Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 848
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 6, 2011, 1:32 PM EDT for 54 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina; 14 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 6, 2011, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 6, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 76 counties
Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pender County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, Brunswick County, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Harnett, Johnston, Wake | 46 min |
| Sep 6, 3:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Franklin, Johnston, Wake | 44 min |
| Sep 6, 3:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Franklin, Halifax, Vance, Warren | 56 min |
| Sep 6, 3:39 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph | 111 min |
| Sep 6, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Robeson | 51 min |
| Sep 6, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Northampton | 45 min |
| Sep 6, 4:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Brunswick, New Hanover, Pender | 24 min |
| Sep 6, 5:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Wake | 31 min |
| Sep 6, 7:23 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILM | Robeson | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1434 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 515 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 246 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 274 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.9
- Supercell composite
- 11.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
942
WWUS20 KWNS 061734
SEL8
SPC WW 061734
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-070100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 845...WW 846...WW 847...
DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE BANDS/CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WILL PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON WITHIN A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. WATCH AREA WILL RESIDE ALONG ERN
PERIPHERY OF STRONGER MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELD ATTENDANT TO
SRN APPALACHIANS UPPER SYSTEM. WHEN COUPLED WITH 30-40 KT LOW-LEVEL
SLY FLOW...SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 8:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anson, Cumberland, Hoke, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond and 3 more | 84 min |
| Sep 5, 11:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Stokes, Surry | 88 min |
| Sep 6, 3:30 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Rockingham, Stokes | 60 min |
| Sep 6, 4:36 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Chatham, Davidson and 22 more | 84 min |
| Sep 6, 5:17 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alamance, Alleghany, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Caswell and 43 more | 9 hr |
| Sep 6, 8:35 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Cabarrus, Catawba and 42 more | 85 min |
| Sep 6, 9:51 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Avery, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 13 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 6, 12:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Alleghany, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen and 55 more | 64 min |
| Sep 6, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick and 46 more | 64 min |
| Sep 6, 7:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 38 more | 117 min |
| Sep 6, 10:11 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley, Calhoun and 15 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2011Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.