Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 510
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 19, 2011, 2:55 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2011, 2:55 AM CDT (07:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2011, 8:50 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 98 counties
Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 70%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 3:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Jackson, Perry | 45 min |
| Jun 19, 3:28 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Perry | 32 min |
| Jun 19, 3:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Perry, Saline and 2 more | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 3:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Jackson, Johnson, Union | 64 min |
| Jun 19, 3:51 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander | 39 min |
| Jun 19, 4:03 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard, Wayne | 42 min |
| Jun 19, 4:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 2 more | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 4:11 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Franklin, Hamilton, Jefferson | 16 min |
| Jun 19, 4:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Saline, Wayne and 2 more | 39 min |
| Jun 19, 4:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Pulaski | 64 min |
| Jun 19, 4:36 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Alexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Edwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Saline, Wabash, Wayne and 1 more | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 4:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 5:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Pulaski | 30 min |
| Jun 19, 5:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Edwards, Wabash, Wayne | 44 min |
| Jun 19, 5:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Spencer, Vanderburgh | 55 min |
| Jun 19, 5:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wabash | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 5:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Ballard, Carlisle, Hickman | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 5:38 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Warrick | 22 min |
| Jun 19, 5:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Dubois, Perry | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 5:53 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Dubois, Perry | 22 min |
| Jun 19, 5:55 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Spencer, Warrick | 20 min |
| Jun 19, 5:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Ohio | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 6:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Orange, Perry | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 6:11 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Crawford, Perry | 34 min |
| Jun 19, 6:17 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Grayson | 43 min |
| Jun 19, 6:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Floyd, Harrison | 34 min |
| Jun 19, 6:42 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Crawford, Harrison | 20 min |
| Jun 19, 6:42 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Breckinridge | 17 min |
| Jun 19, 6:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin, Meade | 28 min |
| Jun 19, 7:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Floyd | 15 min |
| Jun 19, 7:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Hart, Larue, Nelson | 36 min |
| Jun 19, 7:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Floyd, Harrison | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 7:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Henry, Jefferson, Nelson, Oldham, Shelby and 1 more | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 7:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Marion, Nelson, Washington | 14 min |
| Jun 19, 7:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Jefferson, Scott | 28 min |
| Jun 19, 7:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Green, Marion, Nelson, Taylor, Washington | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 7:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson, Franklin, Henry, Jessamine, Mercer, Nelson and 6 more | 31 min |
| Jun 19, 7:50 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Washington | 25 min |
| Jun 19, 7:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe | 36 min |
| Jun 19, 8:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Monroe | 35 min |
| Jun 19, 8:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Casey, Lincoln, Marion, Taylor | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 340 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -515 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1700 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 193 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 328 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
710
WWUS20 KWNS 190753
SEL0
SPC WW 190753
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-191500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 510
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 255 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
FARMINGTON MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LOUISVILLE
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...
DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING MCS OVER SOUTHERN MO WILL TRACK RAPIDLY
EASTWARD INTO A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR AN
INTENSE BOW ECHO WITH THE THREAT OF A RESULTING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WIND EVENT. ALSO...SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE
MCS COULD PROMOTE QLCS SPIN-UPS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE BOW.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 7:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Monroe | 94 min |
| Jun 18, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jackson and 11 more | 8 hr |
| Jun 19, 2:14 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton and 20 more | 61 min |
| Jun 19, 4:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 11 more | 66 min |
| Jun 19, 5:46 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Edwards, Hardin, Jasper, Lawrence, Richland and 1 more | 59 min |
| Jun 19, 4:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Massac, Pulaski | 30 min |
| Jun 19, 5:01 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Massac | 5 hr |
| Jun 19, 7:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland and 9 more | 114 min |
| Jun 19, 12:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Bell, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Knox and 9 more | 67 min |
| Jun 19, 12:52 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allen, Bell, Clinton, Cumberland, Knox, Logan and 5 more | 8 hr |
| Jun 19, 3:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Cumberland, Knox, McCreary, Monroe, Wayne and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 6:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Clinton, Cumberland, Logan, McCreary, Monroe and 4 more | 57 min |
| Jun 18, 11:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 34 more | 85 min |
| Jun 19, 3:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Clay, Holt, Platte | 113 min |
| Jun 19, 6:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay and 12 more | 84 min |
| Jun 19, 6:51 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 23 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2011Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.