Severe Thunderstorm Warning 307, NWS Memphis, TN

010 
WWUS54 KMEG 271652
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1152 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

TNC023-047-069-075-077-113-271700-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-110427T1700Z/
FAYETTE TN-HENDERSON TN-HAYWOOD TN-MADISON TN-CHESTER TN-HARDEMAN TN-
1152 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
NORTHERN HARDEMAN...NORTHERN CHESTER...MADISON...SOUTHEASTERN
HAYWOOD...WEST CENTRAL HENDERSON AND NORTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES...

AT 1152 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MAPLE GROVE...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
85 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOLIVAR...
CEDAR GROVE...HENDERSON...JACKSON...MEDON...MIDDLE FORK...TOONE...
MILLER...FAYETTE CORNERS...LACONIA...DEANBURG...MONTEZUMA...JUNO AND
HURON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3518 8924 3540 8933 3579 8864 3579 8859
      3548 8838
TIME...MOT...LOC 1652Z 233DEG 72KT 3560 8871

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
631 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011/

DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS MORNING WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN MILD WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST SOUTH OF ST. LOUIS THROUGH WESTERN
ARKANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY AND PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.
SPC HAS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
WITH A MODERATE RISK OVER MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH
MISSISSIPPI AND A SLIGHT RISK OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
AREA. IN ADDITION...MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE
REGION ON TOP OF THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUE IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE FRONT WILL CLEAR OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WITH A SMALL
CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE EVENING HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE TONIGHT BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT
A WIND ADVISORY SO WILL CANCEL THAT PRODUCT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY BRINGING SUNNY
SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH SHOULD BE EAST OF THE
REGION BY FRIDAY BRINGING A RETURN OF SOUTH WINDS AND USHERING
WARMER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BY FRIDAY
NIGHT...A NEW STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND TRACKS
NORTHEAST. THIS NEW STORMS SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD
THE REGION BY SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING MORE THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION BRINGING COOLER AND
DRIER CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z TAF CYCLE

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE RETURNING TO FORECAST AREA AND
SPREAD OVER MUCH OF REGION THIS MORNING. EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY
WILL END BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND
GUSTY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

ARS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  76  51  73  53 / 100  20  10   0
MKL  76  46  71  46 / 100  30  10   0
JBR  71  47  72  49 / 100  20  10   0
TUP  82  52  73  49 / 100  30  10   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
349 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-281100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
349 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OVER PORTIONS
OF THE MID-SOUTH EAST OF A LINE FROM SAVANNAH TENNESSEE TO ASHLAND
MISSISSIPPI TO HOUSTON MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY EAST OF A LINE FROM HUNTINGDON
TENNESSEE TO RIPLEY TENNESSEE TO TUNICA MISSISSIPPI TO CHARLESTON
MISSISSIPPI. THE REMAINDER OF THE MID-SOUTH HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALL
POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.

FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE TODAY WITH UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH NEXT WEEK...PUTTING
STRESS ON LEVEES. SIGNIFICANT... POSSIBLY RECORD BREAKING RIVER
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE MISSISSIPPI BY LATE NEXT WEEK AS RUN
OFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL UPSTREAM BEGINS TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MEMPHIS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1033 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N TUPELO              34.34N 88.73W
04/27/2011                   LEE                MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1037 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LEXINGTON               35.65N 88.39W
04/27/2011                   HENDERSON          TN   PUBLIC

            SIX INCHES OF WATER COVERING ROADS

1024 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HAIL CRACKED A WINDSHIELD IN DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS AREA

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1041 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT JACKSON AND POPE STREET

1027 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.88 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT CLEVELAND AND GOODBAR

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1051 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1038 AM     HAIL             ELLENDALE               35.23N 89.83W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES IN WESTBROOK
            SUBDIVISION

1025 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL AT COOPER AND YOUNG

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1120 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ROSSVILLE               35.04N 89.54W
04/27/2011                   FAYETTE            TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            VARIOUS ROADS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY UNDER WATER. SEVERAL
            POINTS ALONG HWY 57 WERE CLOSED. WATER RESCUE DUE TO
            VEHICLE WASHED OFF THE ROAD.A COUPLE CALLS RECEIVED AT 1
            AM. MOST RECEIVED AT 3 AM.

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1130 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 AM     FLASH FLOOD      TRENTON                 35.97N 88.94W
04/27/2011                   GIBSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NORTH COLLEGE STREET IN TRENTON CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
            ONE FOOT OF WATER OVER THE ROAD.

1040 AM     HAIL             BARTLETT                35.22N 89.84W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

&&

SVR