Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011

Storm Warning 44, NWS Juneau, AK

September 20, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Sep 20, 2011, 7:47 AM AKDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2011, 7:47 AM AKDT (15:47 UTC)
Expired
Sep 20, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

665 
FZAK51 PAJK 201547 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-210115-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 967 MB GALE FORCE LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES ONTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT. A GALE FORCE LOW WELL SW OF
DIXON ENTRANCE WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY TONIGHT BECOMING 968 MB
125 NM OFF SITKA WED MORNING.  

$$

PKZ011-210115-
GLACIER BAY-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-210115-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-210115-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-210115-
ICY STRAIT-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-210115-
CROSS SOUND-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT 
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-210115-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT LATE. STRONGEST WIND NEAR
TAKU INLET LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-210115-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-210115-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT
13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-210115-
FREDERICK SOUND-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-210115-
SUMNER STRAIT-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-210115-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
747 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 10 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
506 
FZAK51 PAJK 202035 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-211445-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 970 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT
CONTINUES TO MOVE ONTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT. A LOW SW OF DIXON
ENTRANCE WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY TO STORM FORCE TONIGHT TO LIE
OFFSHORE SITKA WED MORNING.  

$$

PKZ011-211445-
GLACIER BAY-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-211445-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-211445-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-211445-
ICY STRAIT-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-211445-
CROSS SOUND-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT 
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. S SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT.
SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-211445-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT LATE. STRONGEST WIND NEAR
TAKU INLET LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-211445-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-211445-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT
13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-211445-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-211445-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-211445-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1235 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 10 FT...
EXCEPT
15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
333 
FZAK51 PAJK 202328
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-211400-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 970 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT
CONTINUES TO MOVE ONTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT. A LOW SW OF DIXON
ENTRANCE WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY TO STORM FORCE TONIGHT TO LIE
OFFSHORE SITKA WED MORNING.  

$$

PKZ011-211400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-211400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
S AND INCREASING TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-211400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING S
AND INCREASING TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N OVERNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-211400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-211400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. S
SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-211400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-211400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING S 20
KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-211400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8
FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON...FURTHER DIMINISHING TO 15 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE OVERNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-211400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SW 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-211400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT GALE OVERNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-211400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT...
EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Sep 20, 5:15 AM AKDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 5:15 AM AKDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
515 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2011

.SHORT TERM...MATURE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SE OF KODIAK 967 MB
AT 12Z TODAY HAS STARTED TO FILL. THIS SYSTEM HAS CAPTURED
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND THE COLD AIR SUPPORT IS NOT VERY
STRONG...-26C AT 500 HPA AS PER 12Z KODIAK RAOB. SYSTEM STILL IS
IN UPPER LEFT QUAD OF A TRANSPACIFIC JET FROM THE HIMALAYAS AND
HAS DEVELOPED ITS OWN SOUTHERLY BRANCH ALONG 140W OR SO. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT NOW MOVING ONTO THE SE AK COAST AS OF 12Z WAS
STRONG AND HAD DRIVEN STORM FORCE WINDS PLUS HUGE SEAS. BOTH RADAR
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A BACK EDGE TO THIS FRONT BUT WITH SO
MUCH MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT EXPECTING LITTLE OR NO RESPITE FROM
RAIN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 MOST INTERESTING IS A RAPID DEVELOPMENT ON THE S SIDE OF THIS
MONSTER-SIZED SYSTEM. A CLOSED CENTER HAS FORMED NEAR 45N 152W OR
SO AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 13Z. AGAIN THE JET IS IN GOOD
SUPPORT AND ALL 20/00Z MODELS AGREE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BOMB
BUT BY HOW MUCH? INDICATED GALES TO HIT SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS
WED NIGHT AS PER LOCAL WRF MODEL AND 20/12Z AK-GFS-40 MODEL SFC
WIND. CONCERNED THAT STORMS ARE IN ORDER IF BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS
USED AS PER MODELS NOW ARRIVING. WILL NEED SOME WIND HEADLINES
FOR SOUTHERN AND COASTAL ZONES. CONFIDENCE MODERATE. MAYBE MORE
WIND NEEDED.

&&

.LONG TERM...MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH THE STORM FORCE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY MORNING
WEAKENS AND TRACKS NORTH TO NEAR YAKUTAT BAY BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING...THEN FARTHER NORTH TO ALASKA INTERIOR AS AN OPEN WAVE. A
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE FORECAST DOMAIN ON
THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER DEVELOPING STORM FORCE LOW ENTERING THE
EASTERN GULF BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE GFS SHOWS A BETTER CONSISTENCY
THAN OTHER MODELS AND WAS USED TO REFRESH THE INHERITED GRIDS
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

 STORM FORCE WINDS WILL EXPAND FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY...EASE TO GALE LATE WEDNESDAY THEN
BACK TO STORM FORCE WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
KEPT THE STRONG WINDS HEADLINE FOR PANHANDLE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM
ELFIN COVE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHERN AREAS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THE
SECOND STORM FORCE LOW WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING THE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE PANHANDLE COAST ON
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IN RESPONSE TO THE CONTINUED ABOVE
NORMAL RAINFALL...LOCAL STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL STEADILY RISE
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY THEN THE WATER LEVELS WILL RETURN TO AVERAGE
NORMAL FLOW TOWARDS THE WEEKEND.

 FROM FRIDAY ONWARD...MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WITH RELATIVELY DRY
WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH GROWING UNCERTAINTY FOR A
DEVELOPING STORM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC IMPOSING ITS TRACK TO FAR
SOUTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...USED THE HPC GUIDANCE FOR
THE PRESSURE FIELD FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE END. THE POP FIELD WERE
BLENDED WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ033-035-036-041>043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-034-053.

&&

JC/AHN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 19, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Sep 19, 8:55 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK7 hr
Sep 20, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK4 days
Sep 20, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Sep 20, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK4 hr
Sep 20, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 days
Sep 20, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Sep 20, 12:07 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK16 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.