Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 180

April 15, 201221 counties in Illinois; 41 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2012, 4:42 PM CDT for 21 counties in Illinois; 41 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2012, 4:42 PM CDT (21:42 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2012, 10:20 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 5:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Maries, Miller, Phelps, Pulaski6 hr
Apr 15, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery23 min
Apr 15, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike28 min
Apr 15, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJersey, Madison32 min
Apr 15, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair38 min
Apr 15, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJersey, Macoupin, Madison30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 31 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 319 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
31 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
855 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
319 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
381 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

384 
WWUS20 KWNS 152143
SEL0
SPC WW 152143
ILZ000-MOZ000-160500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 180
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
445 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN ILLINOIS
       EASTERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 445 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
WEST PLAINS MISSOURI TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF QUINCY
ILLINOIS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 177...WW 178...WW 179...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS IN PROGRESS OVER CNTRL MO ARE EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES ACROSS THE
REGION THIS EVENING.  WHILE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MARGINAL WITH
MLCAPE OF GENERALLY LESS 500 J/KG...THE PRESENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR AND INCREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT INDICATE A RISK OF EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Mercer, Putnam and 3 more4 hr
Apr 14, 9:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Henry and 12 more96 min
Apr 15, 4:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Clinton and 31 more83 min
Apr 15, 6:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 25 more63 min
Apr 14, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPutnam92 min
Apr 14, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Platte87 min
Apr 15, 1:37 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt and 2 more5 hr
Apr 15, 4:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 6 more88 min
Apr 15, 6:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald and 1 more85 min
Apr 15, 6:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton4 hr
Apr 15, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Howell, Laclede and 7 more95 min
Apr 15, 10:51 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Camden, Christian, Crawford, Dallas, Dent and 19 more7 hr
Apr 15, 1:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChristian, Crawford, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede and 9 more97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.