Alert archive / Colorado / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 600

April 27, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 27, 2012, 1:24 AM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2012, 1:24 AM MDT (07:24 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2012, 3:30 AM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 30 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Grant County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Morton County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Dallam County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Moore County, TX, Sherman County, TX

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2012-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 95 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2012-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
95 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2538 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

804 
ACUS11 KWNS 270724
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270724 
KSZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-270930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0600
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO/WRN KS/PARTS OF THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 193...

VALID 270724Z - 270930Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 193
CONTINUES.

LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS THE STRONGEST ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS SERN
CO ATTM...WITHIN A NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS INDICATED BY OBJECTIVE
ANALYSES.  WITHIN THIS AXIS...SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO
ADVECT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWWD INTO THE HIGH PLAINS...BENEATH
STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE
EJECTING/NEGATIVELY-TILTED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.

WHILE THE AXIS OF GREATEST INSTABILITY REMAINS MODEST AND
NARROW...CONTINUED MOISTENING DOWN LOW AND COOLING ALOFT COMBINED
WITH IMPRESSIVE FLOW FIELD WITH HEIGHT SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS WILL CONTINUE -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS SERN CO
AND A SMALL PORTION OF ADJACENT SWRN KS.  ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...AN ISOLATED TORNADO ALSO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF SERN CO...GIVEN THE FAVORABLY STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR JUXTAPOSED WITH THE MORE MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS
EXISTING IN THIS PORTION OF THE REGION.  

STORMS REMAIN WELL-CONTAINED WITHIN THE WW GIVEN THE NNEWD CELL
MOTIONS.  THIS COMBINED WITH A MUCH LESS FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NWRN KS SUGGESTS THAT ANY AREAL WATCH
EXTENSION OR NEW WW ISSUANCE APPEARS UNNECESSARY ATTM.

..GOSS.. 04/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON   35650219 36590319 37730346 38680401 40670411 40870329
            40800207 39590136 37630097 36260102 35650219

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 26, 8:41 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Baca, Bent, Broomfield, Cheyenne and 21 more2 hr
Apr 26, 9:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, Kiowa and 11 more7 hr
Apr 27, 3:43 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma32 min
Apr 27, 5:16 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 22 more59 min
Apr 27, 9:15 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Cowley, Dickinson, Ellis and 21 more2 hr
Apr 27, 12:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 34 more91 min
Apr 27, 1:11 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 46 more7 hr
Apr 27, 2:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay and 22 more61 min
Apr 27, 5:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee and 32 more113 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.