Severe Thunderstorm Warning 305, NWS Memphis, TN

106 
WWUS54 KMEG 271607
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1107 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

TNC033-047-053-075-097-113-167-271617-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0305.000000T0000Z-110427T1630Z/
CROCKETT TN-LAUDERDALE TN-FAYETTE TN-GIBSON TN-HAYWOOD TN-MADISON TN-
TIPTON TN-
1107 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN TIPTON...MADISON...
HAYWOOD...SOUTH CENTRAL GIBSON...NORTHERN FAYETTE...SOUTHEASTERN
LAUDERDALE AND CROCKETT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 1107 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO 
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3560 8865 3543 8912 3544 8913 3544 8918
      3540 8919 3528 8960 3534 8964 3539 8964
      3539 8968 3551 8976 3601 8890
TIME...MOT...LOC 1607Z 236DEG 75KT 3562 8918

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
631 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011/

DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS MORNING WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN MILD WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST SOUTH OF ST. LOUIS THROUGH WESTERN
ARKANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY AND PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.
SPC HAS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
WITH A MODERATE RISK OVER MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH
MISSISSIPPI AND A SLIGHT RISK OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
AREA. IN ADDITION...MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE
REGION ON TOP OF THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUE IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE FRONT WILL CLEAR OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WITH A SMALL
CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE EVENING HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT BRINGING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE TONIGHT BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT
A WIND ADVISORY SO WILL CANCEL THAT PRODUCT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY BRINGING SUNNY
SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH SHOULD BE EAST OF THE
REGION BY FRIDAY BRINGING A RETURN OF SOUTH WINDS AND USHERING
WARMER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BY FRIDAY
NIGHT...A NEW STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND TRACKS
NORTHEAST. THIS NEW STORMS SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD
THE REGION BY SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY EVENING
BRINGING MORE THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION BRINGING COOLER AND
DRIER CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z TAF CYCLE

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE RETURNING TO FORECAST AREA AND
SPREAD OVER MUCH OF REGION THIS MORNING. EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY
WILL END BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND
GUSTY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

ARS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  76  51  73  53 / 100  20  10   0
MKL  76  46  71  46 / 100  30  10   0
JBR  71  47  72  49 / 100  20  10   0
TUP  82  52  73  49 / 100  30  10   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
349 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-281100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
349 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OVER PORTIONS
OF THE MID-SOUTH EAST OF A LINE FROM SAVANNAH TENNESSEE TO ASHLAND
MISSISSIPPI TO HOUSTON MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY EAST OF A LINE FROM HUNTINGDON
TENNESSEE TO RIPLEY TENNESSEE TO TUNICA MISSISSIPPI TO CHARLESTON
MISSISSIPPI. THE REMAINDER OF THE MID-SOUTH HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALL
POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.

FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE TODAY WITH UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH NEXT WEEK...PUTTING
STRESS ON LEVEES. SIGNIFICANT... POSSIBLY RECORD BREAKING RIVER
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE MISSISSIPPI BY LATE NEXT WEEK AS RUN
OFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL UPSTREAM BEGINS TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MEMPHIS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
953 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     HAIL             SALTILLO                34.38N 88.69W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       LEE                MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL REPORTED IN BALDWYN AND SALTILLO

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1023 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1021 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OXFORD                  34.36N 89.53W
04/27/2011                   LAFAYETTE          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER RESCUE IN OXFORD. EXCESSIVE FLOODING COUNTYWIDE

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1033 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N TUPELO              34.34N 88.73W
04/27/2011                   LEE                MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1037 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LEXINGTON               35.65N 88.39W
04/27/2011                   HENDERSON          TN   PUBLIC

            SIX INCHES OF WATER COVERING ROADS

1024 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HAIL CRACKED A WINDSHIELD IN DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS AREA

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1041 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1023 AM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS        35.13N 90.05W
04/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT JACKSON AND POPE STREET

1027 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.88 INCH       SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT CLEVELAND AND GOODBAR

&&

SVR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1051 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1038 AM     HAIL             ELLENDALE               35.23N 89.83W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES IN WESTBROOK
            SUBDIVISION

1025 AM     HAIL             MIDTOWN MEMPHIS         35.13N 89.98W
04/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             TN   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL AT COOPER AND YOUNG

&&

SVR