Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 510

June 19, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 19, 2011, 2:55 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2011, 2:55 AM CDT (07:55 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2011, 8:50 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 98 counties

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Perry45 min
Jun 19, 3:28 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHPerry32 min
Jun 19, 3:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Perry, Saline and 2 more49 min
Jun 19, 3:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Jackson, Johnson, Union64 min
Jun 19, 3:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander39 min
Jun 19, 4:03 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard, Wayne42 min
Jun 19, 4:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 2 more49 min
Jun 19, 4:11 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Jefferson16 min
Jun 19, 4:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Saline, Wayne and 2 more39 min
Jun 19, 4:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski64 min
Jun 19, 4:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 4 more3 hr
Jun 19, 4:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Saline, Wabash, Wayne and 1 more49 min
Jun 19, 4:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski47 min
Jun 19, 5:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski30 min
Jun 19, 5:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, Wayne44 min
Jun 19, 5:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer, Vanderburgh55 min
Jun 19, 5:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWabash49 min
Jun 19, 5:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBallard, Carlisle, Hickman33 min
Jun 19, 5:38 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHWarrick22 min
Jun 19, 5:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois, Perry47 min
Jun 19, 5:53 AM CDTTornado WarningLMKDubois, Perry22 min
Jun 19, 5:55 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHSpencer, Warrick20 min
Jun 19, 5:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOhio47 min
Jun 19, 6:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Orange, Perry46 min
Jun 19, 6:11 AM CDTTornado WarningLMKCrawford, Perry34 min
Jun 19, 6:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Grayson43 min
Jun 19, 6:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Floyd, Harrison34 min
Jun 19, 6:42 AM CDTTornado WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison20 min
Jun 19, 6:42 AM CDTTornado WarningLMKBreckinridge17 min
Jun 19, 6:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGrayson, Hardin, Meade28 min
Jun 19, 7:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd15 min
Jun 19, 7:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Hart, Larue, Nelson36 min
Jun 19, 7:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison33 min
Jun 19, 7:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Henry, Jefferson, Nelson, Oldham, Shelby and 1 more29 min
Jun 19, 7:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMarion, Nelson, Washington14 min
Jun 19, 7:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott28 min
Jun 19, 7:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGreen, Marion, Nelson, Taylor, Washington33 min
Jun 19, 7:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Henry, Jessamine, Mercer, Nelson and 6 more31 min
Jun 19, 7:50 AM CDTTornado WarningLMKWashington25 min
Jun 19, 7:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe36 min
Jun 19, 8:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMonroe35 min
Jun 19, 8:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCasey, Lincoln, Marion, Taylor35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2011-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 340 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2011-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 193 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
340 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-515 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

710 
WWUS20 KWNS 190753
SEL0
SPC WW 190753
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-191500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 510
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       SOUTHERN INDIANA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 255 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
FARMINGTON MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LOUISVILLE
KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...

DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING MCS OVER SOUTHERN MO WILL TRACK RAPIDLY
EASTWARD INTO A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.  CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR AN
INTENSE BOW ECHO WITH THE THREAT OF A RESULTING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WIND EVENT.  ALSO...SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE
MCS COULD PROMOTE QLCS SPIN-UPS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE BOW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 7:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMonroe94 min
Jun 18, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jackson and 11 more8 hr
Jun 19, 2:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton and 20 more61 min
Jun 19, 4:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 11 more66 min
Jun 19, 5:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Edwards, Hardin, Jasper, Lawrence, Richland and 1 more59 min
Jun 19, 4:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMassac, Pulaski30 min
Jun 19, 5:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCMassac5 hr
Jun 19, 7:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland and 9 more114 min
Jun 19, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Bell, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Knox and 9 more67 min
Jun 19, 12:52 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Bell, Clinton, Cumberland, Knox, Logan and 5 more8 hr
Jun 19, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Cumberland, Knox, McCreary, Monroe, Wayne and 1 more2 hr
Jun 19, 6:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Clinton, Cumberland, Logan, McCreary, Monroe and 4 more57 min
Jun 18, 11:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 34 more85 min
Jun 19, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Clay, Holt, Platte113 min
Jun 19, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay and 12 more84 min
Jun 19, 6:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 23 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2011Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.