Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1179

June 15, 2012Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 23 counties in Kansas; Red Willow County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 15, 2012, 6:00 PM MDT for Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 23 counties in Kansas; Red Willow County, Nebraska. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2012, 6:00 PM MDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2012, 7:30 PM MDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2012-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 951 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2012-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
951 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-174 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1862 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

440 
ACUS11 KWNS 160001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160000
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-160130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1179
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0700 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...NW KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395...

VALID 160000Z - 160130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS ERN CO
AND NW KS THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WW ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED TO THE EAST
OF WW 395.

DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING EAST OF THE
LIMON AREA ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF MODERATE INSTABILITY ANALYZED TO
EXTEND NWD ACROSS FAR ERN CO AND WRN KS. MLCAPE VALUES ACROSS THE
MCD AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE FROM 1000 TO 1500 J/KG. IN
ADDITION...THE WSR-88D VWP AT GOODLAND SHOWS ABOUT 40 KT OF 0-6 KM
SHEAR SUGGESTING THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS THIS
EVENING. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 8.5 C/KM WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS. AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY
ALSO EXIST ESPECIALLY IF THE CELLS CAN CONGEAL INTO A BOWING LINE
SEGMENT LATER THIS EVENING.

..BROYLES/CARBIN.. 06/16/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   40179931 40170144 40020243 39580284 39310293 38670290
            38410223 38330151 38350062 38509897 39189867 39759873
            40179931

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 6:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma5 hr
Jun 15, 9:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma88 min
Jun 16, 5:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca96 min
Jun 15, 10:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 14 more95 min
Jun 16, 3:10 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Comanche, Harper, Kingman, Kiowa, Pratt and 2 more65 min
Jun 16, 10:40 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Doniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth and 3 more95 min
Jun 16, 4:36 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Crawford, Linn84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.