Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 608

September 2, 201211 counties in Alabama; 43 counties in Kentucky; 42 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 2, 2012, 2:49 PM CDT for 11 counties in Alabama; 43 counties in Kentucky; 42 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2012, 2:49 PM CDT (19:49 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2012, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 96 counties

Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marion County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Moore County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Perry County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNColbert, Lawrence25 min
Sep 2, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLimestone, Madison36 min
Sep 2, 4:14 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNLimestone, Madison31 min
Sep 2, 4:27 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNLawrence, Limestone, Morgan33 min
Sep 2, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNJackson, Madison35 min
Sep 2, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin30 min
Sep 2, 5:04 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNJackson26 min
Sep 2, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLimestone, Madison25 min
Sep 2, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLawrence, Morgan31 min
Sep 2, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningMRXMarion45 min
Sep 2, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin, Lawrence27 min
Sep 2, 5:24 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNLimestone, Madison36 min
Sep 2, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin28 min
Sep 2, 5:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHUNMadison3 hr
Sep 2, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNJackson, Madison35 min
Sep 2, 5:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHUNMadison3 hr
Sep 2, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin, Lawrence30 min
Sep 2, 5:50 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNFranklin, Lawrence25 min
Sep 2, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin20 min
Sep 2, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningHUNJackson28 min
Sep 2, 6:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHUNFranklin, Lawrence3 hr
Sep 2, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin36 min
Sep 2, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin15 min
Sep 2, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNCullman, Marshall, Morgan34 min
Sep 2, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNCullman, Morgan24 min
Sep 2, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNMarshall35 min
Sep 2, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNCullman48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
627 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

704 
WWUS20 KWNS 021958
SEL8
SPC WW 021958
ALZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-030300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 608
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT SUN SEP 2 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN ALABAMA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
       MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LEXINGTON KENTUCKY TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MUSCLE SHOALS
ALABAMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH
THROUGH EARLY EVE ALONG NNE-SSW LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE ZONE ADVANCING
GENERALLY E ACROSS CNTRL KY AND FAR NRN MIDDLE TN...WHERE SIZABLE
BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER HAVE ALLOWED FOR MODERATE LOW-LVL
DESTABILIZATION OF VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. SUFFICIENT LOW-LVL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR /ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TC
ISAAC/ APPEARS PRESENT TO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR INTERMITTENT LOW-LVL
MESOSCYCLONES/POSSIBLE TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY DMGG WIND
FROM SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS.

MORE SUBSTANTIAL DEEP SHEAR AND LOW LVL INSTABILITY WILL EXIST
FARTHER S THROUGH MIDDLE TN INTO NRN AL/NRN MS. LOW-LVL DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR AND CONVERGENCE IN THIS AREA WILL...HOWEVER...BE SOMEWHAT MORE
LIMITED RELATIVE TO POINTS NORTH. NEVERTHELESS...WITH
TIME...DEVELOPMENT OF SCTD SUPERCELLS THERE MAY POSE A RISK FOR BOTH
TORNADOES AND DMGG WIND. THIS THREAT MAY PERSIST INTO MID-LATE EVE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLauderdale, Limestone115 min
Sep 2, 3:42 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCFayette, Lamar, Marion, Walker, Winston7 hr
Sep 2, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah and 5 more62 min
Sep 2, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne, Etowah, Jefferson and 1 more5 hr
Sep 2, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 1 more85 min
Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Calloway, Crittenden, Graves, Henderson, Hopkins and 8 more94 min
Sep 1, 9:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Christian, Henderson, Hopkins, McLean, Todd and 2 more23 min
Sep 1, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarroll, Chester, Decatur, Fayette, Hardeman, Hardin and 4 more6 hr
Sep 1, 9:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester, Decatur, Hardeman, Henderson, McNairy91 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.