Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 247

May 5, 20126 counties in Iowa; 8 counties in Minnesota; 24 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 5, 2012, 6:49 AM CDT for 6 counties in Iowa; 8 counties in Minnesota; 24 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2012, 6:49 AM CDT (11:49 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2012, 2:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Cherokee County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Cottonwood County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Rock County, MN, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brule County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Davison County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 6:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule, Charles Mix, Gregory37 min
May 5, 7:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Brule36 min
May 5, 7:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Brule40 min
May 5, 8:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule27 min
May 5, 8:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Davison29 min
May 5, 8:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Brule, Jerauld37 min
May 5, 8:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDavison, Hanson35 min
May 5, 8:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Davison, Sanborn23 min
May 5, 9:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHanson, Lake, McCook, Miner37 min
May 5, 9:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Davison, Hanson34 min
May 5, 9:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLake, McCook, Miner, Minnehaha25 min
May 5, 9:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHanson, McCook, Miner35 min
May 5, 9:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLake, McCook, Minnehaha, Moody37 min
May 5, 10:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDMcCook, Minnehaha34 min
May 5, 10:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDPipestone35 min
May 5, 10:30 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLake, Moody3 hr
May 5, 10:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle24 min
May 5, 10:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDRock48 min
May 5, 11:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDNobles, Rock37 min
May 5, 11:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDJackson, Nobles41 min
May 5, 12:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDCottonwood, Jackson3 hr
May 5, 12:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrookings, Kingsbury27 min
May 5, 12:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLincoln23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2012-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2012-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
957 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

575 
WWUS20 KWNS 051149
SEL7
SPC WW 051149
IAZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-051800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 247
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
650 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWEST IOWA
       SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
       SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 650 AM UNTIL
100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF CHAMBERLAIN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST
OF WORTHINGTON MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 245...WW 246...

DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS...INCLUDING SUSTAINED STORMS AND
POSSIBLY A COUPLE SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP E TO ESE
ACROSS WW AREA THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING AS LOW LVL WAA/MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INCREASE AHEAD OF WEAK DISTURBANCES PRECEDING MAIN WRN
U.S. UPR TROUGH.  MAIN SVR THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL GIVEN SIZABLE
CLOUD LAYER SHEAR AND QUALITY OF ELEVATED MOISTURE INFLOW.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 8:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 10 more60 min
May 4, 9:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Crawford, Harrison, Ida, Monona and 5 more96 min
May 5, 11:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clayton, Emmet, Fayette and 8 more6 hr
May 5, 2:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford and 8 more96 min
May 5, 2:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Dickinson, Emmet, Howard, Kossuth, Mitchell and 3 more62 min
May 5, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford and 8 more83 min
May 5, 4:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBremer, Buchanan, Clayton, Delaware, Dubuque, Fayette and 1 more94 min
May 5, 5:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCPlymouth, Sioux, Woodbury5 hr
May 5, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLyon6 hr
May 5, 9:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Cottonwood, Jackson, Lincoln, Lyon, Martin and 10 more55 min
May 5, 3:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Fall River, Haakon, Hughes, Hyde, Jackson and 9 more84 min
May 5, 3:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Buffalo, Butte, Custer, Dewey, Fall River and 17 more9 hr
May 5, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Bon Homme, Brule, Charles Mix, Davison and 15 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.