Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 835

September 4, 201136 counties in New York; 15 counties in Pennsylvania; 14 counties in Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 4, 2011, 2:43 PM EDT for 36 counties in New York; 15 counties in Pennsylvania; 14 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 4, 2011, 2:43 PM EDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired
Sep 4, 2011, 10:28 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 4, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex44 min
Sep 4, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Tioga39 min
Sep 4, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer67 min
Sep 4, 3:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLuzerne48 min
Sep 4, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Sullivan66 min
Sep 4, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome50 min
Sep 4, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVChittenden, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans, Washington65 min
Sep 4, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOtsego50 min
Sep 4, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware55 min
Sep 4, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady67 min
Sep 4, 4:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Otsego35 min
Sep 4, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Otsego47 min
Sep 4, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware59 min
Sep 4, 5:26 PM EDTTornado WarningALYMontgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady23 min
Sep 4, 5:32 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery12 hr
Sep 4, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Washington58 min
Sep 4, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer, Washington64 min
Sep 4, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVFranklin, Lamoille, Orleans64 min
Sep 4, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer56 min
Sep 4, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder, Union67 min
Sep 4, 8:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYWashington4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-09-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 277 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-09-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
277 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-194 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
765 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 4, 12:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoos58 min
Sep 4, 1:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarroll, Coos, Grafton7 hr
Sep 4, 4:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelknap, Carroll, Coos, Grafton53 min
Sep 4, 3:07 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Erie, Genesee, Livingston and 8 more83 min
Sep 4, 3:26 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 16 more4 hr
Sep 4, 6:22 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Oneida, Onondaga, Ontario and 4 more83 min
Sep 4, 1:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Fulton and 13 more87 min
Sep 4, 6:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton and 30 more54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.