Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 511

June 19, 201111 counties in Kentucky; Cherokee County, Clay County, North Carolina; 51 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 19, 2011, 12:52 PM CDT for 11 counties in Kentucky; Cherokee County, Clay County, North Carolina; 51 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2011, 12:52 PM CDT (17:52 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2011, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 64 counties

Allen County, KY, Bell County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Knox County, KY, Logan County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bedford County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marion County, TN, Marshall County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Polk County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Knox42 min
Jun 19, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMacon, Sumner46 min
Jun 19, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Monroe28 min
Jun 19, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Jackson, Macon, Smith, Trousdale48 min
Jun 19, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMacon, Sumner25 min
Jun 19, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Jackson, Macon, Overton, Pickett, Putnam and 2 more49 min
Jun 19, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Overton, Putnam, White26 min
Jun 19, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Putnam, White46 min
Jun 19, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Meigs, Morgan, Rhea, Roane57 min
Jun 19, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Van Buren, Warren, White40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2011-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1891 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2011-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 255 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1891 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-148 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
833 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

553 
WWUS20 KWNS 191753
SEL1
SPC WW 191753
KYZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-200000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 511
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
       SMALL PART OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       MUCH OF MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES EAST OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS AIR
MASS DESTABILIZES EWD.  WITH MLCAPES AOA 2500 J/KG AND PRESENCE OF
40-50KT OF SHEAR...SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS EVOLVE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS...BUT WITH THE
STRONG SHEAR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 2:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 22 more61 min
Jun 19, 2:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt and 47 more6 hr
Jun 19, 4:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge and 48 more66 min
Jun 19, 5:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge and 51 more59 min
Jun 19, 7:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland and 9 more114 min
Jun 19, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Bell, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Knox and 9 more67 min
Jun 19, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Cumberland, Knox, McCreary, Monroe, Wayne and 1 more2 hr
Jun 19, 4:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 20 more30 min
Jun 19, 5:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 16 more5 hr
Jun 19, 6:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Clinton, Cumberland, Logan, McCreary, Monroe and 4 more57 min
Jun 19, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Burke, Cabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland and 16 more61 min
Jun 19, 1:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus and 36 more5 hr
Jun 19, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus and 35 more62 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2011Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.