Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 277

May 14, 20126 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 14, 2012, 2:55 PM CDT for 6 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2012, 2:55 PM CDT (19:55 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2012, 8:02 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brewster County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Terrell County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 201 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster60 min
May 14, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio54 min
May 14, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster60 min
May 14, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Presidio66 min
May 14, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 40 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
40 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-330 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1130 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 9:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCulberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Reeves, Ward61 min
May 13, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Crane, Culberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos and 4 more7 hr
May 13, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Culberson, Ector, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos and 3 more53 min
May 14, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCVal Verde118 min
May 14, 1:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Concho, Crockett, Edwards, Irion, Jeff Davis and 9 more3 hr
May 14, 6:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMaverick63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.