River Flood Warning 17, NWS Medford, OR

839 
WGUS86 KMFR 021213
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
413 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS AFFECTING COOS...CURRY AND JOSEPHINE 
  COUNTIES...

.1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVERNIGHT AND HEAVY RAIN WILL 
CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE TAPERING TO LIGHT SHOWERS FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE DAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE 
COQUILLE AND LOWER ROGUE RIVERS.

ORC011-021813-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-121204T2023Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.121202T1254Z.121203T0700Z.121204T0823Z.NO/
413 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  3:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE 
EARLY THIS MORNING AND RISE TO A PEAK THIS EVENING. BUT THE RIVER IS 
FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...HOMES AND ROADS ARE THREATENED IN LOW-LYING 
  AREAS ALONG AND NEAR THE COQUILLE RIVER. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE COQUILLE RIVER ESTUARY TO MYRTLE
  POINT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.3 FEET
  ON APR 1 2012.

$$

ORC011-015-033-021813-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0018.121202T2000Z-121204T0316Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.121202T2000Z.121203T0600Z.121203T1516Z.NO/
413 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER WILL EXCEED FLOOD STAGE 
AROUND MIDDAY AND CREST NEAR 18.5 FEET SUNDAY EVENING. BUT THE 
RIVER WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO MONDAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RIVER RISES TO THIS STAGE OR ABOVE MAY 
  AFFECT RECREATION INTERESTS ALONG THE ROGUE RIVER AT AND BELOW 
  AGNESS, OREGON.  SUDDEN RIVER RISES OF A FEW FEET MAY ALSO AFFECT 
  HOME AND BUSINESS OWNERS WITH BOAT DOCKS ON THE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.1 FEET
  ON JAN 14 2000.

$$

ORC011-021813-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0017.121202T1552Z-121203T1248Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.121202T1552Z.121202T1800Z.121203T0048Z.NO/
413 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  3:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO EXCEED FLOOD 
STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN CREST AT 35.1 FEET LATE THIS 
MORNING. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SUNDAY 
NIGHT.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...EXPECT FLOODING ALONG SOME SECTIONS OF 
  HIGHWAY 42 DOWNSTREAM FROM MYRTLE POINT AND ALONG THE HIGHWAY TO 
  POWERS. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND CAN BE EXPECTED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 35.8 FEET
  ON MAR 31 2012.

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&
DW

675 
WGUS86 KMFR 021828
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
1028 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OREGON...

  DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG AFFECTING DOUGLAS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS AFFECTING COOS...CURRY AND JOSEPHINE 
  COUNTIES...
  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

.SOME SMALLER CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN OREGON HAVE CRESTED 
WHILE OTHERS ARE CRESTING LATE THIS MORNING. MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL CONTINUE 
TO RISE THIS MORNING WITH PEAKS EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON TODAY AND MONDAY 

ORC011-030028-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-121207T0201Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.121202T1256Z.121203T1000Z.121206T1401Z.NO/
1028 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT COQUILLE AT 23 FEET THIS EVENING
  THROUGH MONDAY.
* HIGHWAY 42 SOUTH BETWEEN COQUILLE AND BANDON MAY FLOOD IN SOME AREAS.
  THE COUNTY PARK ALONG THE RIVER IN THE TOWN OF COQUILLE IS EXPECTED
  TO BE COMPLETELY FLOODED.  
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...SOME FARM BUILDINGS MAY BE THREATENED AND 
  ROADS COVERED IN LOW AREAS BY RISING WATER. EXPECT WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE COQUILLE RIVER FLOODPLAIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23 FEET
  ON DECEMBER 30...2008.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441

$$

ORC011-015-033-030028-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0018.121203T0313Z-121204T0033Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.121203T0313Z.121203T0600Z.121203T1233Z.NO/
1028 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST AS THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH
  JUST OVER 17 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RIVER RISES TO THIS STAGE OR ABOVE MAY 
  AFFECT RECREATION INTERESTS ALONG THE ROGUE RIVER AT AND BELOW 
  AGNESS, OREGON.  SUDDEN RIVER RISES OF A FEW FEET MAY ALSO AFFECT 
  HOME AND BUSINESS OWNERS WITH BOAT DOCKS ON THE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.9 FEET
  ON JAN 19 2012.
* FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AT THIS POINT ON THE ROGUE RIVER EARLY THIS 
  EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375

$$

ORC011-030028-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-121203T0800Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.121202T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  9:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE SOUTH FORK OF THE COQUILLE AT COQUILLE IS FORECAST TO
  CREST AT ITS 33 FOOT FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER IS AT FLOOD 
  STAGE. EXPECT FLOODING OF ROADS WEST OF THE SPRUCE STREET BRIDGE 
  AND SIGNIFICANT PASTURE AND AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON MAR 17 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417

$$

ORC019-021858-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-121203T0822Z/
/DEEO3.1.ER.121202T1128Z.121202T1430Z.121202T1601Z.NO/
1028 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DEER CREEK AT ROSEBURG.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* DEER CREEK CRESTED AT 10.4 FEET AROUND 615 AM LOCAL TIME THIS MORNING. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8:01 AM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.6 FEET BY EARLY 
  TOMORROW.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.0 FEET 
  ON JAN 19 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4320 12324 4321 12317 4322 12325 4322 12334 4321 12334


$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

069 
WGUS46 KMFR 030047
FLWMFR
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
447 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM NONFLOOD TO MINOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
   FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-030647-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-121203T1825Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.121202T2041Z.121203T0000Z.121203T0625Z.NO/
447 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM NONFLOOD TO MINOR SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  4:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER IS AT FLOOD 
  STAGE. EXPECT FLOODING OF ROADS WEST OF THE SPRUCE STREET BRIDGE 
  AND SIGNIFICANT PASTURE AND AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON MAR 17 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

045 
WGUS86 KMFR 030612
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
1012 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS AFFECTING COOS...CURRY AND JOSEPHINE 
  COUNTIES...
  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...
  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-031212-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-121207T0631Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.121202T1256Z.121203T1500Z.121206T1831Z.NO/
1012 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  9:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 
  23.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING THEN FALL SLIGHTLY MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...
  ADDITIONAL RAIN TUESDAY WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE RIVER TO REMAIN NEAR 
  OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...HOMES AND ROADS ARE THREATENED IN LOW-LYING 
  AREAS ALONG AND NEAR THE COQUILLE RIVER. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE COQUILLE RIVER ESTUARY TO MYRTLE
  POINT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.3 FEET
  ON APR 1 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441

$$

ORC011-015-033-031212-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-121204T0651Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.121202T2338Z.121203T0530Z.121203T1851Z.NO/
1012 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS.
* AT  9:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER WILL CREST SUNDAY NIGHT AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RIVER RISES TO THIS STAGE OR ABOVE MAY 
  AFFECT RECREATION INTERESTS ALONG THE ROGUE RIVER AT AND BELOW 
  AGNESS, OREGON.  THESE RISES MAY ALSO AFFECT HOME AND BUSINESS OWNERS 
  WITH BOAT DOCKS ON THE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.8 FEET
  ON DEC 26 2006.

&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375

$$

ORC011-031212-
/O.CON.KMFR.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-121203T1825Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.121202T2041Z.121203T0200Z.121203T0625Z.NO/
1012 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  9:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER CRESTED AT 33.8 FEET SUNDAY 
  EVENING AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER IS AT FLOOD 
  STAGE. EXPECT FLOODING OF ROADS WEST OF THE SPRUCE STREET BRIDGE 
  AND SIGNIFICANT PASTURE AND AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 33.1 FEET
  ON MAR 17 2012.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

SPILDE

120 
WGUS86 KMFR 031150
FLSMFR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD, OR
350 AM PST MON DEC 3 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OREGON...

  SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OREGON...

  ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS AFFECTING COOS...CURRY AND JOSEPHINE 
  COUNTIES...
  COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE AFFECTING COOS COUNTY...

ORC011-031750-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-121207T0643Z/
/COQO3.2.ER.121202T1256Z.121203T1400Z.121206T1843Z.NO/
350 AM PST MON DEC 3 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COQUILLE RIVER AT COQUILLE.
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...HOMES AND ROADS ARE THREATENED IN LOW-LYING 
  AREAS ALONG AND NEAR THE COQUILLE RIVER. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT 
  WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE COQUILLE RIVER ESTUARY TO MYRTLE
  POINT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.3 FEET
  ON APR 1 2012.
&&

LAT...LON 4312 12442 4307 12416 4310 12412 4323 12422 4316 12441


$$

ORC011-015-033-031750-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-121204T0629Z/
/AGNO3.1.ER.121202T2338Z.121203T0800Z.121203T1829Z.NO/
350 AM PST MON DEC 3 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROGUE RIVER NEAR AGNESS.
* AT  2:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RIVER RISES TO THIS STAGE OR ABOVE MAY 
  AFFECT RECREATION INTERESTS ALONG THE ROGUE RIVER AT AND BELOW 
  AGNESS, OREGON.  SUDDEN RIVER RISES OF A FEW FEET MAY ALSO AFFECT 
  HOME AND BUSINESS OWNERS WITH BOAT DOCKS ON THE RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.8 FEET
  ON DEC 26 2006.
&&

LAT...LON 4274 12390 4246 12442 4237 12442 4261 12385 4274 12375


$$

ORC011-031220-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-121203T1825Z/
/MYPO3.1.ER.121202T2041Z.121203T0200Z.121203T0731Z.NO/
350 AM PST MON DEC 3 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK COQUILLE RIVER AT MYRTLE POINT.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:31 PM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 22.6 FEET BY EARLY 
  TUESDAY.
&&

LAT...LON 4293 12417 4287 12406 4302 12408 4308 12414 4307 12417


$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW
FOR SAFE PASSAGE OR THERE MAY BE UNSEEN DAMAGE TO THE ROADWAY.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.


&&

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
347 PM PST SAT DEC 1 2012

.SHORT TERM...
THE MOST INTENSE WEATHER SYSTEM OF THE MOST RECENT STORM SERIES...FROM
A POTENTIAL CUMULATIVE IMPACT PERSPECTIVE...IS MOVING INTO THE
FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. RAINFALL RATES WILL INCREASE
OVERNIGHT...PEAKING IN THE 10PM TO 6AM PST TIME FRAME. SNOW LEVELS
CURRENTLY NEAR 6500 FEET WILL CLIMB TO 7000 TO 8000 FEET AT MOST
LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT ONLY TO COME CRASHING DOWN TO NEAR 4500 FEET
BETWEEN 6AM AND 10AM PST SUNDAY MORNING. A NUMBER OF AREAL FLOOD
WATCHES...FLOOD WATCHES FOR THE COQUILLE RIVER...AND WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. ADDITIONALLY...THE COQUILLE
AT COQUILLE IS UNDER A FLOOD WARNING.

THE BOTTOM LINE WITH THIS NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS THAT IT IS A QUICK
HITTER...CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN ABOUT A 12 HOURS
TIME PERIOD. HAVE BEEN CONSULTING WITH THE PORTLAND RIVER FORECAST
CENTER MUCH OF THE DAY RELATED TO THIS. CONCERNS ARE THAT ALREADY
SATURATED GROUND MEANS RUNOFF WILL OCCUR IMMEDIATELY AT MOST WEST
SIDE LOCATIONS AS PRECIPITATION RATES SKY ROCKET OVERNIGHT. MODELS
INDICATE THAT THERE IS A GOOD POTENTIAL OF SOME DAILY RAINFALL
RECORDS BEING APPROACHED FOR SUNDAY...BUT WE ARE LIKELY TO FALL
SHORT ONLY BECAUSE OF PRECIPITATION DURATION BEING ONLY ABOUT 12
HOURS. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY...AND CREEK AND
RIVER FLOODING IN POSSIBLE FROM ABOUT THE CASCADES WESTWARD.
PLEASE SEE THE AREAL FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE SPECIFICS.

SUNDAY MORNING THE FRONT WILL RAPIDLY SWING THROUGH WITH SHOWERS
AND LOWER SNOW LEVELS. BTL

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
WE'LL CATCH A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE WEATHER SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION DURING THIS TIME WILL BE WEST OF THE CASCADES WITH
MOST OF IT FOCUSED ALONG THE COAST...BUT WERE NOT EXPECTING ANY
EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS. THE NEXT FOCUS OF CONCERN IS MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE EC AND GFS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
SHOWING ANOTHER STRONG STORM REACHING THE OREGON COAST. THE EC
SHOWS A DEEPER LOW DEVELOPING JUST OUTSIDE OF 130 W AND 40 N AND
TRACKING NORTHEAST TOWARDS VANCOUVER ISLAND. THE GFS IS NOT AS
STRONG WITH THE SURFACE LOW BUT THE TRACK IS SIMILAR. THE CONCERN
WITH THIS STORM IS THAT IT WILL HAVE A TROPICAL CONNECTION AND
THIS IS BEING SUPPORTED BY THE FORECAST WATER VAPOR TRANSPORT.
THIS MEANS WE COULD GET ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN
COOS...CURRY...JOSEPHINE AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTIES WHICH MAY
RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS AND POSSIBLE DEBRIS FLOWS
AND MUDSLIDES IN THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. ALSO OF CONCERN WILL BE
MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND POSSIBLY EAST OF THE
CASCADES.

THINGS FINALLY START TO IMPROVE WEDNESDAY WITH THE FRONT MOVING
SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN DECREASING
PRECIPITATION. WEAKER SYSTEMS WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA THE REST OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THIS TIME
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHTER AND NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED. -PETRUCELLI

&&

.AVIATION...
BASED ON THE 01/18Z TAF CYCLE

THERE IS A RISK OF LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR IN THE UMPQUA BASIN THIS
EVENING INCLUDING KRBG DUE A RAPID DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE A CLOSE CALL FOR WIND SPEED SHEAR AT THE
COAST...BUT KEPT IT OUT OF THE TAF FOR KOTH WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL DUE TO LOW PRESSURE TRACKING
SOUTH. STEADY PRECIPITATION AND LOWER CIGS WILL RETURN TO THE COAST
AND WEST SIDE THIS EVENING.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     ORZ029>031.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY ABOVE 4500
     FEET FOR ORZ030.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     ORZ027-028.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY ABOVE 4500
     FEET FOR ORZ027-028.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     ORZ021-022.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ORZ021-022-024.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR ORZ023-025-026.

CA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     CAZ084-085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM PST SUNDAY ABOVE 4500
     FEET FOR CAZ080.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR CAZ080.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR CAZ081>083.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ081.

PZ...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.

BTL/PETRUCELLI/SPILDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
337 PM PST SAT DEC 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WSW OBRIEN            42.06N 123.73W
12/01/2012  M2.60 INCH       JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            330PM TO 330PM.

&&

GLASER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
408 PM PST SAT DEC 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N CAVE JUNCTION       42.19N 123.65W
12/01/2012  M1.18 INCH       JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4PM TO 4PM. NOV TOTAL 11.59

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 ESE SELMA             42.26N 123.57W
12/01/2012  M0.95 INCH       JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4PM TO 4PM. NOV TOTAL 9.55

&&

GLASER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
411 PM PST SAT DEC 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S MCCLOUD             41.22N 122.14W
12/01/2012  M2.46 INCH       SISKIYOU           CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4PM TO 4PM.

&&

GLASER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
439 PM PST SAT DEC 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NE DUNSMUIR           41.28N 122.21W
12/01/2012  M1.37 INCH       SISKIYOU           CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            430PM TO 430PM.

&&

GLASER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
447 PM PST SAT DEC 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SE CAVE JUNCTION      42.11N 123.58W
12/01/2012  M1.48 INCH       JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            430PM TO 430PM.

&&

GLASER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
449 PM PST SAT DEC 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     LIGHTNING        1 SSW OBRIEN            42.05N 123.71W
12/01/2012                   JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THUNDERSTORM WITH RAIN.

0445 PM     LIGHTNING        6 SW MERLIN             42.46N 123.49W
12/01/2012                   JOSEPHINE          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN.

&&

GLASER