Flash Flood Warning 68, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 110418
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1118 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

KSC011-037-MOC011-217-110429-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0068.000000T0000Z-090611T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-BARTON MO-VERNON MO-
1118 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN
CRAWFORD...NORTHWESTERN BARTON...SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON AND VERNON
COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3787 9481 3796 9461 3806 9452 3804 9406
      3765 9409 3758 9488

$$

CLAYCOMB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
222 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS THIS FORECAST WILL BE WITH CONTINUED CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES...SEVERE CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND
FLOODING POTENTIAL.

PERSISTENT SUBTROPICAL UPPER PATTERN FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A STRONG
SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS UPPER FLOW WAS LIFTING NORTHEAST
OUT OF NEW MEXICO INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO/WESTERN KANSAS AND THE
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...A
NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED FROM JUST NORTH OF JLN TO
NEAR AIZ WITHIN THE CWA. THE AREA SOUTH OF THE FRONT HAS BEEN
MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH THE MORNING WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID
70S AND TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S. THIS HAS ALLOWED
SURFACE BASED CAPES TO CLIMB INTO THE 4500 J/KG AREA WITH LITTLE
TO NO CIN. COULD SEE CONVECTION DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO ALONG THE BOUNDARY HOWEVER MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL OCCUR
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY BEGINS TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

MODELS HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS/COVERAGE
WITH THIS SYSTEM TONIGHT. PREFER THE NAM AND LOCALLY RUN WRFNMM
WHICH BRING HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION ALONG THE FRONT FROM LATE
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. HAVE INITIALLY PEGGED THIS AREA WITH THE
HIGHEST POPS AND QPF. THIS AREA ALSO RECEIVED SOME OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN FROM YESTERDAY/LAST NIGHTS PRECIPITATION AND HAVE
ALREADY SENT OUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 PM THROUGH 7 AM THU.
GIVEN THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WOULD ALSO EXPECT SOME SEVERE
WEATHER THIS EVENING AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES IN. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ALL
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHWESTERN CWA.

BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH
HIGHEST POPS SHIFTING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY.
BOUNDARY SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT
WILL LIKELY HANG UP OVER ARKANSAS. FRONT WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
TO THE NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND AS UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD
NORTH. THIS WILL BRING BETTER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK INTO THE
FORECAST AREA.

FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD (SAT THROUGH WED)...

WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AT THE ONSET OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD AND
WILL KEEP THREAT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE FORECAST.  SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM SATURDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINING IN THE VICINITY.  BY TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION WHICH SHOULD KEEP THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO
THE NORTH OF THE AREA IN ADDITION TO BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES TO
THE AREA.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THIS AFTERNOON BUT THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO
BROKEN CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. EXPECT A
LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE THIS EVENING BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AND PERIODS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS. SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-077>081-083-088-089-093-101.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
100 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...
   LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.
   DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
   LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
   AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH 4 PM MAINLY
  FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
 FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

  DISCUSSION:

 STRONG INSTABILITY AND MODERATE WIND SHEAR WILL INTERACT WITH A
 NEARLY STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION TO GENERATE
 ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. WHILE
 ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS
 WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
 AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
 WILL BE POSSIBLE. A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
 OZARKS THIS EVENING BRINGING THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER AND
 FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

 PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
 MONDAY AS A FRONT LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON
 INTO THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
451 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

MOZ092-096-102230-
WRIGHT MO-DOUGLAS MO-
451 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EASTERN DOUGLAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
WRIGHT COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 449 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES EAST OF AVA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
513 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 W COLUMBUS            37.17N 94.97W
06/10/2009  E60 MPH          CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
514 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     HAIL             7 W COLUMBUS            37.17N 94.97W
06/10/2009  E1.00 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
520 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     TSTM WND GST     WSW COLUMBUS            37.17N 94.84W
06/10/2009  E60 MPH          CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            60 MPH GUSTS WITH PEA TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL CONTINUES

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
525 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     HAIL             7 WSW COLUMBUS          37.13N 94.96W
06/10/2009  E1.00 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GCLAYCOM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
530 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                37.17N 94.84W
06/10/2009                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GCLAYCOM