  GIVEN THE MODERATELY STRONG WIND FIELD IN
PLACE...SETUP WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF THE EWD/SEWD CONTINUATION OF
STORMS WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 27035.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 9:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Drew and 4 more91 min
Sep 2, 3:42 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis7 hr
Sep 2, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Marshall, Tippah, Tishomingo115 min
Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henry, Weakley94 min
Sep 2, 2:49 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 36 more7 hr
Sep 2, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Hamilton, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe and 2 more62 min
Sep 2, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe, Polk and 1 more5 hr
Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Davidson, DeKalb and 23 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.