Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494

July 18, 201215 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Indiana; 9 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2012, 7:43 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Indiana; 9 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2012, 7:43 PM CDT (00:43 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2012, 12:15 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Boone County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN, Dodge County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Kane, McHenry, Ogle, Winnebago63 min
Jul 18, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake, McHenry64 min
Jul 18, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry74 min
Jul 18, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle52 min
Jul 18, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, Kane, Kendall60 min
Jul 18, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Will68 min
Jul 18, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake, Porter60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2012-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1416 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2012-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 105 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1416 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2192 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 2:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdgar, Vermilion93 min
Jul 18, 10:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Cass, Clinton, Elkhart, Fulton, Grant and 20 more60 min
Jul 19, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson and 4 more7 hr
Jul 19, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Carroll and 53 more7 hr
Jul 19, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Martin and 3 more88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.