Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 848

September 6, 201154 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina; 14 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 6, 2011, 1:32 PM EDT for 54 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina; 14 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2011, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
Expired
Sep 6, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 76 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pender County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, Brunswick County, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Johnston, Wake46 min
Sep 6, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Johnston, Wake44 min
Sep 6, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Halifax, Vance, Warren56 min
Sep 6, 3:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph111 min
Sep 6, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMRobeson51 min
Sep 6, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton45 min
Sep 6, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBrunswick, New Hanover, Pender24 min
Sep 6, 5:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Lee, Wake31 min
Sep 6, 7:23 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-09-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1434 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-09-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 246 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1434 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
515 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
11.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

942 
WWUS20 KWNS 061734
SEL8
SPC WW 061734
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-070100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
       SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 845...WW 846...WW 847...

DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE BANDS/CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WILL PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON WITHIN A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG.  WATCH AREA WILL RESIDE ALONG ERN
PERIPHERY OF STRONGER MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELD ATTENDANT TO
SRN APPALACHIANS UPPER SYSTEM.  WHEN COUPLED WITH 30-40 KT LOW-LEVEL
SLY FLOW...SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 5, 8:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Cumberland, Hoke, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond and 3 more84 min
Sep 5, 11:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCStokes, Surry88 min
Sep 6, 3:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRockingham, Stokes60 min
Sep 6, 4:36 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Chatham, Davidson and 22 more84 min
Sep 6, 5:17 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Caswell and 43 more9 hr
Sep 6, 8:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Cabarrus, Catawba and 42 more85 min
Sep 6, 9:51 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 13 more6 hr
Sep 6, 12:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen and 55 more64 min
Sep 6, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick and 46 more64 min
Sep 6, 7:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 38 more117 min
Sep 6, 10:11 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAllendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley, Calhoun and 15 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2011Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.