Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 805

May 13, 20125 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 13, 2012, 9:14 PM CDT for 5 counties in Texas. It was in force for 61 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2012, 9:14 PM CDT (02:14 UTC)
Expired
May 13, 2012, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%

Counties Culberson County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2009 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

149 
ACUS11 KWNS 140215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140214
TXZ000-NMZ000-140315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0805
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0914 PM CDT SUN MAY 13 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR WEST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 275...

VALID 140214Z - 140315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED ACROSS
PARTS OF THE MIDLAND CWA OF FAR WEST TX SHORTLY.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE
SSEWD ACROSS EDDY COUNTY NM TOWARD THE TX BORDER.  FAVORABLE ESELY
LOW LEVEL INFLOW WILL LIKELY ENHANCE THE LONGEVITY OF THIS ACTIVITY
AS IT SPREADS ACROSS CULBERSON/REEVES/LOVING COUNTIES DURING THE
NEXT HOUR.  LARGE HAIL/WIND ARE EXPECTED

..DARROW/WEISS.. 05/14/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...EPZ...

LAT...LON   32460347 30900259 30460441 32080494 32460347

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Crane, Culberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos and 4 more7 hr
May 13, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Culberson, Ector, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos and 3 more53 min
May 14, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCVal Verde118 min
May 14, 1:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Concho, Crockett, Edwards, Irion, Jeff Davis and 9 more3 hr
May 14, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Presidio, Reeves, Terrell5 hr
May 14, 6:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMaverick63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.