Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 128

February 18, 20129 counties in Alabama; 7 counties in Florida; George County, Harrison County, Jackson County, Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 18, 2012, 2:02 PM CST for 9 counties in Alabama; 7 counties in Florida; George County, Harrison County, Jackson County, Mississippi. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2012, 2:02 PM CST (20:02 UTC)
Expired
Feb 18, 2012, 3:00 PM CST
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Baldwin County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Dale County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Houston County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, George County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
449 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

810 
ACUS11 KWNS 182002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182002 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-182100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 29...

VALID 182002Z - 182100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 29 CONTINUES.

SW-NE ORIENTED LINE SEGMENT ACROSS SRN MS HAS RECENTLY ACCELERATED
TO AROUND 50 KT FORWARD MOTION. SHOULD THE LINE MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT
INTENSITY...EXTRAPOLATION WOULD TRACK IT ACROSS SWRN AL AND THE WRN
FL PANHANDLE WITHIN WW 29 THROUGH ABOUT 22-23Z. ANY THREAT FOR
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES SHOULD REMAIN TIED TO
THIS FEATURE. DISCRETE TSTM DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THE LINE APPEARS
UNLIKELY OWING TO ABUNDANT STRATIFORM/CLOUD SHIELD...PROGRESSIVELY
MINIMAL SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AND COMPARATIVELY WEAKER FORCING
FOR ASCENT. HOWEVER...PER COORDINATION WITH WFO TAE...A WW IS BEING
CONSIDERED FOR ISSUANCE E OF WW 29 BY 21Z.

..GRAMS.. 02/18/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON   29988812 30138932 30688892 31178829 31468741 31578579
            31448495 30898496 29918578 30088675 29988812

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 11:21 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile54 min
Feb 18, 11:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Covington, Escambia, Mobile5 hr
Feb 18, 1:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile57 min
Feb 18, 2:58 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston5 hr
Feb 18, 3:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more64 min
Feb 18, 4:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Covington, Escambia, Mobile31 min
Feb 18, 4:48 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Covington, Escambia, Mobile4 hr
Feb 18, 9:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHancock, Harrison, Pearl River59 min
Feb 18, 9:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCHancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River7 hr
Feb 18, 2:21 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Jackson24 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.