Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 128

April 11, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 11, 2011, 10:31 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2011, 10:31 AM CDT (15:31 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2011, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 109 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 10:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski25 min
Apr 11, 11:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff31 min
Apr 11, 11:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips, St. Francis60 min
Apr 11, 12:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett3 hr
Apr 11, 1:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGShelby80 min
Apr 11, 3:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDecatur2 hr
Apr 11, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBenton, Hickman, Humphreys, Lewis, Perry, Wayne43 min
Apr 11, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Lawrence, Lewis, Maury and 1 more37 min
Apr 11, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Maury, Williamson32 min
Apr 11, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXLawrence, Wayne28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 936 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 296 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
936 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
647 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
322 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.0
Supercell composite
6.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

086 
WWUS20 KWNS 111533
SEL8
SPC WW 111533
ARZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-112200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       PARTS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS
       PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       MUCH OF NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       PARTS OF CENTRAL AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1030 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MONTICELLO ARKANSAS TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN
KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STRONG S/WV TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WIND FIELD ROTATING
EWD ACROSS LWR MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON DEVELOPING A SURFACE WAVE ON
FRONTAL ZONE SRN AR.  STRONG HEATING WILL INCREASE INSTABILITY EWD
AHEAD OF ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS THE WATCH.  THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING ACROSS CENTRAL SRN AR WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE LOW WITH AN ENHANCED WIND PROFILE SUPPORTING BOTH DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES THRU THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 8:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale and 7 more62 min
Apr 11, 10:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Jackson, Lamar and 9 more64 min
Apr 11, 3:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chilton, Choctaw and 32 more34 min
Apr 11, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas and 16 more6 hr
Apr 11, 5:11 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 5 more7 hr
Apr 11, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Greene, Jefferson, Shelby, Tuscaloosa97 min
Apr 11, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Chilton and 12 more33 min
Apr 10, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 7 more8 hr
Apr 10, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington53 min
Apr 11, 1:49 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more4 hr
Apr 11, 2:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 17 more56 min
Apr 11, 4:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 28 more56 min
Apr 11, 9:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 10 more29 min
Apr 11, 12:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 6 more53 min
Apr 11, 11:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 19 more36 min
Apr 11, 11:47 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more6 hr
Apr 11, 2:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more61 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2011Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.