Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 605

September 1, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2012, 3:49 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2012, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2012, 10:33 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, DeSoto County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, White36 min
Sep 1, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, White30 min
Sep 1, 4:19 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay26 min
Sep 1, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson14 min
Sep 1, 4:41 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene, Randolph34 min
Sep 1, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay28 min
Sep 1, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner24 min
Sep 1, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff38 min
Sep 1, 4:55 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Greene35 min
Sep 1, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson34 min
Sep 1, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Saline39 min
Sep 1, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett54 min
Sep 1, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPulaski, Saline47 min
Sep 1, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene25 min
Sep 1, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKWoodruff39 min
Sep 1, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White52 min
Sep 1, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett50 min
Sep 1, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff45 min
Sep 1, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline41 min
Sep 1, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis40 min
Sep 1, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGGreene48 min
Sep 1, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Pulaski, Saline43 min
Sep 1, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett49 min
Sep 1, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff33 min
Sep 1, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, St. Francis47 min
Sep 1, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski46 min
Sep 1, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Saline44 min
Sep 1, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGSt. Francis25 min
Sep 1, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff39 min
Sep 1, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline34 min
Sep 1, 6:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff3 hr
Sep 1, 6:44 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPemiscot46 min
Sep 1, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi44 min
Sep 1, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln50 min
Sep 1, 6:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Jefferson3 hr
Sep 1, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, St. Francis46 min
Sep 1, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi44 min
Sep 1, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie51 min
Sep 1, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff51 min
Sep 1, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHaywood, Lauderdale, Tipton20 min
Sep 1, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Jefferson47 min
Sep 1, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff24 min
Sep 1, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Haywood, Shelby, Tipton31 min
Sep 1, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Haywood, Lauderdale27 min
Sep 1, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe22 min
Sep 1, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe13 min
Sep 1, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Tipton23 min
Sep 1, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline52 min
Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Madison34 min
Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall, Tunica38 min
Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Crockett, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison23 min
Sep 1, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips54 min
Sep 1, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley53 min
Sep 1, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Gibson, Hardeman, Haywood and 2 more44 min
Sep 1, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson44 min
Sep 1, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, DeSoto, Marshall38 min
Sep 1, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Chester, Decatur, Henderson, Henry, Madison and 1 more41 min
Sep 1, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Fayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Madison52 min
Sep 1, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant46 min
Sep 1, 9:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline3 hr
Sep 1, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDallas, Grant24 min
Sep 1, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson44 min
Sep 1, 10:01 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1827 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -58 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1827 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
551 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

788 
WWUS20 KWNS 012054
SEL5
SPC WW 012054
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-020400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 605
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
       WEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LITTLE ROCK
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 602...WW 603...WW 604...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE
AXIS MARKING SRN FRINGE OF CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH EX-HRCN
ISSAC.  ATTM IT APPEARS THAT THE STORMS ARE BEING SUPPORTED BY
NARROWING CORRIDOR OF DEEPLY-MIXED ENVIRONMENT EXTENDING E FROM OK.
THE STORMS THEREFORE INITIALLY MAY BE SOMEWHAT
OUTFLOW-DOMINANT...WITH DMGG WIND THE MAIN SVR THREAT. WITH
TIME...HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY TAP RICHER...MORE
STRONGLY-SHEARED LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT OVER ERN AR/W TN. THIS MAY
FOSTER AN INCREASING RISK FOR LOW-LVL MESOS/TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO
CONTINUING RISK FOR DMGG WIND WITH SMALL BOWS/LEWPS IN EVENTUAL BKN
SQLN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 31, 9:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more55 min
Sep 1, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Garland, Grant, Greene and 12 more92 min
Sep 1, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas and 19 more6 hr
Sep 1, 1:19 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Iron, Madison and 10 more8 hr
Sep 1, 3:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Madison, Mississippi, New Madrid and 7 more60 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.