Flash Flood Warning 73, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 151424
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
924 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

MOC029-125-161-169-151700-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0073.000000T0000Z-090615T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PULASKI MO-PHELPS MO-CAMDEN MO-MARIES MO-
924 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
MARIES...PHELPS...PULASKI AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 916 AM CDT...THE DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION INDICATED THAT
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. RAINFALL OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

STATE ROUTE O SOUTHWEST OF DIXON. STATE ROUTE U WEST OF 
CROCKER...AND STATE ROUTE BB SOUTHWEST OF WET GLAIZE ARE ALL CLOSED 
THIS MORNING DUE TO FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA...AND WILL AGGRAVATE THE FLASH FLOOD SITUATION.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3818 9164 3817 9164 3816 9153 3779 9153
      3779 9181 3769 9182 3772 9241 3786 9241
      3783 9245 3784 9249 3780 9256 3802 9273
      3810 9258 3806 9258 3802 9249 3802 9219
      3829 9219

$$

BARJENBRUCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
650 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS/CHALLENGES IN THIS PACKAGE WILL DEAL WITH
SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN ATTENTION WILL TURN
TO DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS DURING THE MIDDLE PORTIONS OF THE WEEK.

CURRENTLY...SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA. A SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM CONTINUES TO PUSH
EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING AND IF ITS ABLE TO
SUSTAIN ITSELF IT SHOULD PUSH INTO THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN CWA
AROUND 10Z. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS AND THIS ACTIVITY IS SLOWLY PUSHING TO THE EAST
NORTHEAST. THE LOW LEVEL JET IS CURRENTLY AROUND 30 TO 35KT OUT OF
THE SOUTH AND SHOULD VEER TO THE EAST AND NOSE INTO THE AREA.
THERE IS ELEVATED INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION AREA THIS MORNING
WITH GENERALLY 1000 TO 1500 J/KG OF MU-CAPE ACROSS THE AREA. ANY
ACTIVITY THE DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA SHOULD BE ELEVATED...BUT WILL
HAVE TO WATCH THE STORMS TO THE WEST AS THEY ARE CURRENTLY SURFACE
BASED AND COULD REMAIN SURFACE BASED AS THEY MOVE INTO THE AREA.
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT THAT GREAT OVER THE AREA AND MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE QUITE WARM AS 500 MB TEMPERATURES ARE
AROUND -8 TO -9 DEGREES. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THE HAIL AND SEVERE
THREAT THIS MORNING...BUT THERE WILL REMAIN A MARGINAL THREAT WITH
THE ELEVATED CONVECTION. IF THE SUPERCELL TO THE WEST MAINTAINS
ITSELF THERE WILL BE A GREATER SEVERE THREAT WITH THAT ACTIVITY.

FEEL THAT CONVECTION WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING AND WILL GENERALLY PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON.
THERE SHOULD BE SOME LINGERING ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI
THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION SHOULD REDEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. GIVEN
THE WIND FIELDS SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EAST TOWARDS THE AREA AND WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP INTO AN MCS NEAR OR OVER THE AREA. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN CWA BEFORE THE STORMS
DEVELOP INTO AN MCS. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY SUPERCELL...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE
MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE MCS OVERNIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION BY MID WEEK
BRINGING AN END TO THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN. UNDER THE RIDGE
MUCH WARMER WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA. WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S POSSIBLE. WITH THE RECENT RAINS THE GROUND IS
VERY GREEN AND MOIST AND THE MODELS ARE LIKELY OVERDOING HIGHS
SOME...THUS HAVE UNDER CUT HIGHS A FEW DEGREES. THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO MUGGY CONDITIONS...AND HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL LIKELY WARM INTO THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL SWING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEK...WHICH
WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA...BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER
CONDITIONS AND CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE
START OF THE WEEKEND.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z KSGF AND KJLN TAFS...A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPED
THIS MORNING BUT REMAINED WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE TAF SITES.
THERE IS ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. FEEL
THE MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE
TAF SITES RESPECTIVELY...HOWEVER CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT ISOLATED
CONVECTION NEAR THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS
TIME.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AND PUSH EAST TOWARDS THE AREA. ANOTHER
COMPLEX OF STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE EXACT TRACK THIS WILL TAKE IS STILL IN
QUESTION...BUT WILL LIKELY PASS NEAR THE TAF SITES AND HAVE
INCLUDED VCTS IN THE TAFS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TO COVER THIS. A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT THE TAF
SITES.

WISE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
707 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161215-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
707 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH
  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
  AND ISOLATED TORNADOES

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  TWO ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.
  THE FIRST IS CURRENTLY PUSHING EAST THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND
  WILL PUSH OUT OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BY MID MORNING. THE SECOND
  ROUND IS EXPECTED TO EFFECT THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
  AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...THEN SPREAD
  ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA OVERNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI
  THIS MORNING AND IS CURRENTLY PUSHING EAST THROUGH THE
  NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
  CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST AND IS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE OUTLOOK AREA
  BY MID MORNING. THE STRONGER STORMS WITHIN THIS ACTIVITY COULD
  BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND
  WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
  FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

  LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...REDEVELOPMENT OF
  STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THE
  ENVIRONMENT FAVORS THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS IN THIS AREA.
  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD EAST INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF
  THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS....DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
  POSSIBLE. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO THEN DEVELOP INTO A
  COMPLEX OF STORMS AND PUSH EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
  OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE LARGE
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  LINGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
  MORNING...BUT THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT
  THIS TIME.

  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 90S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON...WITH MOISTURE LOW LEVELS...HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE
  EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI
 THIS MORNING AND MAY BE NEED AGAIN ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS
 EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
340 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

MOZ067-150915-
ST. CLAIR MO-
340 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY UNTIL 415
AM CDT...

AT 340 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF APPLETON CITY...OR 14 MILES
NORTH OF EL DORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
624 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

MOZ083-151200-
DENT MO-
624 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR DENT COUNTY UNTIL 700 AM CDT...

AT 624 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALEM...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

PEOPLE IN DENT COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF SALEM...SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
647 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0647 AM     HEAVY RAIN       COLE CAMP               38.46N  93.20W
06/15/2009  M1.82 INCH       BENTON             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            MEASURED RAINFALL SINCE 5 AM.

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
658 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LAKE OZARK              38.20N  92.64W
06/15/2009  E1.68 INCH       MILLER             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RAINFALL SINCE 5 AM.

&&

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
710 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

MOZ070-151245-
PULASKI MO-
710 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PULASKI COUNTY UNTIL 745 AM CDT...

AT 710 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CROCKER TO
RICHLAND...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF
WAYNESVILLE TO 10 MILES WEST OF WAYNESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN PULASKI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RICHLAND...
CROCKER...WAYNESVILLE...DIXON...ST. ROBERT AND FORT LEONARD WOOD...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BRUMLEY                 38.09N  92.49W
06/15/2009  E2.60 INCH       MILLER             MO   PUBLIC

            RAIN FELL IN 45 MINUTES.

&&

HATCH