Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 5, 2012, 11:38 AM CDT for 14 counties in Iowa; 26 counties in Minnesota; Crawford County, Grant County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 5, 2012, 11:38 AM CDT (16:38 UTC)
- Expired
- May 5, 2012, 5:48 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 42 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Howard County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 1:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet, Sibley | 43 min |
| May 5, 1:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Faribault, Martin | 24 min |
| May 5, 1:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Faribault, Freeborn, Waseca | 40 min |
| May 5, 1:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Kossuth, Winnebago | 33 min |
| May 5, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Winnebago | 32 min |
| May 5, 2:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo, Winnebago, Worth | 66 min |
| May 5, 3:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Floyd, Mitchell | 59 min |
| May 5, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Floyd | 43 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 80 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 480 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 217 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 8:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 10 more | 60 min |
| May 4, 9:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Crawford, Harrison, Ida, Monona and 5 more | 96 min |
| May 5, 6:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Plymouth, Sioux | 7 hr |
| May 5, 2:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford and 8 more | 96 min |
| May 5, 2:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Dickinson, Emmet, Howard, Kossuth, Mitchell and 3 more | 62 min |
| May 5, 3:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford and 8 more | 83 min |
| May 5, 4:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bremer, Buchanan, Clayton, Delaware, Dubuque, Fayette and 1 more | 94 min |
| May 5, 5:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury | 5 hr |
| May 5, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Lyon | 6 hr |
| May 5, 9:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Cottonwood, Jackson, Lincoln, Lyon, Martin and 10 more | 55 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.