River Flood Warning 38, NWS Jackson, MS

409 
WGUS84 KJAN 050136
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
836 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

 
  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-050206-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-110407T1800Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE.
* AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 22.7 FEET 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  11.0 MON 07 PM  14.9  22.2  22.5  22.7 WED 07 PM

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
930 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

.AVIATION...CEILINGS ABOVE 3KFT WERE BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TAF SITES WHILE CEILINGS BELOW 3KFT CONTINUED OVER THE
SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA. EXPECT CEILINGS TO RISE JUST ABOVE
3KFT THROUGH 17Z BEFORE A SEVERE SQUALL LINE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
AHEAD OF A COLD FROPA. THE SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY AFFECT GLH BY
AROUND 18-19Z...GWO BY 19-20Z...GTR BY AROUND 21-22Z..JAN AROUND
21-22Z...MEI AND HBG BY 22-00Z. WINDS WILL BE STRONG TODAY OUT OF
THE SW. SPEEDS OF 20KTS WITH GUSTS TO 35KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE EVEN
AWAY FROM STORMS. FOLLOWING FROPA...WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE NORTH
AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH CLEARING SKIES. /22/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ026>033-
     036>039-042>066-072>074.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ018-019-025-
     034-035-040-041.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ024>026.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

28/CME

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
555 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-060-051100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-ADAMS-
555 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS.
THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH...
TORNADOES...AND LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR THESE STORMS TO OCCUR WILL BE FROM NOON TO 3PM.

VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE
IN PLACE OVER THE ARKLAMISS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AS THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND FORM
INTO A SQUALL LINE. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
AND JUST AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA...POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN A MORE ENHANCED RISK FOR TORNADOES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH OVER NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES COULD
BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL. THIS
MAY RESULT IN SOME PONDING OF WATER.

OUTSIDE OF STORMS...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>045-047>050-053>056-059-061>063-051100-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-
JEFFERSON-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
555 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS.
THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH...
TORNADOES...AND LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR THESE STORMS TO OCCUR WILL BE FROM 3PM TO 6PM.

VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE
IN PLACE OVER THE ARKLAMISS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AS THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND FORM
INTO A SQUALL LINE. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
AND JUST AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA...POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN A MORE ENHANCED RISK FOR TORNADOES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION...INTENSE
RAINFALL RATES COULD BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES
OF RAINFALL. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME PONDING OF WATER.

OUTSIDE OF STORMS...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

MSZ046-051-052-057-058-064>066-072>074-051100-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
555 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST
AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS.
THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH...
TORNADOES...AND LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR THESE STORMS TO OCCUR WILL BE FROM 5PM TO 8PM.

VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR AND A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE
IN PLACE OVER THE ARKLAMISS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. AS THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND FORM
INTO A SQUALL LINE. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
AND JUST AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA...POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN A MORE ENHANCED RISK FOR TORNADOES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. IN
ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES COULD BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A
QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME PONDING
OF WATER.

OUTSIDE OF STORMS...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

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