Severe Thunderstorm Warning 311, NWS Memphis, TN

693 
WWUS54 KMEG 271730 RRA
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1230 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

TNC017-023-039-077-113-271741-
/O.EXP.KMEG.SV.W.0311.000000T0000Z-110427T1730Z/
DECATUR TN-CARROLL TN-HENDERSON TN-MADISON TN-CHESTER TN-
1230 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHESTER...
EASTERN MADISON...NORTHERN HENDERSON...SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL AND
NORTHERN DECATUR COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

AT 1231 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3546 8877 3569 8886 3608 8821 3586 8821
      3585 8810 3586 8807 3586 8804 3585 8802
      3583 8802 3582 8798
TIME...MOT...LOC 1656Z 235DEG 68KT 3565 8866

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
631 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011/

DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS MORNING WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN MILD WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST SOUTH OF ST. LOUIS THROUGH WESTERN
ARKANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY AND PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.
SPC HAS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
WITH A MODERATE RISK OVER MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH
MISSISSIPPI AND A SLIGHT RISK OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
AREA. IN ADDITION...MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE
REGION ON TOP OF THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUE IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE FRONT WILL CLEAR OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WITH A SMALL
CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE EVENING HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE TONIGHT BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT
A WIND ADVISORY SO WILL CANCEL THAT PRODUCT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY BRINGING SUNNY
SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH SHOULD BE EAST OF THE
REGION BY FRIDAY BRINGING A RETURN OF SOUTH WINDS AND USHERING
WARMER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BY FRIDAY
NIGHT...A NEW STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND TRACKS
NORTHEAST. THIS NEW STORMS SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD
THE REGION BY SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING MORE THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION BRINGING COOLER AND
DRIER CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z TAF CYCLE

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE RETURNING TO FORECAST AREA AND
SPREAD OVER MUCH OF REGION THIS MORNING. EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY
WILL END BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND
GUSTY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

ARS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  76  51  73  53 / 100  20  10   0
MKL  76  46  71  46 / 100  30  10   0
JBR  71  47  72  49 / 100  20  10   0
TUP  82  52  73  49 / 100  30  10   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
349 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-281100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
349 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OVER PORTIONS
OF THE MID-SOUTH EAST OF A LINE FROM SAVANNAH TENNESSEE TO ASHLAND
MISSISSIPPI TO HOUSTON MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY EAST OF A LINE FROM HUNTINGDON
TENNESSEE TO RIPLEY TENNESSEE TO TUNICA MISSISSIPPI TO CHARLESTON
MISSISSIPPI. THE REMAINDER OF THE MID-SOUTH HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALL
POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.

FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE TODAY WITH UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH NEXT WEEK...PUTTING
STRESS ON LEVEES. SIGNIFICANT... POSSIBLY RECORD BREAKING RIVER
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE MISSISSIPPI BY LATE NEXT WEEK AS RUN
OFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL UPSTREAM BEGINS TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MEMPHIS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1037 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LEXINGTON               35.65N 88.39W
04/27/2011                   HENDERSON          TN   PUBLIC

            SIX INCHES OF WATER COVERING ROADS

1024 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HAIL CRACKED A WINDSHIELD IN DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS AREA

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1041 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT JACKSON AND POPE STREET

1027 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.88 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT CLEVELAND AND GOODBAR

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1051 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1038 AM     HAIL             ELLENDALE               35.23N 89.83W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES IN WESTBROOK
            SUBDIVISION

1025 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL AT COOPER AND YOUNG

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1120 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ROSSVILLE               35.04N 89.54W
04/27/2011                   FAYETTE            TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            VARIOUS ROADS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY UNDER WATER. SEVERAL
            POINTS ALONG HWY 57 WERE CLOSED. WATER RESCUE DUE TO
            VEHICLE WASHED OFF THE ROAD.A COUPLE CALLS RECEIVED AT 1
            AM. MOST RECEIVED AT 3 AM.

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1130 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      TRENTON                 35.97N 88.94W
04/27/2011                   GIBSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NORTH COLLEGE STREET IN TRENTON CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
            ONE FOOT OF WATER OVER THE ROAD.

1040 AM     HAIL             BARTLETT                35.22N 89.84W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1154 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BOONEVILLE              34.66N 88.57W
04/27/2011                   PRENTISS           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THREE HOUSES WITH ROOF DAMAGE. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
            COUNTYWIDE

0535 AM     FLOOD            2 S CORNING             36.38N 90.59W
04/27/2011                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ARKANSAS LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THE CLOSURE OF U.S.
            HIGHWAY 62 EAST...U.S. HIGHWAY 67 AND STATE HIGHWAY 135
            DUE TO FLOODING FROM A LEVEE FAILURE IN BUTLER COUNTY
            MISSOURI /BLACK RIVER BASIN/

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SENATOBIA               34.62N 89.97W
04/27/2011                   TATE               MS   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED COUNTYWIDE

0842 AM     HAIL             TRUMANN                 35.67N 90.52W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

0845 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ASHLAND                 34.83N 89.18W
04/27/2011                   BENTON             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EXTENSIVE ROAD FLOODING ACROSS THE COUNTY

0900 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     OXFORD                  34.36N 89.53W
04/27/2011                   LAFAYETTE          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MARBLE HAIL AND FUNNEL CLOUD ON WEST SIDE OF OXFORD

0915 AM     TORNADO          ESPERANZA               34.35N 89.16W
04/27/2011                   PONTOTOC           MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN. NO DAMAGE

0932 AM     HAIL             ECRU                    34.36N 89.03W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       PONTOTOC           MS   AMATEUR RADIO

0939 AM     HAIL             BLUE SPRINGS            34.40N 88.87W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       UNION              MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0950 AM     HAIL             SALTILLO                34.38N 88.69W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       LEE                MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL REPORTED IN BALDWYN AND SALTILLO

0950 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N TUPELO              34.34N 88.73W
04/27/2011                   LEE                MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

1021 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OXFORD                  34.36N 89.53W
04/27/2011                   LAFAYETTE          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER RESCUE IN OXFORD. EXCESSIVE FLOODING COUNTYWIDE

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT JACKSON AND POPE STREET

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1024 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HAIL CRACKED A WINDSHIELD IN DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS AREA

1025 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W TREMONT             34.23N 88.30W
04/27/2011                   ITAWAMBA           MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            4-6 INCH LIMBS ON COTTON GIN ROAD

1025 AM     TSTM WND DMG     9 N TREMONT             34.36N 88.25W
04/27/2011                   ITAWAMBA           MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROOF TORN OFF, TIN OFF PORCH

1025 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL AT COOPER AND YOUNG

1027 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.88 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT CLEVELAND AND GOODBAR

1032 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LEXINGTON               35.65N 88.39W
04/27/2011                   HENDERSON          TN   PUBLIC

            SIX INCHES OF WATER COVERING ROADS

1038 AM     HAIL             ELLENDALE               35.23N 89.83W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES IN WESTBROOK
            SUBDIVISION

1040 AM     HAIL             BARTLETT                35.22N 89.84W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

1125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      TRENTON                 35.97N 88.94W
04/27/2011                   GIBSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NORTH COLLEGE STREET IN TRENTON CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
            ONE FOOT OF WATER OVER THE ROAD.

1130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S BRADFORD            36.04N 88.82W
04/27/2011                   GIBSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HWY 45 CLOSED. WATER OVER HWY

1130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N MILAN               35.96N 88.75W
04/27/2011                   GIBSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CADES ATWOOD RD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1140 AM     FLASH FLOOD      TREMONT                 34.23N 88.25W
04/27/2011                   ITAWAMBA           MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER OVER ROAD ON HWY 178 AND HWY 23

&&

SVR