Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011

Storm Warning 223, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 14, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 14, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 16, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

544 
FZAK52 PAFC 150019
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1011 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL MOVES TO SITKINAK ISLAND AT 
1008 MB TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH
TONIGHT THEN RETREATS NORTH AND EAST TUE. A 994 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTH
OF SHEMYA TUE MORNING MOVES TO 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 983 
MB LATE TUE NIGHT. THIS LOW CONTINUES NORTHWEST AND WEAKENS. A
SECONDARY 985 MB LOW MOVES TO 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WED
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-151500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-151500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-151500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-151500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
535 
FZAK52 PAFC 151203
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF ATTU WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WED MORNING AT 986 MB. A SECOND NORTH PACIFIC 
LOW WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WED MORNING. THIS LOW  WILL
THEN TRACK TO 60 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WED NIGHT AND INTENSIFY TO 968
MB.

$$

PKZ150-160300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-160300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-160300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-160300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-160300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 8
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-160300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...6 FT PACIFIC SIDE.

.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-160300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-160300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-160300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-160300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-160300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. E OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-160300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$
568 
FZAK52 PAFC 160015
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-161500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHWEST BERING SEA WED. A 994 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTH OF KISKA WED
MORNING WILL MOVE TO 275 NM NORTH OF ATTU AT 974 MB WED NIGHT AND
DRIFT NORTHWEST THROUGH THU. A 993 MB LOW 325 NM SOUTH OF ATTU WED
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 165 NM WEST OF ST PAUL AT 983 MB THU
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-161500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-161500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-161500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-161500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-161500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-161500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-161500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT...BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-161500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-161500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-161500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 60 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 27 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-161500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO
45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 50 KT
INCREASING TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-161500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$
760 
FZAK52 PAFC 161254
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 MB LOW 330N NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA THU NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 90 NM SOUTH OF ADAK
WED AFTERNOON THEN STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB 360 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA THU
MORNING AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THU NIGHT.
A 994 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 60 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WED NIGHT AND MOVE TO
150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-170300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-170300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-170300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-170300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-170300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-170300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY NOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-170300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-170300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY NOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-170300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT BERING SIDE...SW 40 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 11 FT
BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-170300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-170300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 45 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO
45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS
19 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-170300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 14, 5:00 AM AKST, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 5:00 AM AKST, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZED WELL BUT THING QUICKLY DIFFER BY MID DAY. THEY ALL
PICK UP ON THE DEVELOPING LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BUT THE GFS
MOVES IT MUCH QUICKER INTO THE GULF THEN THE NAM AND THE ECMWF IS
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. WITH FAIRLY BROAD JET RUNNING ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS INTO THE GULF YOU WOULD EXPECT THE LOW TO MOVE ALONG FAIRLY
QUICKLY. THE 06Z RUN OF THE NAM REALLY SLOWS DOWN THE LOW. WE ARE
FAVORING THE ECWMF THIS MORNING MAINLY BECAUSE IT NOW SEEMS TO BE THE
AVERAGE OF THE OTHER TWO. OTHER THAN THAT THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN BETWEEN THE MODELS IS GOOD.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WHILE TROUGHS
DEEPEN OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN MAINLAND. A WEAK
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA TODAY AND
TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...ONCE REACHING THE GULF IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
RAPIDLY TO THE 980S AFTER IT CROSSES THE GULF AND BECOMING NEARLY
STATIONARY ALONG THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT. A STEEP
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP FORM ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AND COPPER RIVER DELTA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING TUESDAY WHILE A SECOND STRONG 990S LOW
MOVES NEAR SHEMYA TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
SNOW  WILL PERSIST TODAY OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA AROUND HOMER SPREADING SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH AND  EAST TO
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA...OTHER THAN THAT
EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVER OTHER AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL BY
THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES TO THE EAST WINDS WILL
BECOME NORTHERLY. MOSTLY CLEAR...COLDER DRY AIR WILL SPREAD DOWN FROM
THE NORTH BY TUESDAY. THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN FROM THE LOW IN THE
EASTERN GULF AND HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS
WILL CREATE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE CHANNELED AREA OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUTH AND THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN.

SOUTHWEST...
A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
BRISTOL BAY IS PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING WHICH WILL TAPER
OFF TO SCATTERED BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME BRISK AND NORTHERLY
BY TONIGHT AND CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME COLD
AND DRY CONTINUING INTO MIDWEEK.

BERING/ALEUTIANS...
COLD ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
TURNING TO OR MIXING WITH RAIN ALONG THE CHAIN AND THE AKPEN TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY BUILD IN OVER THE CENTRAL BERING BY
TUESDAY WHICH WILL BRING SOME RELIEF FROM THE WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS
SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF.  A FRONT EXTENDING FROM A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUESDAY SPREADING RAIN
AND GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUE TO BUILD IN AS THE TROUGH OVER THE
MAINLAND DRIFTS TO THE EAST. THIS SHOULD END THE ACTIVE PATTERN FOR
AWHILE AND WILL KEEP THE WEATHER FAIRLY QUIET EXCEPT FOR SOME GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING
FROM THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL BRING
MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR THE CHAIN THROUGH LATE WEEK. THIS FRONT
WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE EASTWARD AND BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE MAINLAND
BY LATE NEXT WEEK TOWARD THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 120 130 132 150 160 165 170 172 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NOV 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 3:48 PM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAFC13 hr
Nov 14, 3:59 PM AKSTBlizzard WatchAFC19 hr
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC3 days
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC8 days
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 15, 4:49 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC55 hr
Nov 15, 4:55 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFC59 hr
Nov 15, 10:29 AM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC47 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.