Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 605
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2012, 3:49 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 1, 2012, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 1, 2012, 10:33 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, DeSoto County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
63 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, White | 36 min |
| Sep 1, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, White | 30 min |
| Sep 1, 4:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay | 26 min |
| Sep 1, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson | 14 min |
| Sep 1, 4:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene, Randolph | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 4:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay | 28 min |
| Sep 1, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner | 24 min |
| Sep 1, 4:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 38 min |
| Sep 1, 4:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene | 35 min |
| Sep 1, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 5:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring, Saline | 39 min |
| Sep 1, 5:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Poinsett | 54 min |
| Sep 1, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pulaski, Saline | 47 min |
| Sep 1, 5:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 25 min |
| Sep 1, 5:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Woodruff | 39 min |
| Sep 1, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White | 52 min |
| Sep 1, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 50 min |
| Sep 1, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 45 min |
| Sep 1, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 41 min |
| Sep 1, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 40 min |
| Sep 1, 5:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Greene | 48 min |
| Sep 1, 6:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Pulaski, Saline | 43 min |
| Sep 1, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 49 min |
| Sep 1, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 33 min |
| Sep 1, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, St. Francis | 47 min |
| Sep 1, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Saline | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 6:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | St. Francis | 25 min |
| Sep 1, 6:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 39 min |
| Sep 1, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 6:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 6:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Pemiscot | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln | 50 min |
| Sep 1, 6:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, St. Francis | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie | 51 min |
| Sep 1, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 51 min |
| Sep 1, 7:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton | 20 min |
| Sep 1, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson | 47 min |
| Sep 1, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 24 min |
| Sep 1, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Haywood, Shelby, Tipton | 31 min |
| Sep 1, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Haywood, Lauderdale | 27 min |
| Sep 1, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe | 22 min |
| Sep 1, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe | 13 min |
| Sep 1, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Tipton | 23 min |
| Sep 1, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 52 min |
| Sep 1, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Madison | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall, Tunica | 38 min |
| Sep 1, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Crockett, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison | 23 min |
| Sep 1, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 54 min |
| Sep 1, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley | 53 min |
| Sep 1, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Gibson, Hardeman, Haywood and 2 more | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Jefferson | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, DeSoto, Marshall | 38 min |
| Sep 1, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Henderson, Henry, Madison and 1 more | 41 min |
| Sep 1, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Fayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Madison | 52 min |
| Sep 1, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant | 46 min |
| Sep 1, 9:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 3 hr |
| Sep 1, 9:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Dallas, Grant | 24 min |
| Sep 1, 10:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 44 min |
| Sep 1, 10:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman | 22 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1827 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 551 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -58 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
788
WWUS20 KWNS 012054
SEL5
SPC WW 012054
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-020400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 605
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
WEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LITTLE ROCK
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 602...WW 603...WW 604...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE
AXIS MARKING SRN FRINGE OF CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH EX-HRCN
ISSAC. ATTM IT APPEARS THAT THE STORMS ARE BEING SUPPORTED BY
NARROWING CORRIDOR OF DEEPLY-MIXED ENVIRONMENT EXTENDING E FROM OK.
THE STORMS THEREFORE INITIALLY MAY BE SOMEWHAT
OUTFLOW-DOMINANT...WITH DMGG WIND THE MAIN SVR THREAT. WITH
TIME...HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY TAP RICHER...MORE
STRONGLY-SHEARED LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT OVER ERN AR/W TN. THIS MAY
FOSTER AN INCREASING RISK FOR LOW-LVL MESOS/TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO
CONTINUING RISK FOR DMGG WIND WITH SMALL BOWS/LEWPS IN EVENTUAL BKN
SQLN.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 9:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more | 55 min |
| Sep 1, 5:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Garland, Grant, Greene and 12 more | 92 min |
| Sep 1, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas and 19 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 1, 1:19 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Iron, Madison and 10 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 1, 3:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Madison, Mississippi, New Madrid and 7 more | 60 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.